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Expert Explains Bitcoin Halving Not Priced In And What's Next

Bitcoin's halving occurrences and why the market has failed to completely price in the April 19 halving. Rekt Capital examined Bitcoin's cyclical price swings post-halving using historical data and patterns, forecasting significant growth ahead.

Why Bitcoin Halving Is Unpriced
Rekt Capital started by reviewing Bitcoin halvings, which occur every four years and cut miners' block rewards in half. If demand stays steady or rises, supply restriction usually raises prices significantly. According to Rekt Capital, “The Bitcoin halving is not priced in,” since each prior halving caused a surge that reached and exceeded all-time highs.

The halving every four years usually follows a great spike in Bitcoin's price movement to new all-time highs, he said. The constant trend suggests that post-halving market dynamics are predictable yet complicated enough to remain unforeseen by the market. "The Post-Halving Re-Accumulation phase (red) and Parabolic Rally phase (green) remain in the cycle," he said.

Rekt Capital noted that the 160-day reaccumulation period that follows each halving is normal.

Veteran Bitcoin investors monitor for declining profits in repeated cycles, which the analyst addressed. Each cycle has peaked higher than the previous, but growth has decreased. "If this was a one-to-one extension from the previous cycle, getting us to $250,000 might be unrealistic this time around, and we are probably looking at a more subdued increase," he projected.

Rekt Capital remained positive for the long run, saying that although early cycles' rapid growth rates may not return, Bitcoin's price post-halving continued to rise. He said, “This is going to be the most parabolic phase of the cycle where we see those gains come very quickly in a short space of time,” highlighting Bitcoin investors' prospects.

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