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比特幣目前處於一個重要的心理門檻附近,其“獲利供應”指標表明相當一部分投資者處於獲利狀態。歷史數據表明,當比特幣保持在這個關鍵範圍內時,大幅下跌的可能性很低。2016 年和 2020 年的牛市在比特幣價格保持在這個區域時呈現強勁的上升趨勢。如果比特幣超過這個門檻,它可能會支持上行趨勢並可能導致新的價格高點。只要這個水平保持不變,市場情緒就會保持樂觀。
免責聲明:包含來自第三方的見解。非財務建議。可能包含贊助內容。
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Recent analysis highlights a promising phase for altcoin investments, as the 30-day average trading volume for altcoin-stablecoin pairs has dipped below the annual average. This shift signals a potential buying zone, reminiscent of post-bear market conditions observed in September 2023. Historically, such periods have provided lucrative opportunities for implementing Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA) strategies. Investors are advised to closely monitor these trends, which could extend over weeks or months, offering a strategic advantage in optimizing portfolio growth amidst a recovering market landscape.
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Bitcoin's price has recently declined from $109K to approximately $80K, yet both its hashrate and mining difficulty have reached all-time highs. This increase in difficulty, while initially appearing disadvantageous due to higher mining costs, actually signifies robust fundamentals, underscoring Bitcoin's intrinsic value through enhanced mining power and network security. Ki Young Ju, CEO of CryptoQuant, emphasizes that Bitcoin's potential market cap, driven by hashrate, could soar to $5 trillion. With the current market cap at $1.6 trillion, the upside potential remains substantial, indicating a positive outlook for the cryptocurrency market.
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Bitcoin reserves on Binance have surged from 568,768 BTC on March 28 to 590,874 BTC by April 9, marking an increase of 22,106 BTC. This significant uptick indicates robust BTC inflows into Binance, suggesting heightened investor activity. The movement of funds is likely driven by macroeconomic uncertainties and anticipation of the forthcoming Consumer Price Index (CPI) announcement. This trend reflects a positive sentiment in the crypto market, as investors position themselves strategically amidst evolving economic conditions.
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Spot trading volumes for Bitcoin and altcoins have significantly declined as crypto prices entered correction mode over the past two months. Bitcoin's spot trading volume fell from $44 billion on February 3 to $10 billion by the end of Q1, while altcoins saw a drop from $122 billion to $23 billion in the same period. Despite this downturn, Binance has increased its market dominance, capturing nearly 50% of total spot trading volume. Its share of daily Bitcoin spot trading volume rose from 33% to 49%, and altcoin volume from 38% to 44%. Binance's liquidity strength is evident during high volatility, with its altcoin trading volume spiking to 64% amid price corrections.
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Bitcoin's recent 15% drawdown, from ~$88,000 to ~$74,400, highlights significant structural shifts in market behavior. Key on-chain observations reveal that on April 7th, Short-Term Holders (STH) realized $10.1 billion in losses, while Long-Term Holders (LTH) increased their realized cap by $9.7 billion, indicating substantial accumulation. This transfer of coins from weak to strong hands suggests a pivotal market phase. As STH losses slow and LTH accumulation continues, the market appears to be entering a reaccumulation phase, potentially marking the late stages of correction or the early phase of recovery.
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