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$TIA
80%的流通供应解除已经发生。显然,大家都期待著巨大的抛售,但这些价格行动不会迅速发生。记住
$ARB
解除时的87% - 它在首次大幅抛售之前相对稳定了几周。
另一件需要记住的事情是 - 现在市场比三月时更看涨。因此
#TIA
可能会因此受益,并且不会像在熊市中那样损失那么多。因此,我对下跌至约3.3的预测代表著软著陆的情景。
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详见《条款和条件》。
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The way $ETH chart looks on month timeframe now 👀
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#Ethereum price action didn't fully satisfy my forecast, but it stayed within the theory I've described - price got to re-test breakout level which it did. Just bounced a little higher leaving me without orders filled. Hope you had them higher. How making another re-test of developing Year VWAP VAH - don't trust long breakout candles unless they close above crucial level. Best if $ETH price start trading there. If breakout happens, next will be 3676 (2021 close) and Day gap above it up to ~3750.
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📉 Bitcoin Daily 📈 $BTC bounced from the zone I've marked in the last review ✅ As you might have noticed, altcoins are doing pretty well on that BTC dip. That tells me that market ain't that scared and don't yet believe in BTC full correction. That correlates with my "momentum" idea that without wiping out stops above 99660 #Bitcoin won't drop anywhere much further and in the worst case will form a consolidation range. While moving in that range it will be free to go down only after wiping out those stops. Might be wrong. But I will wait with selling my spot #BTC for that breakout. If it end up with clear rejection, selling and buying back under 80k. If breakout shows strong bullishness, will wait longer. Yesterday touched developing month VAH and got rejected. If this week manage to get there again, will hunt for inefficiency left around 97k. Levels of interest for future dips: * 84642 - developing Year VWAP VAH2 * 77200-80260 - CME Futures gap Nearest liquidity pools: above - 94325 / 95484 / 96105 / 96777 below - 92233 / 91536 / 90685 / 89988 Lines on the chart: 🔸97960 - week open 🔸93421 - Nov 2nd week high 🔸89900 - previous week close 🔸84642 - dev Year VWAP VAH2 🔸80410 - week close
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I will never make you FOMO and buy the top. Not in my rules. As I wrote, $APE pumped and dumped by 50% from that move. More or less guessed the buy zone 👌🏼 Yes, it wicked lower, but the consolidation and bounce happened from around 0.95-0.98 If #APE stay bullish it shouldn't drop much lower than 1.16, but that assumes BTC won't drop much lower. If it will, then next zone is again around same 0.95
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📉 Bitcoin Daily 📈 I was sure this week we will see 100k and only after $BTC would start correction, but as price action evolves, I start to doubt about that. In theory last week's high remains valid target for stop hunting and, in most cases, BTC didn't go down without clearing such an attractive point. But in fact Monday closed with long red candle and Tuesday already wicked up for re-test of developing VWAP VAHs, so short term main direction is down to search for more liquidity there. The closer to month end, the less chances to see #BTC at 100k in November. But with all that developing month candle remains very bullish, so higher timeframe momentum still can push BTC above 100k in December or January. Before that next nearest zone with high volume to support #Bitcoin is around 91500 and if it won't hold next will be developing Year VWAP VAH2 growing towards ~86k Levels of interest for future dips: * 84800 - developing Year VWAP VAH2 * 77200-80260 - CME Futures gap Nearest liquidity pools: above - 95784 / 96777 / 97861 / 98674 below - 91810 / 90990 / 88680 / 87720
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