Understanding the psychology of the market is key if you want to ride the waves to potential gains—or avoid losses.
📌 Phase 1 - Accumulation In this stage, crypto veterans and big players scoop up assets at low prices. New projects emerge cautiously amidst lingering skepticism, reminiscent of when $BTC dropped to $15,000.
📌 Phase 2 - Momentum Currently unfolding, prices surge, excitement grows, HODLers celebrate, and FOMO kicks in. Altcoins see significant gains as optimism takes hold.
📌 Phase 3 - Euphoria/Excess Greed dominates as prices skyrocket daily. Mainstream attention peaks, leading to unusual market behaviors and increased scam activity. Watch the Bitcoin Fear and Greed Index—if it hits 90, consider adjusting your positions smartly to prepare for what’s ahead.
📌 Phase 4 - Massive Crash/Long Red Candles Prepare for a sharp downturn. Panic selling ensues, media paints a gloomy picture, and both whales and new investors exit swiftly. Veterans seize the opportunity to buy the dip. Avoid being a newbie left holding the bag for years—be proactive!
⏰ Tips for Success: Invest wisely and patiently. Use dollar-cost averaging. Take profits as prices rise. Diversify to manage risk. Stay vigilant against hype and scams. Monitor shifts in market sentiment. Hedge strategically. Maintain cash reserves for opportunities.
The coming months promise excitement, but also risks and rewards. Navigate wisely, and you could find yourself on the path to transformative wealth in this crypto revolution!
At the age of 12, Erik Finman invested $1,245 in #Bitcoin . He struck a deal with his parents: if he could reach a million dollars by 18, he wouldn't need to return to school. Erik's gamble paid off immensely!
By the time he turned 18, his initial investment had soared to over $2 million! He achieved millionaire status and was even invited to deliver a TED Talk at just 15 years old.
Erik's journey serves as a compelling testament to the rewards of taking risks and believing in oneself.
#ZKsync introduced its ZK token. 17.5% of its token supply is allocated to an airdrop
Symbiotic, a new major restaking protocol, went live. It attracted over $240M in TVL in less than 24 hours
Fuse, Solana's first smart wallet, went live. Fuse offers wallet recovery and 2FA
#Fantom ’s proposal for an upcoming airdrop campaign went live
#Berachain ’s Public Testnet bArtio B2 went live. Interacting with it might qualify you for an airdrop
Polygon launched a Community Grants Program with 1b $POL tokens allocated over the next 10 years. MATIC is set to transition to the POL ticker in the near future
Solana Labs unveiled Bond, a technology stack for businesses looking to launch customer loyalty programs on Solana
Lido introduced 'Restaking Vaults' in collaboration with Symbiotic. Symbiotic is a new restaking protocol backed by Paradigm
Optimism has launched permissionless fault proofs to become more decentralized
pSTAKE Finance launched its token $PSTAKE on Blast in partnership with Thruster
Massa Labs announced the launch of Massa decentralized DNS. Massa’s on-chain web hosts both the frontend and backend of dApps directly on the blockchain
Arbitrum proposed the BOLD upgrade to become a Stage 2 Ethereum Rollup. BOLD will increase network security by enabling anyone to be an Arbitrum validator
Sociocat introduced its Ask to Earn incentives program
deBridge introduced deBridge P2P, an OTC desk for DeFi. deBridge P2P enables making OTC deals between 13+ chains completely on your terms
Wormhole has released staking for $W token holders. It is rumored that the top 10,000 W stakers will get an airdrop from Monad
Binance Labs has invested in Zircuit, an Ethereum L2 project
👉🏻 Recently, #OKX revealed that users lost their assets due to various security issues. Learning the following preventive measures can help you avoid more than 90% of security threats: Use hardware wallets: Utilize hardware wallets like OneKey, Trezor, etc. These wallets offer offline storage, isolating your assets from the internet at a physical level, effectively preventing hacking attacks and network theft. Although they may be relatively cumbersome to use, especially for frequent transactions, they are the safest storage option, especially for large amounts of funds that won't be accessed in the short term.Enable Two-Factor Authentication (2FA): Enable 2FA in both exchange and wallet accounts. This adds an extra layer of security confirmation during account access or asset transfer, preventing unauthorized access.Safeguard your private keys and mnemonic phrases: Private keys are the sole means to access cryptocurrency. Ensure they are not leaked or lost. For wallets holding significant funds, it's best to store private keys offline, either on paper or using a hardware wallet.Avoid using public Wi-Fi: Avoid using public Wi-Fi when conducting cryptocurrency transactions or accessing wallets. Public networks are susceptible to hacking attacks, such as Wi-Fi hotspots in airports or cafes, which are highly likely to be fake. Connecting to such hotspots exposes all your online activities to potential interception, including decryption of your operations and even plain-text transaction passwords. Regularly update software: Ensure that the exchanges, wallets, and operating systems you use are up-to-date to prevent exploitation of known security vulnerabilities.Use trusted exchanges and wallets: Choose exchanges and wallet service providers with good reputations and security records. Avoid using obscure platforms; while you aim for profits, they might aim to take all your capital.Beware of phishing and scams: Avoid clicking on unfamiliar links or downloading unknown attachments. Ensure that you are accessing the correct official websites. ✨ The most vulnerable areas are Telegram and Twitter. Be cautious of clicking on links sent by strangers, let alone copying them into your wallet to open. Once your wallet's signature or authorization is obtained, your assets could be instantly transferred away. Utilize multi-signature technology: Multi-signature requires multiple signatures to complete transactions, ensuring that even if one private key is stolen, funds cannot be accessed independently. A common example is multi-signature wallets, which require multiple private key signatures to execute cryptocurrency transactions. Such wallets enhance fund security and control, widely used for both personal and institutional cryptocurrency management. Employ decentralized storage: Avoid storing all funds in one place. Decentralized storage helps mitigate the risk of single-point failures, applicable to both wallets and exchanges.
It’s a big event day as multiple macroeconomic events are happening.
First, it will be CPI news, and later there’s the FOMC meeting and the FED interest rate decision to be made.
They will have a huge impact on the markets.
The markets have been correcting down as the anticipation of these events usually has a negative relationship with the price action on the crypto markets, especially altcoins. On top of that, Roaring Kitty’s event and GameStop’s correction of last week didn’t have a positive impact on the price action.
Now, today the turn-around might be taking place, just like the previous FOMC meetings saw a bottom on Wednesday, after which the markets were surging.
Comparison:
Bitcoin rallied by more than ten percent after previous FOMC events. Ethereum rallied by more than twenty percent after previous FOMC events. Both of them corrected by the same amount before the event, so a repricing back upwards seems reasonable to expect. Let’s discuss the two big events of today.
CPI at 14.30PM CET
The CPI data is the most important in the month, as the FOMC is watching this data (and the PPI of Thursday) to estimate whether inflation is weakening and whether they can cut the interest rate levels.
During 2024, the inflation rate was higher than expected. As a reference:
April the actual CPI rate came at 3.5%, while 3.4% was forecasted. In March, 3.2% was the actual number, while 3.1% was expected. Due to this, you could argue that inflation remains sticky and that’s exactly what Jerome Powell has been continuing to say. However, there are more important data points that come out during this event.
CPI M/M. The monthly data on CPI estimates what the change in price of goods and services is compared to the month before. Last month the markets have been seeing a lower number than forecasted and reacted in a very positive way. Core CPI Y/Y. The Core Consumer Price Index (a different basket than the regular CPI data), was exactly as expected in the previous month and induced another positive response to the markets. Core CPI M/M. The Core Consumer Price Index, but then on monthly data points. Last month was the same as forecast. This might be a significant data point, as it could indicate that the markets are anticipating a rate cut.
What are the expectations?
The expectations are that we’re going to be seeing the following data points:
CPI Y/Y: 3.4% expected CPI M/M: 0.1% expected Core CPI Y/Y: 3.5% expected Core CPI M/M: 0.3% expected If the data comes out exactly as expected or some data points are going to be lower (which is positive for the markets) than expected, the markets are going to see a swift positive price response.
FOMC Rate Decision at 20.00PM CET & FED Speech at 20.30PM CET
The second biggest event of today is the interest rate decisions from the FOMC. The European Central Bank made its first rate cut since 2019 last week, which might indicate that rate cuts are on the horizon for the U.S. as well.
That’s why the CPI data might become important, as the markets might price in a potential rate cut from the CPI data or not. Why is that? Well, if CPI data comes out higher than expected, you’re automatically going to be seeing a strong Dollar continue to rise, but also Yields to continue rallying upwards. In that aspect, it’s unlikely that a rate cut is taking place in the coming period through which risk-on assets are going to be seeing a drop rather than a rally upwards.
With this event, it’s usually not important to be watching the actual rate decision, but rather to look out for Powell’s speech as he might be giving insights on the future’s outlook. If he becomes more decisive and starts spreading words like ‘we’re expecting 2 rate cuts later this year’, the markets are going to be acting in a tremendously positive direction.
What to watch out for?
The altcoin and crypto markets have been seeing a substantial correction in the previous weeks as there’s a negative correlation between FOMC meetings, CPI, and crypto.
To be fair, it seems likely that a repricing back upwards is going to take place starting this afternoon back upwards. It might even be the case that Bitcoin is attacking an all-time high in the coming weeks if there’s a dovish stance from the FOMC.
It’s important to note that price action can be trappy. If the rate decision is unchanged, the markets might have an initial response downwards, but usually, the real move happens at a later point. I would suggest not taking leverage trades during this period.
My personal view is that you should be keeping an eye out for the response on the price action of Gold, the Dollar & the Yields on treasury notes.
I’m expecting that the Dollar and the Yields are going to fall from the data today/tomorrow (tomorrow is PPI day) and that the altcoin and crypto markets will be finishing their correction around this period.
After that, it’s upwards only where the Ethereum ETF is likely going to find approval in the coming weeks and start attacking the all-time high during the summer.
Top nonsense #vaporware projects in the top 100. Crazy to see #MATIC on this list. 2 years ago I would’ve wildly disagreed, but now I can definitely understand the mention.
To put into context why active #airdrop farming becomes increasingly -EV if your NW is 6 figs
$BTC is up 4.18x off the bottom $ETH is up 2.43x off the bottom $SHIB is up 3.5x off the bottom #Pepe is up 12x off the bottom Even #Cardano is up 1.8x off the bottom
This is without factoring in any type of yield or PASSIVELY putting your BTC/ETH to work
If you put 100K into the most risk-averse asset in the entire Cryptocurrency space (BTC), your NW is now 418K
If you max qualify for LayerZero, this would require 42 wallets to achieve the same result
Keep in mind that you had to grind for 2+ years straight for it - on a weekly basis - and dodge all the filtering. Sybilio.
If you take the median, this would require 167 wallets
Yeah, you're better off just staking ETH in Eigenlayer or looking for equivalent yield farming opportunities for Bitcoin.
Join the Football Oasis (FO) testnet now and complete 6 simple steps to earn exclusive airdrop rewards when the game launches:
1️⃣ Visit the Test Site: https://docs.footballoasis.tech/testnet-event-end-random 2️⃣ Connect Your Wallet 3️⃣ Ensure You're on the Correct Network 4️⃣ Get Base Sepolia ETH 5️⃣ Mint Pass 6️⃣ Share your referral address in Discord
Don’t miss their AMA on Thursday at 9:30 PM SGT to learn more about FO and get live airdrops & whitelist spots!
AMA Link: https://www.binance.com/en/live/video?roomId=2200269
If $ETH keeps holding steady in this range, we might just see it kick off sooner than anyone anticipated.
With the recent approval of the Ethereum ETF, there's a sense of anticipation for a potential altcoin season. However, given the listing process's intricacies, the full impact may take months to unfold.
One can't help but reassess the significance of retail confidence, which historically returns as altcoins gain momentum, especially when Ethereum exhibits strength.
Moreover, beyond market dynamics, regulatory developments have played a pivotal role in shaping positive sentiment.
The bipartisan support for the Fit21 bill and the acknowledgment of crypto donations by Trump have contributed to an optimistic market outlook.
Additionally, the potential classification of Ethereum as a commodity signifies another favourable regulatory shift.
Looking ahead, the altcoin season might undergo a consolidation phase before gaining momentum. Following the ETH ETF, several other altcoins are poised to follow suit, including Solana, among others.
The market seems bullish on embracing ETFs like never before, hinting at a promising future outlook.
GM! Let's analyze a few sectors and their market characteristics:
In May, the best-performing sector in the cryptocurrency market has been the meme coin sector, with $PEPE and $PEOPLE tokens leading the pack. There were previous hints about their potential, so it's important to pay attention. Currently, they are all profitable. Various meme tokens have seen significant growth, starting from when they were mentioned in VIP groups to now, with at least a threefold increase and Pepe even reaching a four to fivefold increase, breaking new highs this round. Pepe saw a 200% increase this month, while People surged by 360%.
Next, I believe the #RWA sector is noteworthy. Ondo, a leading stock, doubled. ENS in the Ethereum ecosystem also saw a twofold increase. In the #Solana ecosystem, JTO surged by up to 80%, but then Ethereum drained liquidity, causing it to fall back. LPT in the #AI sector doubled. However, some old favorites disappoint, like WLD, which has been on a downward trend due to unlocking, and YGG, which has been stagnant until today, breaking above the box. The star tokens, Doge and Shib, also disappointingly remain stagnant.
After observation and analysis, we can see that meme coin speculation follows these patterns:
1️⃣ It focuses on new projects rather than old ones. 2️⃣ It targets coins with low circulation and low market cap, as coins with high market cap and low circulation have too many chips held by project parties and investors, making it unattractive for newcomers. 3️⃣ The market liquidity is still limited, with ETFs only buying Bitcoin. Meme coins still rely on existing funds. This means not all coins will see a surge, only a select few. This structured market trend will continue until the interest rate drops, which is crucial to note.
How I will Play the #Ethereum #ETF Play and what Coins I will be watching...
With the $ETH ETF likely to be approved, sentiment has swiftly shifted towards accumulating #ETH Beta plays.
For those unfamiliar, ETH Beta measures how much Ethereum's price moves relative to the overall market or a specific benchmark.
Back in January, we witnessed a similar shift to BTC Beta following the ETF approval.
$BTC surged to $49K after the ETF announcement but quickly retraced since spot bids were absent. It was a sell the news event as expected but still bullish in the long term.
I expect a similar price action for ETH following the approval.
Beta Plays to watch out for -
$PENDLE has to be one of the strongest tokens for this narrative. The price corrected recently because of the $EIGEN airdrop but it has shown a lot of strength following the ETH ETF news.
$PEPE is another obvious play for the $ETH Beta. PEPE held the structure when BTC didn’t and now it’s at another ATH. Chart shows a beautiful uptrend & indicates that insiders frontran it as the best bet for the ETF approval. Taking some profits and letting the rest run.
$ENS was one of the few coins that did not retrace in the entire move following the BTC ETF approval. I’m betting on this purely for the fact that Vitalik has been shilling it all year long.
$ENA is another token to watch. It does exceptionally well in bullish conditions, and is backed by a strong team. Bullish on the fact that there are no investor unlocks for a while & can be adopted by exchanges.
$ARB had been underperforming for a while but is back on track following the announcement. Still avoiding it personally.
$LDO could see a pump depending on the approval of staking in the ETF.
Beta Plays that might disappoint -
$REZ hasn’t really shown any strength following its launch. It’s already 30% down from its listing on binance last month.
$REZ, $XAI and $ETHFI have bad tokenomics and limited utility - I believe all they get is a complacency bounce before lower.