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比特币近期的反弹使未平仓合约和 BTC 价格达到前所未有的高点,接近关键的 10 万目标。杠杆头寸的显著增加推动了这一飙升,反映出市场乐观情绪的强劲增长。然而,快速增长导致价格回调 9%,引发了一波清算潮。清算后,未平仓合约的 7 天百分比变化急剧下降,表明市场可能趋于稳定。从历史上看,这种转变先于短期市场变化。监控这一指标可以深入了解投资者行为,有助于战略定位。
免责声明:含第三方意见,不构成财务建议,并且可能包含赞助内容。
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The year 2024 has marked a pivotal shift in the cryptocurrency industry, characterized by a notable increase in institutional participation. Exchanges have reported significant rises in average Bitcoin and USDT deposits, with Bitcoin deposits increasing from 0.36 BTC in 2023 to 1.65 BTC, and USDT deposits surging from $19.6k to $230k. This trend underscores a growing interest from professional and corporate investors, distinguishing institutional activity from retail trading. Binance has emerged as a leader in this institutional growth, reporting the largest increase in average Bitcoin deposits among major exchanges. The platform's institutional business expanded by 40%, with average daily Bitcoin deposits rising by 2.77 BTC. In USDT, Binance and Bitfinex recorded substantial gains, with Binance's total USDT reserves reaching an all-time high of $23 billion. These developments highlight a surge in institutional funds, reflecting increased confidence in the cryptocurrency sector. Improved regulatory clarity, robust infrastructure, and enhanced risk management frameworks have further solidified crypto's role as a maturing financial asset class.
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The recent appearance of a golden cross in the SOPR Ratio indicator, a rare event exclusive to bull markets, signals a potential strong rise in the crypto market. This is the second such signal in the current upward cycle that began in January 2023. Historically, such signals precede significant market increases within two months. As the cycle progresses, we anticipate larger rises with shorter adjustment periods. Should this trend continue, a steep rise could occur by late 2024 to early 2025, potentially attracting new investments and driving the market to new heights.
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Ethereum has experienced a remarkable surge of over 140% since the November U.S. presidential election, although it has not yet surpassed its all-time high from March 2024. Institutional capital inflows into Ethereum ETFs have notably increased, with trading volumes rising by approximately 300% compared to September and October. The formation of a rising wedge pattern in November suggests that a significant price fluctuation may be imminent. Continued institutional support for ETF inflows could propel Ethereum past its previous ATH, mirroring Bitcoin's recent trajectory.
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Binance's ERC-20 stablecoin reserves have experienced a remarkable recovery, climbing from $7 billion in 2023 to an unprecedented $28 billion in 2024, marking a 300% increase. This surge underscores Binance's pivotal role as the largest crypto exchange, acting as a key liquidity hub for stablecoin transactions, storage, and trading. The rising reserves reflect renewed market confidence, heightened trading activity, and increased staking. This trend signals a bullish outlook for the crypto market and reaffirms Binance's position as a trusted entity within the blockchain ecosystem.
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Bitcoin's approach to the 100k target has been marked by continued accumulation by whales, indicating a positive and confident market sentiment. Two key metrics highlight this trend: the Total Whale Balance, which provides a long-term perspective on whether whales are increasing or decreasing their holdings, and the monthly percentage change in whale balance, offering insights into short-term accumulation or selling. Monitoring whale activity remains crucial for understanding investor confidence and overall market dynamics.
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