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🚨 FOMC Speeches: R. Bostic & M. Barr On August 20, FOMC members Raphael Bostic and Michael Barr are set to deliver speeches that could shed light on the future of U.S. interest rates and monetary policies. In May, Bostic expressed concerns about persistent inflation, emphasizing that the Federal Reserve might need to wait longer to cut interest rates. He noted that the labor market remains robust, fueling economic activity, and that inflation risks remain higher than desired. He suggested holding the policy rate in the 5.25%-5.5% range for longer than anticipated to curb inflationary pressures effectively. Similarly, Michael Barr, in his May speech, highlighted the progress in combating inflation, which had dropped from a peak of 7.1% to 2.7%. However, Barr maintained that inflation still hadn’t reached the Fed's 2% target, indicating the need for a continued restrictive policy stance. He also discussed the importance of a resilient regulatory framework for banks, focusing on capital, liquidity, and resolution resources. Barr emphasized that while the banking system has become more stable, adjustments are necessary to address lessons learned from the bank failures in early 2023. With these insights, traders and investors should prepare for possible hints on rate decisions and regulatory shifts that could impact the economic outlook. #EmperorMajesty #USDollarWarning #LowestCPI2021 #MarketDownturn #BlackRockETHOptions $BTC $BNB $ETH
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🚨 CB Leading Index m/m Report Tomorrow, markets will focus on two key events that could provide insights into the U.S. economy's direction. FOMC member Waller is expected to discuss recent inflation data and the potential for rate cuts based on economic trends (Details in my previous post). His speech will likely reflect on how recent data could influence future monetary policy. Shortly after, the CB Leading Index m/m report will be released. This index, which tracks several economic indicators, including consumer expectations and stock prices, provides a forward-looking measure of economic health. In June, the LEI fell by 0.2%, continuing its downward trend, though the contraction was smaller than in previous months. This suggests that while economic activity is slowing, the rate of decline may be easing, potentially signaling a gradual recovery. This report will offer a comprehensive view of the overall health of the U.S. economy. Given the current environment, any indication of further slowdown could reinforce concerns about future growth, especially with cooling consumer spending. Keep an eye on these signals as they may guide near-term economic forecasts. #EmperorMajesty #LowestCPI2021 #USDollarWarning #BinanceLaunchpoolTON #MarketDownturn $ETH $BTC $BNB
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🚨 Forecasting USD Trends / FOMC Waller Speech Let's take a look at what might happen next week using historical data, sources, research, and analysis! I'll mainly focus on the US economy, especially the USD. There are some other major news events coming up, but I'll focus specifically on the USD. There's a speech by FOMC member Waller tomorrow. In his previous speech on July 17, 2024, FOMC member Waller discussed the challenges of 2024 for economic forecasting and monetary policy. He noted that inflation had jumped early in the year, but recent data suggests moderation, with GDP growth slowing and inflation easing. He also mentioned that labor supply and demand are now roughly in balance, and wage growth is slowing. Waller outlined three scenarios for the second half of 2024: - In an optimistic scenario, continuous favorable inflation data could lead to a rate cut soon. - In a more moderate scenario, uneven inflation data would delay any rate cut decision. - In a pessimistic scenario, a resurgence in inflation would delay rate cuts and require tighter policy. Waller emphasized that policy decisions would be data-dependent, with the possibility of a rate cut approaching. Given this context, in his upcoming speech tomorrow, Waller is likely to discuss the recent low CPI figures and the ongoing concerns about a potential recession. I don't anticipate significant market volatility following his speech. #EmperorMajesty #LowestCPI2021 #USDollarWarning $BTC $ETH $BNB #LowestCPI2021 #MarketDownturn
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🚨⬇️ Crucial Market Week Ahead The past week was marked by volatility, driven by the impact of CPI and PPI data on Bitcoin, which, due to its dominance, influenced the broader market. As we move into the upcoming week, we should expect continued volatility, given the significance of the events scheduled. The next week could be pivotal in determining whether we see a rise or fall in the market, with the potential for an upward trend. On August 21, two key events will likely have an impact: the Crude Oil Inventories report and the FOMC meeting. The FOMC meeting is particularly important, as discussions about potential rate cuts are expected. I've detailed this in my previous post. Then, on August 22, four major economic indicators will be released: Initial Jobless Claims, S&P Global U.S. Manufacturing PMI (August), S&P Global Services PMI (August), and Existing Home Sales (July). Finally, on August 23, two important reports will be released: New Home Sales (July) and, more notably, Fed Chair Powell’s speech. In his address, Powell is expected to provide insights into potential rate cuts in September. This discussion is going to be lengthy, so I'll post it in parts and quote each new section with the previous one. #EmperorMajesty #LowestCPI2021 #MarketDownturn #BTC☀ #SahmRule $BTC $ETH $BNB
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$9 billion in Bitcoin short positions will be liquidated when Bitcoin hits $68,000. There's fear in the market. ✔️ Liquidity is at the top. ✔️ Support has been touched. ✔️ EVERYTHING favors BTC's upward momentum. There are many chances we might see BTC rise! But always trade carefully. Sometimes unexpected news can change the course. Always look for more confirmations. Always Dyor!! #EmperorMajesty #LowestCPI2021 #BinanceLaunchpoolTON #MarketDownturn #BTC☀ $BTC
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