Introduction
I am crypto only futures and spot trader with 5 years of experience. Survived the big crush of the COVID period and post-COVID, predicted the fall and shorted it till 23.000$ then I stopped trading for a while, losted part of my profit and 5 months ago bitcoin got my attention once again. I specify on shorts only, I profit on long position only on spot. MY GOAL is to make useful researches, fundamental analyzes and share it with you, hoping that I will get some of your attention in return.
Now let's comeback to Data:
This is one of my most important research work covering macroeconomics, bicoin cycles, side to side comparison, learning bitcoin patterns and other crucial aspects

Data and Analysis
What we can expect in 2024 based on past patterns. Let's break it down with some compelling insights

Pay attention to the simillarities on the table! It's crucial to understand why the cycle is so simillar in bitcoin.

Bitcoin’s Cycles and Halving Effects
Bitcoin’s market operates on a four-year halving cycle, reducing mining rewards and driving prices up. Here's a closer look at these cycles and their future implications.

Macroeconomic Shifts: 2021 vs. 2024
The economic landscape has changed dramatically from 2021 to 2024, making the latter more challenging. Here’s why:

🧧 Global Financial Stability

2021🍂
Post-COVID Recovery: Economies were bouncing back. Central banks, including the Federal Reserve, implemented QE and stimulus measures, injecting liquidity and keeping interest rates near zero. The US GDP grew by 5.7%​ (Bitcoin Magazine)​.Economic Growth: Surprisingly GDP growth was robust, driven by easing lockdowns and vaccination efforts.
2024🍃
Economic Slowdown: Global GDP growth has slowed to around 2.4% due to persistent inflation and tighter monetary policies​ (CoinGecko)​.Increased Interest Rates: Central banks have raised rates significantly to combat inflation, with the Fed’s rates at 5%, increasing borrowing costs​ (coinglass)​.

🧧 Geopolitical Tensions
2021🍂
Stable Climate: Geopolitical tensions were present but contained, allowing trade recovery.
2024🍃
Escalated Conflicts: Ongoing conflicts and economic wars have disrupted global supply chains and trade​​.Sanctions and Trade Wars: New sanctions and trade restrictions have strained international relations.

🧧 Inflation and Currency Devaluation
2021🍂
Moderate Inflation: Inflation was at 4.7%, driven by supply chain disruptions and increased demand​ (Bitcoin Magazine)​.
2024🍃
High Inflation: Inflation has surged to 8%, eroding purchasing power and increasing living costs​.Currency Weakness: Major currencies have depreciated against the US dollar, raising import costs.

🧧 Technological and Regulatory Environment
2021🍂
Regulatory Uncertainty: The crypto regulatory environment was evolving, with mixed signals from governments. Institutional interest was high​​.Tech Progress: Advancements like SegWit improved Bitcoin’s scalability​​.
2024🍃
Regulatory Clarity and Tightening: Stricter regulations have been implemented, including higher taxes and compliance measures, dampening investor enthusiasm.Technological Maturation: Innovations continue but at a slower pace, focusing more on compliance and security.
🧧 Market Sentiment and Investor Behavior
2021🍂
Bullish Enthusiasm: The market was bullish, driven by post-COVID recovery and rising crypto adoption​ (coinglass)​.Diversifying Investor Base: More institutional investors entered the market, adding stability and speculation​.
2024🍃
Bearish Caution: Sentiment is more cautious due to economic uncertainties and high inflation. Investors are wary, reducing exposure to high-risk assets like cryptocurrencies​​.Flight to Safety: Investors favor safer investments like gold and government bonds over volatile cryptocurrencies.

Final conclusion:
The macroeconomic conditions in 2024 are significantly more challenging compared to 2021. With higher inflation, intensified geopolitical tensions, stricter regulations, and a more cautious investor sentiment, the economic landscape is both volatile and uncertain. These factors make 2024 potentially tougher for Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies, yet also ripe with strategic opportunities for the informed investor.
Technical Analysis Summary: Watch for Bitcoin stabilizing around the 200-day moving average and RSI levels indicating oversold conditions. Key indicators such as moving averages, RSI, and volume trends will be crucial in predicting market movements.
Outlook: Based on historical trends, Bitcoin may stabilize and rise before the July FOMC meeting. This period could be a prime entry point for savvy investors. Monitoring market indicators and macroeconomic trends will be essential. Despite the broader global crisis, the crypto market might be less impacted, presenting unique investment opportunities.

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$BTC $NOT $PEPE

What is Altcoin Season? 🌟
This is a season that you should wait more than a summer!

Ever heard of altcoin season? It’s a period when altcoins (cryptocurrencies other than Bitcoin) outperform Bitcoin significantly.
Past Altcoin Seasons:
2017-2018: Bitcoin dominance dropped from 86.3% to 38.69%. ICOs were booming, with altcoins like EOS and Tezos making huge gains.

2020-2021: During the pandemic, Bitcoin dominance fell from 70% to 38%. Altcoins, including meme coins like Dogecoin and Shiba Inu, saw massive growth​

How to know when it's altseason?

Altcoin Dominance: Look for an increase in the market cap of altcoins compared to Bitcoin.
Trading Volumes: Rising volumes indicate growing interest.
Price Breakouts: Watch for significant price surges in altcoins.
Pro Tip: Stay informed and diversify your investments. Altcoin seasons are great for potential gains, but they also come with high volatility. So save your money for the altcoinseason!
Are you ready for bitcoin to drop and see the altcoins raise some flowers?
Let them all dump and flatten so we can buy them all! I am hungry for some % gains this year, what about you? Comment down below which crypto is most likely to be pumped soon. I will make a research about it and post an article about it!
Follow for more updates and check out my other important posts today!
#AltcoinSeason #TipsForBeginners
#TradingMadeEasy #bitcoin☀️

First I want to introduce myself

I’ve been trading since 2021, survived the COVID Bitcoin crash, and correctly predicted the fall and shorted it right to the 23,000$. Now I came back to bitcoin again to trade it and get a nice beefy movements on it. If you also want to see my current journey with real facts, no clickbaits and mathematical analysis, then you are welcome.

Now back to Binance Square earning:

For aproximately 30 hours spent on researches, writing and creating posts that will be useful and not just a crap like every other post on this platform, I got 40k+ views and 125 subs in 1 week.

Well....
The results of my salary is down here 👇

Oh and also...
F!!ck $NOT $PEPE $FLOKI
I suggest you SELL them before the next meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) which will happen by the end of JULY AND THEN BUY AGAIN

Good luck!
#pepe⚡ #NOT🔥🔥🔥 #AirdropGuide #FutureTarding

Preparing for Bitcoin's crucial dynamics after Halving on April 2024: Essential Insights on $BTC

The Bitcoin halving 🌱 event, set for April 2024, is one of the most anticipated occurrences in the crypto world. Historically, Bitcoin halvings have led to significant price increases, making this an essential event for investors to understand.

Key Points:
What is a Halving?:Bitcoin halving reduces the reward for mining new blocks by 50%, effectively cutting the supply of new Bitcoins entering the market. This reduction in supply has historically led to price increases​ (Finbold)​​ (euronews)​.Historical Patterns:Past halvings in 2012, 2016, and 2020 resulted in substantial price hikes, often followed by periods of high volatility. For instance, after the 2020 halving, Bitcoin's price rose by over 200% by the end of the year​ (CoinMarketCap)​​ (Nasdaq)​.Market Predictions:Analysts are bullish about Bitcoin's potential post-halving. Predictions vary widely, with some expecting Bitcoin to reach between $100,000 and $200,000 by the end of 2024, driven by the supply crunch and increasing demand​ (markets.businessinsider.com)​​ (euronews)​.
Understanding the implications of the halving can help investors prepare for potential market movements and capitalize on the opportunities that arise.

For education and news follow me and read articles, for signals, live analyses and fundamental insights read my posts.
#bitcoin☀️ #EducationalContent #BlackRock #bitcoin

Are you familiar with the trampoline effect? If not, you’re about to see it in action.
Bitcoin seems to be hitting a trampoline, gearing up for more downward action. 📉

Why it raised today:
According to BlockBeats, the BitVol index, launched by T3 Index in collaboration with LedgerX, saw a minor increase to 51.6 on June 16, marking a daily increase of 1.14%.
The BitVol index measures the expected implied volatility derived from tradable Bitcoin options prices. Implied volatility represents market participants' views and expectations about future market volatility and is considered a close reflection of real volatility at that time.

What’s Happening?

Even though Bitcoin received some positive news today, with a slight rise, the recent price movements suggest a potential continuation of the downtrend.
This “trampoline effect” refers to the phenomenon where a brief rebound or bounce in price is followed by a more significant drop. It can fool traders into thinking the market is recovering when it’s actually preparing for another fall.

Current Trends:
Recent data and market analysis indicate that Bitcoin might face further declines. While there may be some short-term bounces, the overall trend looks bearish. This is a critical time to keep your risk management strategies tight and stay vigilant.
Key Points to Consider:
Volatility Ahead: Expect more price swings. The market is unstable, and prices could fluctuate significantly.Bearish Signals: Technical indicators and market sentiment point towards a continued downward trend.Risk Management: Ensure your trading strategies include strict risk management practices. This is not the time to take unnecessary risks.
My opinion:
Alright, folks, here’s the deal: while there might be some short-lived upward movements, Bitcoin’s overall path looks bearish. This could be the market’s way of shaking out the weak hands before making any significant move.
Personally, I’d wait for Bitcoin to hit stronger support levels rather than trading on these temporary fluctuations. Stay cautious, stay smart, and don’t get caught in the trap!

Stay sharp out there! Follow and check my other important updates today!

#BitcoinTherapist #bitcoin☀️ #Bitcoin❗ #BitcoinBeliever

Why should we care about it?
read carefully, and take your own decisions!

$IO Launched (June 11,2024) on Binance Launchpool . IO.NET is a decentralized platform designed to provide computing power for artificial intelligence applications by leveraging underutilized GPU power. The token is built on the Solana blockchain and aims to reduce costs and increase availability for AI and machine learning technologies.

Sounds good, right?
And what about competetors? Is there any alternative coin launched before?
- Yes there are 3 very simillar projects launched following a successful ICO.

Golem (GLM):Launch Price: $0.010 Current Price: $0.200 profitableRender Network (RNDR):Launch Price: $0.250Current Price: $2.000 profitableDeepBrain Chain (DBC):Launch Price: $0.015Current Price: $0.004 declined

And here is the question which is still open. Will IO follow the succesful path of it's brothers or it will become risky gambling token like it's sister DBC?

All data is up to date (06/15/2024)
Let me know what do you think about this in the comments and follow for more insights and topics to discuss! Stay tuned and as always don't miss the chances that market gives us.
#glm_USDT #RNDR/USDT💥 #io.net

For those who didn't know. Starting June 13th, trading in US dollars and euros will be halted due to new US sanctions.
This is a massive shift, and it could mark the beginning of a new era for Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies.
The Moscow Exchange announced that all currency pairs involving the US dollar and euro will no longer be traded. This decision comes as a result of the US adding the Moscow Exchange and the National Clearing Center to its sanctions list. However, trading will continue as usual for other currencies, precious metals, and financial instruments.
This move is expected to increase volatility in the market, making Bitcoin an even more attractive investment option. While traditional currencies facing such challenges, cryptocurrencies are holding their positions higher than ever!
The Moscow Exchange reassures that they have all the tools needed to ensure smooth operations despite these challenges. They are committed to maintaining the reliability of the financial market infrastructure and providing clients with access to all trading segments.
Stay tuned for more updates, as this could have a major impact on the global financial markets. Bitcoin's potential for growth is now more evident than ever!
#Bitcoin #CryptoNews #MoscowExchange #USSanctions #CryptoMarket
$BTC