Now is not the time to make sizable bitcoin purchases.
With bitcoin’s price dipping significantly below $100k again, the “buy the dip” cheerleaders are out in full force.
But I’m here to offer a different perspective: Don’t buy the dip.
Before I continue, let me please make it clear that nothing that I write in this Take is investment advice.
Why would I say such a thing? Is it that I hate bitcoin all of a sudden?
No.
I have other reasons for making such a statement.
The first is that I’m trying to keep you from becoming exit liquidity for people like this:
The second is that I like to buy bitcoin when it’s truly selling at a discount, not just when it appears to be selling at one.
Let me explain.
Right now, bitcoin is trading about 13% off of its all-time highs. While that may be a significant discount for an asset in the world of traditional finance, it’s hardly more than a daily fluctuation in the world of bitcoin.
In the four-year bitcoin cycles, bitcoin’s price tends to skyrocket during the years of and after its halving. And then the year that follows tends to be pretty terrible for bitcoin’s price. During that year, bitcoin’s price hits a low, which tends to be in the range of the prior cycle’s high.
