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周五 BTC 主导地位以看跌蜡烛收盘(长卖尾和下跌收盘主体)。这应该会将看跌势头带到周末,甚至可能在第二天开始。
另一方面,现在它回到了 20 周均线,因此这可能是 BTC.D 的看涨重新测试走势 - 让我们保持谨慎。这是一个强劲的水平,短期反弹的可能性很高。与最近一周内重新测试卖尾相同(即使它会在之后下跌)。
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📉 Bitcoin Daily 📈 Main ideas to remember. Long term $BTC is bullish and I have no doubts in my Halving Cycles chart with top projection for Q4 2025 Mid term weekly chart shows slow in momentum which may lead to two equally possible scenarios: 1) Side range for bullish consolidation 90-105k 2) Range with flash dip to CME gap at 77k and then bounce back up P.S. I don't think that in case of range consolidation we will see same long period as was previous for 8 months. No. It will take less time. Still it can be several months. Nearest liquidity pools: above - 99615 / 100823 / 101534 / 103380 below - 97662 / 96640 / 95060 / 94408 Lines on #Bitcoin chart: 🔸101200 - last week close 🔸99660 - November high 🔸96760 - developing Q VAH 🔸96475 - November close 🔸91958 - developing Year VAH2 🔸77200-80260 - CME Futures gap
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Yesterday there was still a chance for "green scenario", but today closed all questions. BTC dominance have chosen violence and blood. Next stop ~60.25% and pray to crypto gods it will stop there. That will give a chance for another altseason. But if grow above 61.5% alts market will be destroyed.
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📉 #Bitcoin Daily 📈 I followed the trend and therefore counted on more bullish response from the market, but last 2 days (+ how it looks today) force me to admit, that $BTC have finished with that swing up and now preparing for correction within high TF uptrend. "What? Wasn't these 2 days dump a correction?" - you may ask. And the answer is - no. There is a CME gap at 77k and breakout level at 74k, so there is much more space for pullback. But even if #BTC gets there, it will still remain within monthly uptrend, so that PA won't break Bitcoin cycles idea of top in Q4 2025. The only thing not clear is how long that correction will take. Usually dumps happen fast, so 82-85k can be reached within one week time. Short term I expect everything to bounce soon, as at lower timeframes BTC made 4 waves down. That most probably covers weekend. But next week can be very bloody again. Nearest liquidity pools: above - 98523 / 99494 / 100563 / 101534 below - 94540 / 93091 / 90150 / 88666
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On that dip #Ethereum touched developing year VWAP VAH and now above Q VAH. ETHBTC still keep chances for reversal from grand downtrend on week timeframe (although can drop 4-5% more). And as I described on Tuesday, this can become the bottom of wide consolidation range. So I think in general situation doesn't look that bad. Open question is if BTC done or do another drop by ~5% to ~96.5k which will lead to $ETH drop by 8-13% from CMP at least. Talking about 3200-3360 target zone. Meanwhile sure target for a bounce is 3800. Will be there before or after the drop. Doesn't matter. Level will remain a magnet for price.
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$AVAX has such a clear trendline, that was already tested 4 times, that I have no doubts it will be crossed down. Next zone worth watching is around ~36-38 ⏰ Setting alarm for 38 cross to watch it there
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