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Potential Approval of XRP ETF in 2025 Amid SEC Litigation

According to Odaily, since the election of U.S. President Donald Trump, numerous companies have submitted applications for cryptocurrency ETFs, including those for Solana, Dogecoin, and Litecoin. Grayscale, a crypto asset management firm, has also applied for an XRP exchange-traded fund (ETF). However, Bloomberg analyst James Seyffart advises caution, noting that while an XRP ETF might be approved by 2025, other cryptocurrency ETFs could be approved sooner. The ongoing lawsuit by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) regarding whether XRP is a security complicates the situation. In contrast, the SEC has never classified Litecoin as a security, making the approval of a Litecoin ETF more likely in the near future.
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U.S. Follows El Salvador's Lead In Digital Asset Regulation

According to Cointelegraph, the United States is emulating El Salvador's approach to digital asset regulation, as highlighted by Michele Crivelli, founder of NexBridge, a firm specializing in real-world asset tokenization. Crivelli emphasized the significance of establishing an independent regulatory body for cryptocurrency oversight. He noted that the U.S. is making progress with the formation of the Working Group on Digital Asset Markets, a move reminiscent of El Salvador's 2021 initiative to create a legal framework for cryptocurrencies through its National Commission of Digital Assets. Crivelli further explained that smaller nations, such as El Salvador, are likely to lead the charge in global digital asset adoption due to their lower stakes, eventually influencing larger countries like the United States as the shift towards a digital economy becomes inevitable. This perspective aligns with asset manager Anthony Pompliano's views, who in November pointed to El Salvador and Bhutan's gradual Bitcoin accumulation as evidence of an ongoing global race for Bitcoin. In a related development, U.S. President Donald Trump has signed an executive order to establish the Working Group on Digital Asset Markets, underscoring the country's commitment to exploring digital asset regulation. Meanwhile, El Salvador has repealed its Bitcoin legal tender law as part of a loan agreement with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) in January 2025. The IMF had pressured El Salvador to reverse its Bitcoin policies for several months before reaching an agreement. Despite the repeal, which required businesses to accept Bitcoin as payment, El Salvador continues to accumulate the cryptocurrency. Recently, the country acquired an additional 12 Bitcoin, valued at over $1.2 million at the time of purchase, bringing its total holdings to over 6,051 Bitcoin. In another development, stablecoin issuer Tether announced its decision to relocate its headquarters to El Salvador, citing the country's favorable regulatory environment for digital assets.
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Trump’s Crypto Order Could Alter Bitcoin’s 4-Year Cycle, Says Bitwise

The historic four-year cycle that has defined Bitcoin’s price movements may face disruption due to President Donald Trump’s pro-crypto executive order, according to Matt Hougan, Chief Investment Officer at Bitwise. Hougan believes that the crypto market’s boom-and-bust cycle may become shorter and less severe as institutional adoption accelerates.How Trump’s Order Could Reshape Bitcoin’s Market CyclesBitcoin’s historical four-year cycle has followed a pattern of major pullbacks in 2014, 2018, and 2022, with peaks in the intervening years. Traditionally, these downturns were triggered by market crashes, bankruptcies, and regulatory crackdowns—such as the SEC’s ICO clampdown in 2018 and the FTX collapse in 2022.However, Hougan argues that the mainstreaming of crypto under the Trump administration could soften future market corrections. He states:“The crypto space has matured; there’s a greater variety of buyers and more value-oriented investors than ever before. I expect volatility, but I’m not sure I’d bet against crypto in 2026.”Institutional Involvement: A Game-Changer for BitcoinTrump’s January 23 executive order introduced:A regulatory framework for digital assetsA potential national digital asset reserveEasier crypto custody for banks after the repeal of SAB 121Hougan believes these moves will attract institutional players in ways never seen before. While Bitcoin ETFs have already funneled billions into the market, a federal crypto reserve and Wall Street’s deeper involvement could bring trillions in capital.With banks and investment giants moving aggressively into crypto, the sell-offs and crashes that characterized previous cycles may become less extreme.Bitcoin’s Future: $200K by 2025?Bitwise maintains its $200,000 Bitcoin price target for 2025, citing institutional inflows, regulatory clarity, and growing mainstream adoption as key drivers. Hougan suggests that Bitcoin could hit this milestone even without a U.S. government Bitcoin reserve, but Trump’s policies could accelerate adoption.While the four-year cycle may not completely disappear, future market pullbacks could be shorter and shallower, signaling a new era for crypto’s price stability.  
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