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Littleoldbro
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60000 美元見!
比特幣賣家風險比率已達到一定水平,表明市場是時候採取行動了。所有打算獲利的人都已經獲利了,虧損也是如此。市場現在需要找到一個新的價格區間來點燃恐懼、貪婪、恐慌或興奮的火焰。此外,比特幣現貨期貨套利交易可能已接近極限。幾周前,交易者可以通過做多現貨和做空期貨獲得幾乎無風險的 10% 年化溢價。從技術上講,考慮到雙方都要支付費用,年化溢價率爲 5%。現在,它已經降至 6%(技術上爲 3%),低於現金等價物的無風險利率。
#BinanceTournament #BTC☀ #BinanceSquareFamily #Write2Earn! #Bitcoin❗ $BTC
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SEE YOU AT $60000 BUDDY! The Bitcoin seller risk ratio has reached a certain level, indicating that it is time for the market to take action. Everyone who was going to profit has already done so, and the same goes for losses. The market now needs to find a new price range to ignite the flames of fear, greed, panic, or excitement. Additionally, Bitcoin spot-futures arbitrage trading is likely nearing its limit. A few weeks ago, traders could secure an almost risk-free annualized premium of 10% by going long on spot and short on futures. Technically, considering both sides incur fees, the annualized premium rate was 5%. Now, it has dropped to 6% (technically 3%), which is below the risk-free rate of cash equivalents. #BinanceTournament #BTC☀ #BinanceSquareFamily #Write2Earn! #Bitcoin❗ $BTC
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BITCOIN WHERE TO GO?!! Since its inception, Bitcoin has undergone several halving events, each of which has led to a significant price increase. Historically, after each halving, the market typically experiences a brief period of volatility, followed by a gradual price rise as the reduced supply becomes evident. The first, second, and third halvings all sparked intense market interest, demonstrating the effectiveness of the halving mechanism and the market's recognition of Bitcoin's scarcity. As we stand at the start of a new halving cycle, historical patterns suggest that Bitcoin's price will rise again. However, investments should also consider global economic conditions, regulatory policies, and investor sentiment. In the short term, the market may adjust, but the long-term outlook remains bullish. Besides Bitcoin, investors should also look for opportunities in altcoins with innovative technology and broad application potential. Bitcoin halvings are crucial market turning points with far-reaching impacts, and investors must closely monitor market dynamics, seize opportunities, and manage risks effectively. #BinanceTournament #BTC #Write2Earn! #BTC☀ #BinanceSquareFamily
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Bitcoin Drops Below $65,000, Signal of Buying??? At 8:30 PM last night, the US released the May retail data, often referred to as the "scary data." The good news is that there was almost no growth, indicating that consumers are currently facing greater financial pressure and suggesting economic downturn expectations. This means inflation control efforts have had some effect, increasing the likelihood of a rate cut. However, Federal Reserve officials, known for their "expectation management," stated that while progress has been made in fighting inflation, future rate cuts must be based on economic data, requiring more patience. This led to Bitcoin's rather uneventful performance last night, hovering around $65,000. Bitcoin's performance has been weak throughout the week. The main reasons for the recent lack of upward momentum are: 1. ETF Fund Inflows Slowing: Although Bitcoin ETFs have seen net inflows overall, the inflow rate has slowed significantly in recent weeks. Besides GBTC, funds like FBTC and ARKB have also occasionally seen outflows. 2. Lack of New Narratives: The market is missing new positive narratives. Apart from Ethereum’s ETF expectations, there are no new stories driving interest. What Should You Do Next? 1. Exercise Caution: PMI data will be released on Friday, and upcoming unemployment and CPI data on July 11 should be closely watched. It's important to be cautious. 2. Remain Long-Term Bullish: The market won't continuously decline. I maintain my view that the bull market will last from this year into mid-next year. Don't sell Bitcoin and Ethereum at a loss. For quality altcoins, use dollar-cost averaging to lower costs. Finally, keep a positive mindset and enhance your earning potential outside the market. Thank you for your support. Original content is not easy to produce, so please like and follow for more updates. #BinanceTournament #bitcoin #BTC #Write2Earn! #BinanceSquareFamily $BTC $ETH
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JUST A QUICK UPDATE! According to CME's "Fed Watch," the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in August is 89.7%, while the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 10.3%. The likelihood of the Fed maintaining steady rates into September stands at 32.3%, with a cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut at 61.1% and a cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut at 6.6%. #BinanceTournament #BinanceSquareFamily #Write2Earn! #BTC #bitcoin
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THIS IS VERY VERY TRUE!!!!!!!! Many people believe that making money requires frequent trading, but in reality, the true secret to substantial profits lies in patience. Once a position is opened and shows a profit, it is crucial to hold it patiently. While frequent trading can provide instant gratification, patience often contradicts human nature. In the market, 80% of the movements are tempting and difficult to resist. Although they may feel rewarding, these actions typically do not lead to significant gains. $ETH $BTC #ETHETFsApproved #BinanceTournament #BinanceSquareFamily #Write2Earn! #BTC
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