This round of BTC trend test (final chapter) ——The reference answer is here!!! Those who want to die, those who want to live, and those who want to live well can take a look Don’t analyze, don’t look for it in the square, those who should run away should run away, those who should hold coins should hold coins, and those who should cover their positions should cover their positions. At this time, the leeks are still in the contract, character determines fate, and hell is the end. Farewell forever! Combined with various sources and data Discussion and analysis The following results are obtained Simple and crude, No word games See you at $46,000 (probability 70%) or $41,000 (30%)! Now is the time to suddenly sit up from half lying! See u there!
You see it rising, I see it falling, except for ETH which is a bit unstoppable. Institutional manipulation, ETH spot ETF is expected to increase, and the US and Japanese currencies may be infinitely swapped? But the market itself lacks endogenous power, and the foundation of leeks is not solid. Be careful of being trapped, so as not to hold your urine In the post-bull market BTC era, the protagonist ETH will make a brilliant debut
Wait and see after this Friday It is pure speculation, and you will burn it after reading it.
Ethereum founder Vitalik Buterin published a new article on X, saying that the Ethereum network will focus on improving its permissionless and decentralized features in the near and medium term, focusing on concepts such as stateless nodes, MEV relief and single slot termination, making Ethereum take a further step in the direction of decentralization
(ChainCatcher news) Keywords: Improve its permissionless and decentralized features The lifeline of cryptocurrency, decentralization. Therefore, Ethereum L1 can and should become a strong base layer for L2 projects. V God came out to throw a message when ETH was sluggish, is it considered a caller?
Calling coin friends, especially those who play options products Members of the House of Representatives will vote on the Republican-led 21st Century Financial Innovation and Technology Act (FIT21) in the middle of next week. This vote indicates that the cryptocurrency market has reached a critical node. If passed, the transparency of the US government's supervision of the cryptocurrency circle will be greatly increased, which is very beneficial to the standardized, healthy and rapid development of the cryptocurrency circle. It is very likely that BTC will rise again next week and open a long positive line. The bill designates the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) as the main regulator of digital assets and clarifies its responsibilities with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). It aims to establish consumer protection, including custody rules and asset handling in bankruptcy, and introduce safeguards against risky behavior. Currently, sixty cryptocurrency organizations are supporting the market structure bill scheduled for voting next week. ———CoinPeida
According to statistics, the only 5 altcoins that have appreciated
According to COINTELEGRAPH, based on all new coin listings on Binance in the past 6 months, cryptocurrency and macro researcher Flow pointed out that more than 80% of the tokens have fallen from their listing prices. Among the 31 tokens, only 5 tokens have appreciated, including the new memecoin (MEME), Ordi token (ORDI), Solana-based Jupiter (JUP) and Jito (JTO), and Dogwifhat (WIF).
OMG, in one month, $3,000 PEPE turned into $46 million?
Someone made $46 million just by investing $3,000 in PEPE and getting a 15,718-fold return. The terrible thing is that this was a one-month performance. Seeing this, many people's jaws dropped, right?
See how he operated
According to reports, on April 15, this unknown wallet bought 4.9 trillion PEPE for $3,000, currently worth more than $56 million. According to a post by Lookonchain on May 15, this person sold 1.41 trillion PEPE for $7.4 million and currently holds 3.5 trillion PEPE, worth $38.9 million. The question is, do you believe it? In the past, when I had dinner with relatives and friends during festivals, I always heard "my colleague's friend, or my classmate's colleague, or someone in my relative's unit, or someone in our neighboring town..., made a fortune, or is now in a good unit or position, and earns so and so a month (but it's not him)", and in the end, you feel that you have the lowest salary, the unit is not good, the business is not good, and you are the worst. In fact, the story sounds like it's about somebody, but in fact 99% of it is nobody, either adding salt and vinegar, after a few hearsays, the facts have been completely changed, or rumors came out of nowhere and are completely imaginary. So, in this kind of thing, he is not talking about himself, but about his parents, brothers and sisters, or his good buddies, it's best not to believe it. Because social anxiety and unrealistic fantasies are created in this way. If we hear too much, we will lose confidence, lose rational judgment, and act recklessly. The above story has no place, no characters, no reporter, and no formal reporting agency. It is not news, at most it is a story. Since it is a story, just listen to it, don't take it seriously. It is very likely that someone is cooperating with this market trend. Because it has been posted on a large portal website, and it has caused a sensation in the circle. If you take it seriously, then this is also luck, just like winning the lottery. Don't follow suit, open a high leverage, and send yourself into trouble. A word of advice, in the future, similar news that looks like news will either be chicken soup or magic soup, just smile and pass it by.
This week's BTC rally is a bit unreliable, so don't take it seriously.
The nearly 8-point rally on May 15 has brought the expected bull market back to life, and the market is finally a little bit alive.
But be careful not to blindly go long!
The rebound in BTC was triggered by a lower-than-expected U.S. consumer inflation report, pushing prices above $66,000. At the same time, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite also soared to all-time highs. The further Bitcoin is from $60,000, the less likely the market will hit new lows again. But this does not guarantee the start of a new uptrend. Because the fundamentals of the market's downturn are still there.
1. Strong performance of traditional assets. On May 16, the S&P 500 soared to a record high, with a total increase of 6% in 15 days. At the same time, gold rose 4% during the same period, approaching its all-time high closing price.
2. Bitcoin needs to rise another 12% to recover its highest closing price of $73,072. Given that price is the main driver, this seems unlikely given current market expectations: long at 60,000 and short at 65,000. However, this week, the trading volume of the seven major BTC spot ETFs in the United States reached $5.65 billion, the highest level since March 24.
3. The regulatory environment has deteriorated (especially Uncle Sam). Arrests, fines, and strict regulatory bills are being introduced and planned
The positive market effects brought about by policy expectations are often unreliable unless the policy is implemented. This month's consumer report is positive, but I don't know what it will look like next month? So, be steady!
This week is worth watching, and it is estimated that the market will be full of waves
#美国4月CPI通胀数据即将公布 #5月市场关键事件
BTC is currently priced at $62858. Will the inevitable event trigger the expected market reaction?
"U.S. macro data will be combined with comments from Fed Chairman Powell, which could be an explosive combination for risk assets. Macroeconomic data released this week, especially the Consumer Price Index (CPI), should be crucial to BTC price movements. When it comes to the inflation debate and the hope of rate cuts for risk assets, the Consumer Price Index has become the focus. Before that, the Producer Price Index (PPI) for April will be released on May 14, and Fed Chairman Powell will give a public speech. When it comes to hints on future policy moves, the market has shown a high sensitivity to Powell's tone."--Cointelegraph The economic base determines the superstructure, and the superstructure has a counter-effect on the economy. I don't know if it is universal, but I haven't forgotten it 😂. Whether it works or not, let the market test it.
Money in the cryptocurrency circle and Trump, Biden's US election #BTC走势分析
Trump, the Golden Lion, fired at the current US President Biden a few days ago, saying that he didn't understand cryptocurrency at all, implying that the Biden administration's strict regulation of the cryptocurrency circle was caused by ignorance and conservatism. Trump flirted with the cryptocurrency circle, seemingly attacking his opponents, but actually trying to win over the cryptocurrency circle. Why? Because the momentum and trend of my cryptocurrency circle are getting bigger and bigger, the mass base is great, and there is a lot of work to do for votes! It is said that at least 14% of people in the United States currently hold cryptocurrency, especially young people. Regardless of whether Trump can be elected or not, at least we see a great money in the cryptocurrency circle! If Trump is elected in November and can fulfill his promise to give cryptocurrency more freedom and policies, and then cooperate with the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates, then when the bull market soars, you will laugh among the beauties. The picture is too beautiful, I dare not think about it! 😀
#WLD🔥🔥🔥 #BTC The market is boring to death, I feel like I am trapped in the water and can't breathe. I was about to come out to breathe, but I was pushed down again. Let's not talk about 70,000 points, BTC, can you go to the 67,000 station to breathe first. Or you can continue to dive, 57,000, 44,000, or even 20,000, just go, bleed and bleed, come on. Let those who don't love you say bye-bye, and then fly 😀 Personally, I think the birth of chatgpt and controllable and usable nuclear fusion will make 2022 a technological first year in human history many years later So even though Open AI announced that it will not release ChatGpt 5 and AI search engine for the time being, hearing this name makes people's hearts unbearable. Technological innovation and iteration make the future unimaginable and unpredictable! Next Monday, OpenAI will demo some updates. In this case, let's watch. The big news is coming! I believe that Sam Ultraman's OpenAI and his WLD will give you a good show! Ultraman, Oli Ge 👍😀
Exchange rate trend, buying and selling USDT, BTC trend
The U market seems to have calmed down in the past 5.6 days. When the USD/RMB exchange rate was stable at 7.24, the U price jumped up and almost hit 7.45. Since the 5th, the exchange rate has continued to fall, and it was as low as 7.09 yesterday, and the U price also fell back to the lowest of around 7.10. Today the exchange rate rose a little, and the U price also rose to 7.23 and 7.24. The U price trend tends to be normal, basically close to the exchange rate, without much deviation, indicating that the demand for U coins has slowed down, the market sentiment in the currency circle has cooled down, and fewer people are buying up, and the possibility of the currency price falling has increased. According to COINCODEX's forecast, the exchange rate will reach a new low of 7.08 on the 13th of this month. Brothers who buy U, pay attention
Yesterday, BTC’s 200-day moving average price hit a record high According to past cycles, once the 200-day price high is broken, the bull market will start soon and continue to rise for about 12 months. With the increasing expectations of the Fed’s interest rate cut (high possibility of a rate cut in September) and the expected approval of the US ETH spot ETF, the bull market is even closer. Maybe we have to wait for a positive signal, or maybe we have to wait for the capital transfer of large institutions to be completed. In short, just wait for the moment when the fuse is lit... So, in the next two or three months, prepare your strategy, prepare your bullets, and welcome the baptism of the violent bull market!
Fresh and easy-to-use cryptocurrency investment analysis tools and websites 1. DEX (decentralized exchange) data analysis tool: Dextools Ave.ai 2. Advanced data tools: Nasen Tryoval 3. CoinMarketCap: The world's largest cryptocurrency market value tracking website, providing real-time market value rankings, prices, trading volumes, market fluctuations and other comprehensive information. 4. Cointelegraph: Provides the latest cryptocurrency and blockchain technology news, covering global market dynamics and industry trends. 5. Golden Finance: Provides comprehensive blockchain and cryptocurrency information, including market conditions, project analysis and in-depth reports. 6. CoinDesk: Provides the latest reports on blockchain technology and cryptocurrency markets, including price trends, industry trends and in-depth analysis. 7. http://Investing.com: Combines information on cryptocurrency with traditional financial markets. 8. CoinNess: A collection of reports and analysis of cryptocurrency from major media.
Those small copycat coins that I dare not buy #AltcoinStrategies #Altcoinseason2024
1. The issuance volume and issuance speed are too large and too fast, and the potential inflation rate is high. If the token inflation rate is too high, even a potential project will find it difficult to rise sharply, because the speed of token issuance may be faster than the growth rate of the project. 2. The token distribution ratio is unbalanced. This affects how much potential selling pressure there is in the future. If a large proportion is allocated to the team and investors, and there is no appropriate lock-up restriction, as long as the token rises in the future, it may face huge profit-taking selling pressure. 3. The background of the project team (education, work experience, age), the background of the investor is weak. I don’t buy those that my fellow villagers participate in, and I don’t buy those that the team’s age structure is too old, mainly considering trust and innovation. 4. The official website is not beautiful and tacky, the text is simple and not concise, and the introduction is not clear and logical. Pinhole imaging, see the big from the small. 5. Big Vs call for orders, don’t buy without doing research
I prefer AI, games and the metaverse, they and cryptocurrencies are all about the future and freedom, they are in the same group
If you like RWA, you can pay attention to AVAX (Avalanche)
Payment giant Stripe announced the integration of the Avalanche network. After this action is completed, users can easily access crypto products and decentralized applications, such as decentralized trading platforms and NFTs running on Avalanche.
I hope to have the opportunity to impact the top 6 cryptocurrency market capitalization rankings😁
The possibility of BTC continuing to pull back, let the data speak
#BTC下跌分析 From the weekly chart, in the bull market cycle, before the arrival of the crazy bull, if the key support point breaks down and falls, 👉 within three weeks, it cannot return to the support point and stand firm, then the probability of the entire coin price correction of 40% from the breakthrough high point is quite high. If 59,000 is regarded as the base point (the key psychological support price for retail investors may be 60,000, and the institution may set it at around 59,500), the correction from the historical high of 73,777 is 21%. On this basis, if it continues to fall by 24%, the coin price should stabilize at around 44,000, and then start to rise. So, May is a critical month, but the Federal Reserve has decided to keep interest rates unchanged. So, is the market really going down?
The price of coins will continue to fall in this cycle until BTC is around $41,000 and ETH is around $2,225. Do you feel chilled to the bone when you hear this? An An, who opened his IPAD after moving bricks tonight, 41,000$? I asked what was going on, and quickly turned on the computer, only to find that it was an "oolong". How could it happen was too weird 😂. I wonder if it was caused by psychological suggestion! Since it is an investment market, or a high-risk investment market, everything is possible. It is the hard truth to prepare various countermeasures, and psychological construction is also very important. In the case of a snowflake market, once the price breaks through a certain psychological consensus critical point, there will be no rational logic, good or bad, and the market will be controlled by emotions. The 60,000 point breakout has arrived, and the bull market test period has arrived.
The price range of buying and selling trends reflected by institutional data
#BTC下跌分析 According to the data of Caleb and Brown, a cryptocurrency brokerage company, most investors sell BTC at a psychological price of $70,000, set a tiered limit buy order between $55,000 and $60,000, and buy all positions at $30,000.
Geopolitical risks in the Middle East, inflationary pressure in the US economy, profit-taking in the cryptocurrency circle, overlap of the tax filing period and the halving time cycle have all led to the coin price rising and being unstable, and triggered changes in market psychology, resulting in a fall in the coin price.
Today's U price is 4-5 points higher than yesterday, indicating that although the coin price has fallen, everyone is still optimistic about cryptocurrencies, and the mood to wait for a price to increase positions or enter the market is very high.
It is better for retail investors to miss it and not buy it wrong
According to the multiples of the price increase of BTC in several rounds of bull markets, the price of BTC increased 572 times from 2011-2013 compared with 2010-2011, and the price increase of each round of currency was attenuated by about 80%. So the final price of BTC in this bull market is about 73,000 (excerpted from Blockchain Daily BLOCKCHAIN Daily) This may be true or false. If you don't believe it, just treat it as a joke.
Some people insist on writing here even though they are not very busy, and they require every word to be true, write some stories, and write some things that have been absorbed and filtered. But the reading volume is very bleak😅. Look at those big Vs, they just do something for thousands or tens of thousands. That person is really a joke😂