🗿 Why you will lose money in crypto!
Why is BTC down?
Friends, hello, everyone. Let me explain a very simple theory that almost no one follows.

🔖 I think everyone has heard the phrase: the majority (crowd) always loses. This is especially evident in financial markets.

Just think about it, why do most traders lose money? Why do many people sell assets when they see a drawdown? Why do only ~15% of all users in the project get retrodrops?

💡Understand, no one is interested in the market to make you money in the long run. The market is a place where money goes from smart to dumb. No matter how crude it sounds.

For example, right now a lot of people are screaming about bitcoin rising to $100k. Most of the market is very positive.

Doesn't that confuse you?

People don't even think that to grow the market needs new money (liquidity), and where to get it? Yes, there is a high probability that ETF on ETH will give a small local boost, but in the range of 3 months it will not give a big result.

🔎 Also, many people claim that after giving out large retrodrops from LayerZero and zkSync, people will have extra money. Yes, this is true, but it will also not be enough.

Anyway, I think you get my point. The market is growing in breadth and needs billions of dollars to lift it.

This is just my opinion. I'm not urging anyone to do anything.

Put subseibe if you understood the main point of this post.
#BTC☀ #EarnFreeCrypto2024

#BTC☀ Post Halving predictions 2024.

Hello friend and every one, check out aggregated varied predictions from several pundits and renowned industry experts, we observe a central theme: the average Bitcoin price prediction for 2024 hovers around $87,000. This figure, culled from a Finder survey of 31 FinTech experts, serves as a significant indicator of the market's expectations and sentiment regarding Bitcoin's value post-halving.
-ARK Invest (Cathie Wood), as of January 12, 2024 $600,000 - $1,500,000 by 2030
-Matrixport (Markus Thielen), as of October 25, 2023 $125,000 by end of 2024
-BitQuant, as of September 15, 2023 $80,000 - $250,000 by end of 2024
-Layer One X (Matiu Rudolph), as of October 25, 2023 $340,000 by 2025
-Bloomberg Intelligence (Mike McGlone), as of July 17, 2023
$100,000 by 2026
-Bernstein (Gautam Chhugani), as of October 31, 2023
$150,000 by 2025
Interestingly, 47% of them believe BTC is currently under priced, while only 10% believe it is overpriced.
This consensus average of $87,000 is noteworthy, not only as a
numerical prediction but as a reflection of the market's current
understanding and anticipation of Bitcoin's future.

However, it's important to note the diversity in these predictions. For example, ARK Invest's projection extends up to $600,000 as a worst-case scenario by 2030. Meanwhile, other forecasts, like that from Matrixport and BitQuant, suggest a shorter-term target by the end of 2024, ranging between $80,000 and $250,000.
These variations highlight the inherent uncertainties and complexities of predicting cryptocurrency prices..
Thus, while the average prediction of $87,000 provides a valuable snapshot of current expert opinions, it should be interpreted within the context of the broader market dynamics and potential future developments. This figure is not just a number; it is a reflection of the collective pulse of the cryptocurrency market, indicating both the
opportunities and challenges that lie ahead as we we are already in the post halving.
#EarnFreeCrypto2024 #Write2Earn! #PEOPLEbullish

#Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway did crash 99%...
What does this mean to the crypto community .

Allocating just 1% of Berkshire Hathaway’s portfolio to Bitcoin could have boosted Warren Buffett’s profits by over 25%.
On June 3, Berkshire Hathaway’s stock, BRK.A, experienced a dramatic but brief drop due to a technical glitch on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE). The glitch caused Berkshire shares to appear to have fallen by nearly 100%, prompting the NYSE to halt trading in several high-profile stocks to correct the issue.

Billionaire investor Warren Buffett, known as the “Oracle of Omaha,” has famously expressed his dislike for Bitcoin, as he referred to it as "rat poison squared" in 2018. Buffett emphasized that Bitcoin lacks intrinsic value, likening its allure to playing the roulette wheel. Berkshire Hathaway Vice Chairman Charlie Munger recently advocated for the U.S. to follow China's lead and ban it, characterizing Bitcoin as a gambling contract heavily skewed in favor of the house.

Is BTC the real inflation killer?
#write2earn🌐💹 #EarnFreeCrypto2024 #BTC☀

📈 When will there be growth? Pretty soon...

Almost every one is asking WHEN WILL BTC PUMP HARD?
It's nearer than you think but are you ready?

Friends, hello everyone. I think you have noticed that over the last few days many assets have started to rise in value. There is no general trend, but there are point shots of 20-40% growth.

📑 Yesterday restocking tokens gave green candles. Also a lot of projects from Binance lunchpool started to rise in price.

Noticeable how alta started to go up earlier than BTC/ETH. Perhaps the last price sets before the start of that very rise are underway.

Graphically, both Bitcoin and Ethereum look great for continued growth. Also, many have already started forgetting about the ETF adoption on Ethereum, but it will be launched soon and it will provide a lot of liquidity for the market.

💡 Graphically the situation looks good, fundamentally also. Plus onchain analytics are doing great:

• Open interest in futures indicates an accumulation phase in the current sideways movement
• Reserves on CEX exchanges have fallen hard
• This large volume of coin withdrawals from CEX exchanges was last seen in November last year before the rise, when bitcoin gave 4x.

🔖 There is every argument to see a new ATH on bitcoin and other assets soon🔥
#BnbAth #BTC☀ #ETHETFsApproved #EarnFreeCrypto2024 #Solana_Blockchain

🐸 Why have MEME COINS become the most resilient sector in the market?

Friends, hello everyone.
There is an interesting situation on the market right now. I don't know if you have noticed? Well we can see that during not the most active phases of the market or in times of correction, memcoins behave stronger than “top” altcoins. It used to be the other way around.

📑 Memcoins were rising strongly, but they were also falling fastest. It was hard for them to resist the negative market. It used to be a great idea to switch from memes to some fundamental asset (e.g.$WIF , $APT , $ARB, $STRK.) during the fall.

Now, however, the situation is reversed. Fundamental assets are falling and memes are rising. But why?

Funds are to blame. Earlier I described the situation with investment rounds. To summarize, the main struggle between investors of a project takes place even before its release.

🔎 Those funds that will come in at the very first round will probably already have 100x on paper. And if the project is successfully listed, even more.

BUT - in memcoins there is no such situation. The main struggle takes place after the token is released. The most important thing is that there are no token unlocks. This allows big players to get a large number of tokens at once and then make the price pump.

❕ In general, memcoins are just more susceptible to manipulation because of their low capitalization. It's a simple system of pump and dump. I hope everyone knows how it works though?
#EarnFreeCrypto2024 #altcoins #mememcoinseason2024

The problem with ALT COINS.
PART II

📦 Will there be a pump of new tokens?

Friends, hello everyone. I promised you that I will make the second part of the post about "the problem of new tokens". Here we go. Only, if you haven't read this post, you should familiarize yourself with it first.

.... A project can have several rounds of investment: Seed, Private, Series A, B and so on. And each subsequent round is created at a valuation higher than the previous one. This happens because of several reasons:

1️⃣ Early investors risk the most, because very often at Seed Round the project has only an idea and a small plan.
2️⃣ The later a project gathers a round, the closer it is to the exit and the earlier investors can get a return on their investment.

📑 And the situation turns out to be such that at the private level the project FDV only grows, let's take the Starknet project as an example:
• Seed's FDV — $80m
• 2nd Round's FDV — $240m.
• 3rd Round's FDV — $1bn.
• 4th Round's FDV — $8bn.

I wrote about the term FDV in a previous post.

The difference between the first private round and the last is 100x. On such private rounds, as a rule, large crypto funds come in.

❕ Now ask yourself this question: why would early investors do a token dump if they already got hundreds of X's right now?##EarnFreeCrypto2024 #strkusdt #PEPE_EXPERT #PEOPLEbullish

📘 The problem of new altcoins

Friends, hello everyone. Recently I found an interesting table, in which they collected statistics of 31 tokens released on the exchange on Binance for the last half a year and only 5 of these tokens showed growth from the listing price.

🔎 Yes, the correction, which came to us unexpectedly, played a big factor, but still it was not only the correction that was the main factor for such a big drop in the prices of new altcoins:

One factor is Low Float, High FDV

This means that projects come out with low token circulation to the market (up to 10-15%) and because of that it is easy for them to pummel the FDV valuation above reasonable limits.

FDV is the total value of the project if all tokens were in circulation.

🔓 A very vivid example is the token $WLD , the World Coin project. Only 1% of tokens are in the market right now and for the same reason in an upward market, it was valued at 110 billion FDV in March this year.

These are some cosmic values, even the top 3 and top 4 coins: Solana or BNB don't have such valuations.

The big problem for retail players is that all this upside is being taken away at the private equity level from funds. Because the private equity market doesn't work quite fair....

❕ Continued in the next post. like en proscribe for early release of next post.

#EarnFreeCrypto2024 #tonecoin #wifhatdog

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#EarnFreeCrypto2024 #BTC☀

SCALPING SUCCESSFULLY

Scalping - this is a trading strategy that involves trying to profit from small price changes repeatedly throughout the day. A scalper will try to buy low and sell high, sometimes within just minutes or seconds in some cases. The goal is to accumulate numerous small profits that add up over time.****

Scalping requires traders to watch price charts very closely for brief periods where the market dips just a bit lower than a recent peak, or rises just above a recent trough. They will rapidly enter and exit positions, hoping to profit on these tiny fluctuations repeatedly.

While it sounds simple, successful scalping does require an experienced eye, a high risk tolerance for numerous quick trades, and usually computer-automated systems to help spot and act on fleeting opportunities. It carries substantial risks of mistiming a trade and losing money.

Scalping is generally not recommended for novice traders still learning the ropes. But for those with experience, the strategy of aiming for numerous small gains each day rather than huge overnight reversals can be effective if properly managed._

#ETFvsBTC #PEOPLEbullish #BTC☀

The best strategy for building a strong portfolio 💼

A bull market is a great opportunity to turn $1000 into $1 million or $
50 to $50k, but only if you know how to wisely assemble a good portfolio. In this post, I will share a few life hacks 👇

1️⃣ Develop a risk management strategy.
Keep in mind that losses are an integral part of the journey in crypto; everyone experiences them sooner or later. To minimize risks, diversify your portfolio:
• 30% of all assets should be in blue chips, i.e., proven valuable assets.
• 15% should be invested in stablecoins.
• 55% of assets can be invested at your discretion, but the majority should not be in high-risk assets (shitcoins, memes, etc.).

In a bull market, it makes sense to acquire assets from various protocols and projects. When the market is weak, investments should be focused on one project you are confident in.

2️⃣ Manage your portfolio.
Management includes:
• Taking profits
• Rebalancing strategies
• Finding new projects
• Dropping some assets
• Compounding investments.

3️⃣ Take profit on time.
To withdraw profits on time, consider factors like time zone, risk-to-reward ratio, and financial goals. For example, if a token has already shown 2x growth, it makes sense to take profits to avoid larger losses in the future.

4️⃣ Stake assets in the best protocols.
You can find the best opportunities in the crypto section of Twitter or through trusted protocols. This will help create conditions for steadily growing income.

5️⃣ Rebalance your portfolio.
Holding a coin = wanting to buy it at that price. If you are holding ETH at $4000, it means you are willing to buy it at that price right now. If not, then rebalance into other assets.

Remember to DYOR and rely only on your own experience and intuition when building a portfolio.

DYOR
#StartInvestingInCrypto
#ETFvsBTC

WHY BITCOIN IS BETTER THAN btcETF

Friends hallo every one. Let us get it clear.
There are notable and worthy benefits to using Bitcoin directly rather than through an ETF:
1. Potential for Higher Returns:
- By holding Bitcoin directly, investors can potentially capture the full upside of the cryptocurrency's price movements, without the drag of ETF fees.
- This always leads to higher returns for holders who are taking their freedom back of direct Bitcoin ownership.

2. Self-Custody and Control:
- Holding Bitcoin directly gives investors full control and self-custody of their digital assets.
- This allows investors to manage their Bitcoin holdings according to their own security practices and investment strategies.
- With an ETF, the fund manager maintains custody of the underlying Bitcoin, which is really viewed as a drawback.

3. Potential for Yield Generation:
- Bitcoin held directly can be used for activities like lending, staking, or participating in decentralized finance (DeFi) protocols to generate yield.
- ETF holders do not have these opportunities to earn additional returns on their Bitcoin holdings.

4. Tax Benefits:
- Depending on local tax laws, directly holding and trading Bitcoin may allow for more favorable tax treatment compared to investing in a Bitcoin ETF.
- This can include the ability to claim capital gains/losses on Bitcoin transactions.

5. Early Adoption Advantages:
- Direct Bitcoin usage allows investors to be early adopters and participants in the evolving cryptocurrency ecosystem.
- This can provide a sense of empowerment and engagement with the technology that may be less accessible through a regulated ETF.
Of course, these benefits of direct Bitcoin use come with added self discipline, such as the need for technical know-how,
The optimal choice between a Bitcoin ETF and direct Bitcoin usage does not really depends on the investor's goals, risk tolerance, and technical expertise but rather I think our Big brother wants a piece of the pie and control of the pie.
What do you think?
#ETFvsBTC

#😎 TOP SNIPPING MISTAKES

Friends, hello. I think some of you definitely went to do some shit coin sniping. So I decided to give you a list of top mistakes in addition, because of which you can probably lose money. Here we go.

1️⃣ You are sniping, you have a position around 1000$, right during the position your bot gave an error and refused to do your orders, but you didn't open the backup window of this bot. While you were fixing your problem your asset made -90% down.

2️⃣ You did not follow the risk management and used different amount of money in each trade. After making 5 successful trades with 50 dollars, you decided to load 1000 into the next one. The point I mentioned above happened and you zeroed out all your successes for the week. Okay if only zeroed out.

3️⃣ You put a huge slippage and you were given a token at the very top of the pampa. In the end, the asset was very fast and the dump took 10 seconds. Bye-Bye.

4️⃣ You decided to trade a particular token and invested too much money in it, while the market cap of the project turned out to be 50 thousand dollars. Now you own 10% of the total coin volume. In the end, you don't have time to sell all the tokens, the price drops in 10 seconds.

Write it down for yourself and always look at this list before trading.

❕ All mistakes are from experience. If you have (hopefully not) a sad trading experience and somehow question, then write me in private messages. Perhaps I will help you with something. 🔥
#PEPEATH

↗️ How meme coin sniping works
What is meme snipping?
Friends, hello everyone. I see your strong interest in meme coins, so let's understand more about the field of sniping. Let's go!

📑 Sniping is an attempt to front run (pre-purchase) any coin. It is extremely profitable, but at the same time dangerous and unpredictable type of earning.

For example, I have a contract of a coin that has not yet been released to open trade. I naturally want to buy it first at the lowest price.

But my counterparty does not know the contract of this coin. He's sitting in X waiting for the announcement when I already have everything. By making a frontrunner I can use a bot to automatically buy the coin.

🐸 By making a frontrunner I can use a bot to automatically buy the coin as soon as it becomes available (literally in a second) and then sell it to the counterparty who will start buying it manually 1 minute after me.

In this way snipers enter the first blocks of the blockchain and make a large number of X's to investments in a matter of seconds.

All the snipers work is done through the bot. There are specific bots for each blockchain. Personally, we are trading on the Solana blockchain right now. #SOL #Floki🔥🔥

❕ I will talk about specific bots in my Private Club. The topic of how to customize a bot can also be covered in a separate post

💸 Are the Feds quietly printing money? - If the answer is yes Then growth is close!

Friends, hello to all. Today I read a new essay by Arthur Hayes and realized that our thoughts are very similar. What is the main thought.

🔖 Given the decline in QT policy, rising unemployment, and hints from Powell (Fed head) that no one will raise rates this year, so we can conclude that the Fed is taking the first steps toward resuming money printing (the machine is starting up).

And we all know that the beginning of printing of dollars is a big plus for risk assets, which start to grow from the fleeting money. Against this backdrop, a bull market often ensues. People actively go to buy cryptocurrency.

📑 On top of that, the parabolic uptrend phase is now actively underway. Once Bitcoin leaves the accumulation zone (above the $73,800 level), it will enter a parabolic uptrend. It is during this phase that bitcoin experiences accelerated growth.

Historically, this phase lasts a little over a year (~385 days), but with the potential acceleration of the cycle happening right now, that number could be halved.

❕ But right now, our big focus is specifically on the launch of the typewriter. I think you've already realized that this is a big trigger for market growth 🔥

Alt Coins
As the Bitcoin halving approaches, as is tradiion that altcoins will follow a similar parabolic curve as Bitcoin. Historically, altcoins tend to rally alongside Bitcoin during bullish phases, driven by market sentiment and increased investor interest. However, it's important to note that altcoins can also have their own unique price movements influenced by factors specific to each individual coin.
#WIF #BONK🔥🔥 #MemeCoinsToTheMoon

Bitcoin to go vertical.
Here is the analytical evidence.

Certainly! When we examine the historical price patterns leading up to previous Bitcoin halvings, we observe a common trend of significant price increases before the event. Let's take a closer look at the two most recent halvings as examples:

1. 2012 Halving: #BTCTo1Million
During the first Bitcoin halving in November 2012, the block reward reduced from 50 BTC to 25 BTC. In the months leading up to the halving, Bitcoin experienced a gradual but steady increase in price. However, it was in the months following the event that the real surge occurred. The price of Bitcoin skyrocketed from around $10 in October 2012 to over $260 in April 2013, marking a more than 25-fold increase.

2. 2016 Halving:
The second halving took place in July 2016, reducing the block reward from 25 BTC to 12.5 BTC. Similar to the previous halving, the price of Bitcoin exhibited a gradual upward trend in the months leading up to the event. However, it was in the year following the halving that Bitcoin experienced its most significant price surge. The price started around $600 in July 2016 and reached an all-time high near $20,000 in December 2017, marking an astonishing increase of over 30 times.
3 2021 halving * 8
These historical price patterns suggest that the anticipation and speculation surrounding the Bitcoin halving can drive up the price significantly. However, it's important to note that past performance is not indicative of future results. The cryptocurrency market is highly volatile and influenced by various factors, both internal and external.

As we approach the upcoming halving, it is essential to keep in mind that market dynamics can evolve, and the potential for a price surge is not guaranteed. It's always wise to exercise caution, conduct thorough research, and make informed decisions when investing in cryptocurrencies.

Remember, the future is unpredictable, and while history can provide insights, it is not a definitive predictor of what will happen in the present or future.

Highest monthly close ever for BTC before the halving.

#BTCTo1Million

📦 When should you buy tokens?
What's is the right time to buy your tokens in a bullruns.

Friends, was analyzing the BTC drop today and noticed that now there are maximum active sell-offs - record values since May 2019! Everyone is selling: traders, miners, whales.

🔤 Also, I think you highlighted yesterday the news that Ethereum is under investigation that the SEC is preparing to recognize ETH as a security. We saw a sharp drop after that news, but it was quickly bought back. So I think it's time to draw conclusions: either you "buy at the high point and sell at the low point" or always buy a small part of your deposit at every big drawdown (the right strategy).

I advise you to remember:

• negativity at the bottom = growth
• positive at the top = down.

❕ I mentioned in one of my posts that you will never guess the lowest point of an asset's price. So if you want to capitalize on a bull run, I suggest you just buy tokens on drawdowns. You can see a good example of a drawdown on the ETH chart for the last two days.
#Ethereum✅ #BTC🔥🔥🔥🔥

The Bitcoin holdings of publicly traded companies, based on data from CoinGecko (accessed Feb 20, 2024).

MicroStrategy at #1

MicroStrategy is an enterprise software company focused on IT and data analytics. The company began investing in Bitcoin during the early stages of the COVID-19 pandemic, and now owns over 174,530 Bitcoins worth approximately $9B.

Tesla at #4

According to CoinDesk, Tesla invested $1.5B in Bitcoin in Feb 2021, accumulating roughly 43,000 tokens. Plans to accept Bitcoin as payment for its cars were also announced, though later retracted. The firm reportedly sold a large chunk of its Bitcoins throughout 2021 and 2022.

#BTC🔥🔥🔥🔥 #Write2Erarn

As Bitcoin consolidates on the verge of making a new all time high it all seems somewhat inevitable in hindsight. Now ETF’s are approved and institutions are onboard where does the next

Bitcoin narrative come from? Where does it go from here?

Traditionally, Bitcoin has been viewed as a high risk, high reward investment, often behaving like a tech stock. However, a closer examination of its evolving relationship with traditional markets suggests a potential shift in its role as a financial instrument. This newsletter explores the trajectory of Bitcoin transforming from a risk-on to a risk-off asset over a multi-decade period.

I expect many investors currently look at Bitcoin as a bet on a broader market recovery and fed pivot.
Early Signs of Decoupling We’ve started to see subtle changes on lower time frames where Bitcoin's correlation with traditional markets has parted.
There are instances where Bitcoin's price movements have deviated from the patterns of tech stocks, suggesting a potential decoupling. This emerging trend, though still far from confirmed, hints at Bitcoin's capacity to act independently of the traditional financial ecosystem.
If Bitcoin continues on a path towards decorrelation, it stands to become a valuable tool for portfolio diversification. As an independent asset class, it would offer investors a flight to safety that doesn't mirror the ups and downs of conventional markets.
This unique position could redefine Bitcoin's role in investment strategies, shifting eventually from a high-risk option to a stabilizing force in diversified portfolios. This absence of counterparty risk presents Bitcoin as a potentially safe haven during financial turbulence, offering a level of security that is difficult to find in traditional finance. This combined with the lack of counterparty risk, offers a form of financial security that is could be highly valued in the future, especially in times of crisis.
#BTC #Write2Earn‬