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Bitcoin — D-Day Today? Bitcoin has been trying to move into the upper half of its trend channel for almost a week—so far, unsuccessfully. On the contrary, Bitcoin broke out of a bearish wedge to the bottom and faced the risk of further downside pressure—however, this did not happen either. Currently, the middle band acts like a strong magnet, pulling the price but not letting it pass. Nevertheless, today might be the day when we will see a decision for the next short-term direction: A break through the middle band and move toward the upper band and a new ATH — or another re-test of the lower band. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is set to be released today. Historically, CPI data has created immense volatility and set the tone for the following weeks. This time, it might have an even higher impact. Here are the most important aspects: The CPI report is scheduled for release on Wednesday, August 14, at 8:30 a.m. EDT. Analysts generally expect the CPI to increase by 0.2% in July, following a 0.1% decline in June. On a year-over-year basis, the CPI is anticipated to rise by 3%, consistent with June's increase. In other words, the July CPI report is expected to show that inflation is continuing to slow down, which supports the anticipated rate cuts in September, especially since the Fed is also paying close attention to rising unemployment rates, not just inflation. As a result, if the numbers come out as expected or even lower, the market could interpret it as the final confirmation for upcoming rate cuts and react positively. However, if the numbers are higher than expected, it could lead to a different market reaction. As always, I would strongly advise against trading on days like today, where high volatility and unpredictable movements are expected. It's important to exercise caution and consider the potential risks. $BTC #CPI_DATA #Bitcoin❗
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Momentum Pullback Strategy — Backtest Resulsts Solana 1H Chart. I have continued to improve and backtest the Momentum Pullback Strategy (still one of my favorites). So, I added a couple of optional indicators, such as the MFI or Stochastic Oscillator, to see if they could improve the results. However, the basic setting based on EMA and ADX is the most reliable. Moreover, this setup needs no or little configuration to achieve positive results across many tokens. On top of that, I also added a two-level profit target, so I can play with my favorite approach of using a tight stop loss, with a moderate 1st take profit target and a high second one. The results show a 1% stop loss, 5% 1st TP, and 10% 2nd TP. Nevertheless, I am still unhappy with the drawdown and will try to address this with the next version(s). Feel free to backtest the strategy and share your results. $SOL #TraderEducation #StrategicTrading
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1INCH — Last Firewall Before All-Time Low 🚨 1INCH has been one of the most disappointing coins for the last few years. The token reached an incredible high of almost 8 USD back in 2021 before crashing completely. Currently, 1INCH trades at 26 cents ‼️ Moreover, the token printed one bearish pattern after the other. Just recently, it broke below the neckline of a head and shoulders pattern. As a result, the token dropped another 25% to its current level. The level between 23 and 25 cents represents the last firewall before 1INCH would be sent to its all-time low. The coin was here previously. Already at the end of 2023, 1INCH consolidated in this area before recovering to a level of 70 cents. Therefore, I would watch this level closely. If it holds and we enter a bullish market phase, 1INCH could reverse from here and pump. Since the token has proven that it can still move towards 1 USD quickly, the current level represents an interesting accumulation zone. On the other hand, a break below the last firewall should send 1INCH to a new all-time low and probably much lower. #1inch
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Tellor — Watching You Closely! I know that Tellor left many investors unhappy. After its massive pump of more than 200% at the beginning of May, TRB entered a continuous downtrend channel. Four months later, Tellor has basically retraced the entire pump and is almost back to its crucial support level at $45. The level at 45 USD is extremely crucial since it marks the bear market outbreak. TRB fell below this level at the end of 2021 and basically remained there for almost two years. Once Tellor broke out, it delivered an incredible pump beyond 200 USD. 🧐 What To Watch Tellor is getting closer to the corner formed by the long-term downtrend channel and the 45-level. Accordingly, the probability increases that we will see a massive move—either to the down or to the upside. Currently, it is hard to predict the direction. However, the magnitude will be strong. A drop below the 45-level will trigger immense downward momentum, sending Tellor to the 30-level or even sub-20-level in the worst case. Conversely, a breakout to the top will initiate a massive pump. In this case, 100 should be easily reachable. Therefore, I will keep my feet still and watch TRB very closely, being ready to jump on the breakout at any time! $TRB #Tellor
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DOGE Update — Battling Long Term Down Trend 🥊 DOGE is currently trapped between its support at 0.095 and the long term downtrend line at approx 0.105. Despite some attempts, Doge couldn’t manage to break out and confirm it on a higher timeframe. Once this happens, Doge should rally quickly to the level of 0.13. Therefore, monitoring the downtrend line is essential to time a perfect entry. $DOGE #doge⚡
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