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隨着比特幣的相對強弱指數 (RSI) 跌至數月以來的最低點,比特幣交易員正在關注潛在的短期反彈。在大幅下跌 5% 後,比特幣的 RSI 在一天內從 81.7 跌至 16.6,表明處於“超賣”狀態。從歷史上看,這種下跌往往先於價格反彈。分析師認爲,這種 RSI 過度反應可能導致價格向上回調。儘管目前處於低位,但一些交易員預測在市場大幅復甦之前還會進一步下跌。與往常一樣,投資者在做出任何交易決定之前應該進行研究。
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**Bitcoin's Potential Downtrend: A Closer Look** Bitcoin might be heading towards a multi-year downtrend, according to CryptoQuant's recent analysis. The Index of Bitcoin Cycle Indicators (IBCI) is nearing a critical "distribution region," suggesting a possible end to the current bull market. This index, which includes metrics like the Puell Multiple and Net Unrealized Profit/Loss, helps gauge BTC's price cycle. While some indicators remain optimistic, the IBCI's current position hints at potential growth before a definitive market top. Analyst Timothy Peterson predicts BTC could hit $137,000 before dipping below six figures. As always, investors should proceed with caution.
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Crypto adoption in the UK is on the rise, with 7 million people now owning digital assets, up from 5 million last year. The Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) notes a shift from gambling to investment, as Brits increasingly view crypto as a long-term asset. The mean value of holdings has grown, and stablecoin ownership is up, indicating a strategic approach. The demand for seamless crypto-fiat integration is evident, with 43% converting crypto to fiat in 2024. As crypto becomes mainstream, businesses must adapt to stay competitive, while the FCA plans to regulate the sector by 2026.
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**Crypto Custody Rule Change: SAB 121 Rescinded** The SEC has scrapped the controversial SAB 121 rule, which required financial institutions to list crypto assets held for customers as liabilities. Introduced in March 2022, the rule faced backlash for complicating crypto custody. Its removal, effective January 23, coincides with Donald Trump's inauguration as the 47th U.S. President. SAB 122 replaces SAB 121, allowing companies to assess liabilities based on actual risk, not arbitrary figures. This change simplifies custody operations, boosts trust in traditional finance, and encourages banks to enter the crypto market. The move signals a shift toward balanced crypto regulation.
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AI agents are making waves in decentralized finance (DeFi), automating tasks like trading and liquidity management. However, their safety and reliability are under scrutiny. Mike Cahill from Douro Labs highlights the need for real-time, high-quality data to ensure these agents make accurate decisions. Errors or data manipulation could lead to significant issues, but solutions like ultra-low-latency updates and Oracle Integrity Staking (OIS) help mitigate risks. As AI technology advances, the potential for fully autonomous financial systems grows, promising a faster and more efficient DeFi landscape.
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**News Flash: US CBDC Ban Sparks Global Ripple Effects** The US has taken a bold step by banning central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) under an executive order signed by President Trump. This move is causing waves in the crypto world, as it could influence global CBDC projects. - **Retail vs. Wholesale**: Retail CBDCs, meant for public use, may face setbacks, while wholesale CBDCs, used for interbank transactions, might gain traction. - **Global Impact**: Countries like China and the EU remain committed to CBDCs, viewing them as crucial for payment efficiency and monetary sovereignty. - **Strategic Shifts**: The ban could push nations to explore alternatives to US-dominated financial systems, potentially accelerating wholesale CBDC initiatives globally.
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