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YGG 目前處於穩定水平,或者可以說處於穩定區域!如果 10 分鐘後出現另一根看跌蠟燭,則進行短線交易,使用止損,保持低槓桿,然後觀察利潤滾滾而來。
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“Is alt season next?” With Bitcoin at $111,000 and dominance hovering around 61%, the data suggests we may not be there just yet. Let’s break this down with facts, not feelings. At 61% dominance, Bitcoin currently makes up over $2.18 trillion of the $3.57 trillion total crypto market cap. That leaves around $1.39 trillion for all other coins combined—over 37 million altcoins competing for it. Compare that to past alt seasons like in 2021, where BTC dominance dropped from ~70% to ~39%, freeing up over $700 billion in value that rotated into alts like ADA, SOL, and DOGE. Right now, #ETH/BTC is still underperforming. In historical cycles, a rising ETH/BTC ratio has been a key indicator of capital rotation into altcoins. At this point, that signal hasn’t triggered convincingly. Volume-wise, most major inflows are still moving into $BTC and BTC-based ETFs. For instance, BlackRock’s Bitcoin ETF alone has absorbed over $37 billion since January 2024, while equivalent inflows into alt-focused products remain a fraction of that. Additionally, during BTC’s 2021 climb, it plateaued for several weeks before dominance began to fall. Right now, BTC is still rising. If Bitcoin corrects by even 10–15% (say, from $111K down to $95K), it could cause a 30–50% pullback in alts—just as it did with coins like $MATIC, $SAND, and $AVAX in early 2022. In short, while a dominance reversal could eventually open the door for altcoins, the current math doesn’t support a full-blown alt season. It’s not impossible—but based on historical dominance thresholds, volume shifts, and ETH/BTC lag, we’re still in Bitcoin’s phase of the cycle. Keep watching for a drop below 50% dominance, strong ETH/BTC breakout, and broad alt volume surge. “Until then, the data says: not yet.”
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The money flow into $BTC is currently at its peak, and it’s natural in every cycle for some investors to take profits—especially those planning to exit at certain levels. As they begin closing their positions, the sudden outflow of capital will likely trigger a sharp drop in liquidity, potentially leading to a #BTC correction. And I believe that may happen “soon”.
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Markets don’t move by chance—they’re moved by someone taking action. Every shift in price is driven by either those providing or taking liquidity. Here’s the explanation. There are two types of participants. “Passive” ones provide liquidity using limit orders. They place their orders and wait. They don’t chase the price—they let it come to them. These traders help build structure in the market. Then come the “aggressive” participants. They use market orders. They want in now. They don’t wait—they take whatever price is available. This is what moves the market. Every time they hit the book, price shifts. Example: $ETH price = $2200 Sell limit orders at $2200 = 800 ETH Market buy order = 1,200 ETH 800 #ETH filled at $2200 Remaining 400 ETH filled at next ask = $2202 New printed price = $2202 Price moved because liquidity at $2200 was insufficient—not because of indicators or resistance. This is how aggressive orders shift price in real time. When aggressive buyers dominate, they wipe out sell orders and price climbs. When aggressive sellers take control, they hit the bids, and price falls. The entire market is a constant fight between these two forces. Passive traders build the wall. Aggressive traders break through it. Knowing which side you’re on—and who’s winning—is what makes the difference between reacting blindly and trading with purpose. #LearnWithEmperor
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I got a message the other day—“Been waiting 5 months, still no Alt season. When is it coming?” Let me tell you the harsh truth... Alt season hasn’t shown up in 2025 like many expected—and there are real reasons behind it. Bitcoin is still dominating the market, holding over 57–60% of the total value, which leaves little room for altcoins to grow. Ethereum also hasn’t gained strong momentum yet, especially against $BTC — which historically signals when altcoins will run. Most altcoins follow $ETH – #ETH is stuck. Retail interest is down too. Altcoins usually pump when retail investors flood in with hype and FOMO. But people are still cautious after early 2025 losses. On top of that, macro pressure—like inflation worries and global tension—has hit both BTC and altcoins together, breaking the usual pattern where alts rise after #BTC peaks. There are simply too many altcoins now—over 37 million—and capital is spread too thin. No big narrative (like DeFi or NFTs in the past) is driving mass excitement. Plus, the market is maturing: Bitcoin ETFs and institutional focus are keeping the spotlight on BTC. The wild alt rallies of 2021 may not repeat the same way. Some still believe a late-2025 alt season is possible if we get rate cuts, liquidity, and a dip in BTC dominance. But right now, that shift hasn’t happened. If you're waiting for the alt season, stay patient—and more importantly, stay realistic.
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Reminder for everyone: $SUI has already begun a downward trend on lower timeframes (4h and below), though the daily trend hasn't shifted significantly yet. The trend is likely to confirm by tomorrow. Since it’s the weekend, market movement is slower—but starting Monday, SUI could retest 3.5530, with a more probable target near 3.3060. Also, keep an eye on the major resistance at 3.9 — 3.97. A breakout above that level, especially on lower timeframes, would invalidate the downside path. • RED LABEL — Resistance • BLUE LABEL — Support
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