5 Phases of The Bitcoin Halving

1. Pre-Halving Downside

The Pre-Halving Downside phase is officially over
It ended with this week's new Weekly Candle Close
Bitcoin has now officially transitioned into the Pre Halving Rally phase

2. Pre-Halving Rally

Approximately 63 days remain until the Bitcoin Halving in April 2024
And ~60 days before the Halving, a Pre-Halving rally tends to occur (light blue)
With the recent Bitcoin breakout, it appears Bitcoin is even slightly ahead of schedule
In anticipation of the Halving, investors "Buy the Hype" in an effort to "Sell the News"

Short-term traders and speculators "Buy The Hype" several weeks before the Halving in anticipation of making a profit from this hype-fuelled rally

Then these speculators "Sell The News" to realise that profit, contributing to a Pre-Halving retrace which occurs only a handful of weeks before the Halving event itself

3. Pre-Halving Retrace

After the Pre-Halving Rally has concluded...
A Pre-Halving retrace tends to occur a couple of weeks before the Halving event itself (dark blue circle)
In 2016, this Pre-Halving retrace was -38% deep
In 2020, this Pre-Halving retrace was -20% deep
This Pre-Halving retrace can last multiple weeks, making investors question whether the Halving was a bullish catalyst on price after all

4. Re-Accumulation

The Pre-Halving retrace is followed by multi-month re-accumulation (red)
This period can last up to 150 days (i.e 5 months)
Many investors get shaken-out in this stage due to boredom, impatience, and disappointment with lack of major results in their BTC investment in the immediate aftermath of the Halving

5. Parabolic Uptrend

Once Bitcoin breaks out from the re-accumulation area breakout into the parabolic uptrend (green)
It is during this phase Bitcoin experiences accelerated growth on its way to new All Time Highs

SOURCE: REKT CAPITAL ON X

$BTC

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