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比特幣近期的反彈使未平倉合約和 BTC 價格達到前所未有的高點,接近關鍵的 10 萬目標。槓桿頭寸的顯著增加推動了這一飆升,反映出市場樂觀情緒的強勁增長。然而,快速增長導致價格回調 9%,引發了一波清算潮。清算後,未平倉合約的 7 天百分比變化急劇下降,表明市場可能趨於穩定。從歷史上看,這種轉變先於短期市場變化。監控這一指標可以深入瞭解投資者行爲,有助於戰略定位。
免責聲明:包含來自第三方的見解。非財務建議。可能包含贊助內容。
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The year 2024 has marked a pivotal shift in the cryptocurrency industry, characterized by a notable increase in institutional participation. Exchanges have reported significant rises in average Bitcoin and USDT deposits, with Bitcoin deposits increasing from 0.36 BTC in 2023 to 1.65 BTC, and USDT deposits surging from $19.6k to $230k. This trend underscores a growing interest from professional and corporate investors, distinguishing institutional activity from retail trading. Binance has emerged as a leader in this institutional growth, reporting the largest increase in average Bitcoin deposits among major exchanges. The platform's institutional business expanded by 40%, with average daily Bitcoin deposits rising by 2.77 BTC. In USDT, Binance and Bitfinex recorded substantial gains, with Binance's total USDT reserves reaching an all-time high of $23 billion. These developments highlight a surge in institutional funds, reflecting increased confidence in the cryptocurrency sector. Improved regulatory clarity, robust infrastructure, and enhanced risk management frameworks have further solidified crypto's role as a maturing financial asset class.
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The recent appearance of a golden cross in the SOPR Ratio indicator, a rare event exclusive to bull markets, signals a potential strong rise in the crypto market. This is the second such signal in the current upward cycle that began in January 2023. Historically, such signals precede significant market increases within two months. As the cycle progresses, we anticipate larger rises with shorter adjustment periods. Should this trend continue, a steep rise could occur by late 2024 to early 2025, potentially attracting new investments and driving the market to new heights.
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Ethereum has experienced a remarkable surge of over 140% since the November U.S. presidential election, although it has not yet surpassed its all-time high from March 2024. Institutional capital inflows into Ethereum ETFs have notably increased, with trading volumes rising by approximately 300% compared to September and October. The formation of a rising wedge pattern in November suggests that a significant price fluctuation may be imminent. Continued institutional support for ETF inflows could propel Ethereum past its previous ATH, mirroring Bitcoin's recent trajectory.
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Binance's ERC-20 stablecoin reserves have experienced a remarkable recovery, climbing from $7 billion in 2023 to an unprecedented $28 billion in 2024, marking a 300% increase. This surge underscores Binance's pivotal role as the largest crypto exchange, acting as a key liquidity hub for stablecoin transactions, storage, and trading. The rising reserves reflect renewed market confidence, heightened trading activity, and increased staking. This trend signals a bullish outlook for the crypto market and reaffirms Binance's position as a trusted entity within the blockchain ecosystem.
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Bitcoin's approach to the 100k target has been marked by continued accumulation by whales, indicating a positive and confident market sentiment. Two key metrics highlight this trend: the Total Whale Balance, which provides a long-term perspective on whether whales are increasing or decreasing their holdings, and the monthly percentage change in whale balance, offering insights into short-term accumulation or selling. Monitoring whale activity remains crucial for understanding investor confidence and overall market dynamics.
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分析师称BTC上涨需日活地址和交易量飙升
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