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超过100,000美元的比特币链上交易数量已达到与2021年相同的水平。这反映出鲸鱼们对在区块链上转移他们的比特币非常感兴趣。从历史上看，大量的大额交易通常反映出牛市时期和局部高点。然而，2017年的牛市周期仍然无人能及，当时的交易平均量为74,000笔。目前，数量与2021年相似，日均交易量在20,000到25,000笔之间！
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Addresses with 100 to 1000 BTC are the Only Ones Accumulating! Meanwhile, all other addresses are in Distribution, meaning they are selling their BTC. However, there’s an interesting twist in this story. Since the end of 2020, addresses holding 100 to 1000 BTC have shown a strong correlation with Bitcoin’s price action. In other words, when they accumulate, we see upward price movements, and when they distribute, price declines are observed. Even though price action may take days or weeks to materialize, this address category seems to best represent what we call Whales or Market Makers, as we know that most addresses holding over 1000 BTC belong to Exchanges. Thus, this category seems to better represent institutional action compared to other cohorts. Currently, we refer to these addresses as "🐬The Dolphins," and they accumulated about 344k BTC at their peak on December 6, over a 60-day period. In the past week, they distributed around 11K BTC, which likely had a direct impact on recent volatility. But it's still too early to say that they’ve stopped accumulating, so it’s crucial to track Onchain metrics daily! 👉http://alphractal 👉http://platform.alphractal
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🚨 Altcoins Underperforming in the Short Term! 🚨 In the short and medium term, the Altcoin Season shows signs of weakening. Altcoins have been underperforming compared to Bitcoin (BTC), with BTC dominance rising even as its price declines. This movement suggests that funds are migrating from altcoins to Stablecoins or BTC, leaving the altcoin market more vulnerable. 🔍 Adjustment cycles are normal During BTC's bull cycles, it’s common for altcoins to lose part or even all of their recent gains. While BTC maintains high price levels, many altcoins give back previous highs. 📉 December and market uncertainty Historically, December is known for market indecision. For instance, in December 2020, XRP gave back all the gains it achieved in November, recovering only in February 2021. These movements are often driven by Market Makers, who push prices down to liquidate positions, trigger stop losses, and generate fear before a new rally begins. ⚠️ Risk management is key Altcoin bull and bear cycles tend to be short, making profit-taking a challenge. Diversifying between BTC, altcoins, and stablecoins is crucial to reduce risk and capitalize on opportunities. 💡 Stay alert to market movements and protect your capital. 👉 alphractal 👉 platform.alphractal #DUMP #ALTCOINS
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We’ve added Risk and Return Analysis for 1700 Cryptocurrency Pairs! Now, you can assess the risk of over 1700 cryptocurrency pairs using the adjusted Sharpe Ratio and Normalized Risk Metric (NRM), two powerful metrics to measure an asset's risk. 🔍 Sharpe Ratio: The adjusted Sharpe Ratio measures an asset’s performance by dividing its expected return by its volatility. It shows the return per unit of risk, helping to identify assets with a higher risk-adjusted return. The higher the Sharpe Ratio, the better the risk-adjusted return. 📈 Normalized Risk Metric (NRM): The NRM normalizes an asset’s volatility and risk, comparing it to its historical performance. This provides a consistent risk assessment, regardless of price movement magnitude, enabling fairer comparisons between assets, especially in volatile markets. Additionally, you can evaluate risk with pairs of Stablecoins, various fiat currencies (USD, EUR, TRY, BRL, etc.), and cryptocurrencies like BTC, ETH, BNB, and more, across timeframes ranging from 1 minute to weekly. 🛠 Ideal for investors seeking decisions based on technical analysis and advanced risk management. 👉 alphractal 👉 platform.alphractal
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The number of addresses holding more than 10 BTC has risen rapidly in recent days. However, addresses with over 10K BTC have been decreasing rapidly. This could indicate several things: 1. Addresses holding more than 10 BTC often represent institutional players, sharks, miners, and others. 2. On the other hand, addresses with over 10K BTC are mostly owned by exchanges, funds, whales, and long-term investors (Long-Term Holders). Other possibilities may exist, but generally, major exchanges hold the largest BTC addresses in terms of quantity. Thus, there has been evident institutional interest recently, and sharks have been more active as BTC approached the $100K price level. This activity caused many BTC to migrate from the largest addresses to smaller ones, such as those holding 10 BTC or more. These metrics spark curiosity about what’s happening behind the scenes on the blockchain and help us understand the dynamics between these large addresses. 👉 alphractal 👉 platform.alphractal
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The difference between BID and ASK in the Spot market across various Bitcoin exchanges has continued to decrease in the short term whenever BTC approaches $100k. Currently, the recorded difference is -139 USD, reflecting stronger selling pressure. The Difference Bid-Ask Mean Price Spot (USD) measures the difference between the average buy order price (BID) and the average sell order price (ASK) in the Spot market, using the dollar as a reference. This metric helps identify the balance between buying and selling pressure in the market. Positive values indicate stronger buying pressure, while negative values suggest a higher volume of sell orders. It is a valuable tool for analyzing Spot market sentiment and understanding how buyers and sellers are positioned, especially during periods of high volatility or at key price levels, such as $100k for Bitcoin. 👉 alphractal 👉 platform.alphractal $BTC #Spot #Sentiment
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