The Beige Book of the American Economy! (2) Final chapter
The Fed is worried that the economic recession has eased, so I won’t write so much. The following is my personal opinion:
Although the economy is growing slowly and has a taste of recovery, this is based on consumers spending all their money and borrowing money at high interest rates. Labor costs are increasing, oil prices are rising, the economy is growing slowly, and CPI will appear. Rebound or repeated, the harder the economy, the longer the inflation. If the Fed is brave enough, it will continue to raise interest rates. If it is timid, it will maintain high interest rates for a long time. This is consistent with the point I have been making.
At present, the Fed's monetary policy has just reached the middle stage. The next step is to maintain a high interest rate to make everyone's life difficult, find ways to drain everyone's money, reduce the liquidity of investment, and let more money flow back to the United States. .
The job of the FOMC is to adjust monetary policy without causing major economic problems, and to bring down the economies of other countries before problems arise in the U.S. economy. In Europe, Germany was the first to go into recession, and Italy was the first to go into recession. Subsequently, we are also in a precarious situation. The policies to stimulate the economy have been taken out, but we still don’t know whether they will be effective. The Federal Reserve is so awesome. Monetary policy is a bloodthirsty invisible knife, using the U.S. dollar. control to harvest the whole world!
Do you think the bear market will continue or the bull market will begin?
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