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What happens after the #Bitcoin halving? 1-12) A mere two days away, the Bitcoin halving has sparked a self-fulfilling prophecy. Google Trends has ‘Bitcoin Halving’ at its highest ‘search scale’ ever (score 100 vs. the 2020 #Bitcoin halving search score of 60). Social media ‘analysis’ has consistently claimed that every prior halving has been bullish for the price of Bitcoin. While the price rally may not be immediate, we are focused on when, not if. 2-12) When we analyzed all the previous #Bitcoin cycles, we realized that prices do not move randomly and that Bitcoin is such a powerful invention because of the incentives structured around it. That’s why pre- and post-halving price developments are predictable, in our view. Below is what we think will most likely happen after the Bitcoin halving. 3-12) Read the full report here: https://mail.10xresearch.co/p/happens-bitcoin-halving #BTC

What happens after the #Bitcoin halving?

1-12) A mere two days away, the Bitcoin halving has sparked a self-fulfilling prophecy. Google Trends has ‘Bitcoin Halving’ at its highest ‘search scale’ ever (score 100 vs. the 2020 #Bitcoin halving search score of 60). Social media ‘analysis’ has consistently claimed that every prior halving has been bullish for the price of Bitcoin. While the price rally may not be immediate, we are focused on when, not if.

2-12) When we analyzed all the previous #Bitcoin cycles, we realized that prices do not move randomly and that Bitcoin is such a powerful invention because of the incentives structured around it. That’s why pre- and post-halving price developments are predictable, in our view. Below is what we think will most likely happen after the Bitcoin halving.

3-12) Read the full report here: https://mail.10xresearch.co/p/happens-bitcoin-halving

#BTC

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Bitcoin Reassessed: Tracking Our Changing Views Over Recent Months Below, we summarize the evolution in our thinking over the past few months. Our regular newsletters (or trading strategy reports) offer a detailed day-to-day analysis. Still, this summary focuses on insights from various TV interviews in which we have participated recently. These interviews have yielded many important lessons. As we noted in our newsletter reports during recent weeks, Bitcoin may be at a critical juncture. 1-7) April 19, 2024: Why Bitcoin May Fall to $52,000 https://mail.10xresearch.co/p/bitcoin-reassessed-tracking-changing-views-recent-months #BTC
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Bitcoin Is Grinding Lower – 10 Catalysts Traders Are Watching 👇1-13) Some argue that ‘time in the market’ is more important than ‘timing the market.’ This has undoubtedly been the case if you have been early in the Bitcoin game. When assets mature, looking for catalysts becomes more important for new investors. 👇2-13) Consider this: By the end of 2012, nearly 50% of all Bitcoins had been mined, giving everybody a huge advantage early on. By the end of 2017, almost 80% had been mined, and this was when prices were still low. Now, 93.8% of Bitcoin has been mined. 👇3-13) Conversely, those who entered the Bitcoin market during the last few years faced a much higher entry price with diminishing cycle returns. Companies (and assets) often experience a period of waning returns themselves. Whereas young companies thrive, mature companies grow slower. The same principle applies to Bitcoin, and it's crucial to be aware of this when considering your investment strategy - hence the importance of identifying and reacting to catalysts. 👇4-13) Read the report here -> https://mail.10xresearch.co/p/bitcoin-grinding-lower-10-catalysts-traders-watching #BTC
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The Next 24 Hours Could Signal If #Bitcoin Is Heading To 52,000 1-9) New risks are emerging, and Bitcoin could decline from our projected range of 52,000 to 55,000. Previously, we have pointed out various market structure data points for why this might occur. As we pointed out yesterday, Bitcoin miner revenues are falling short, which could signal that Bitcoin’s fair value is quite a bit lower. 2-9) Read the full note here: https://mail.10xresearch.co/p/next-24-hours-signal-bitcoin-heading-52000 #BTC
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#Bitcoin Miner Revenues Explode Thanks to Runes: Should You Load Up on Miners? 👇1-12) Bitcoin miner revenues have exploded with the launch of Runes, a new fungible token standard created by creative organelles. Runes allows people to inscribe arbitrary data on Bitcoin-like art. Runes remind us of Ordinals, which had an outsized impact on miners' revenues in late 2023 and early 2024 and was associated with a golden opportunity for Bitcoin mining companies. In later Q3, we made super aggressive mining calls that paid off (here). 👇2-12) Ordinals, unique identification numbers assigned to each satoshi on the Bitcoin blockchain, have sparked a resurgence in on-chain activity, leading to substantial transaction fees. Miners have reaped the rewards, with over $200m in transaction fees from Ordinals, constituting approximately 20% of their total revenue by February 2024. 👇3-12) Among other factors, this caused Bitcoin mining stocks to rally by +100% to +300% in Q4 2023 as ordinals massively contributed to the rewards for Bitcoin miners. Are Runes a replay of this period, and therefore, a massive rally for publicly listed Bitcoin miners, such as Marathon Digital, awaits? 👇4-12) Full note here: https://mail.10xresearch.co/p/bitcoin-miner-revenues-explode-thanks-runes-load-miners #BTC #bitcoin
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Every Profitable #Bitcoin Trader Is Watching These TWO data points 👇1-10) A moment of truth is near. Bitcoin has rallied from 60,000 to 67,500 in four days, almost reaching our line in the sand. However, the rally occurred within four one-hour time windows and appeared driven by several blocks of larger orders instead of gradual buying during those four days. 👇2-10) The real test is not our 68,300 ‘line-in-the-sand’ level, which symbolizes the previous high. After retesting, this previous bull market’s all-time high level, while previously rejected, caused a parabolic move in Bitcoin in the last cycles. 👇3-10) As crypto futures traders have turned cautious, the real test is for the spot market to drive this rally higher. -> read the full note here: https://mail.10xresearch.co/p/every-profitable-bitcoin-trader-watching-two-data-points #BTC #ENA
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