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比特币目前处于一个重要的心理门槛附近,其“获利供应”指标表明相当一部分投资者处于获利状态。历史数据表明,当比特币保持在这个关键范围内时,大幅下跌的可能性很低。2016 年和 2020 年的牛市在比特币价格保持在这个区域时呈现强劲的上升趋势。如果比特币超过这个门槛,它可能会支持上行趋势并可能导致新的价格高点。只要这个水平保持不变,市场情绪就会保持乐观。
免责声明:含第三方意见,不构成财务建议,并且可能包含赞助内容。
详见《条款和条件》。
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Recent analysis highlights a promising phase for altcoin investments, as the 30-day average trading volume for altcoin-stablecoin pairs has dipped below the annual average. This shift signals a potential buying zone, reminiscent of post-bear market conditions observed in September 2023. Historically, such periods have provided lucrative opportunities for implementing Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA) strategies. Investors are advised to closely monitor these trends, which could extend over weeks or months, offering a strategic advantage in optimizing portfolio growth amidst a recovering market landscape.
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Bitcoin's price has recently declined from $109K to approximately $80K, yet both its hashrate and mining difficulty have reached all-time highs. This increase in difficulty, while initially appearing disadvantageous due to higher mining costs, actually signifies robust fundamentals, underscoring Bitcoin's intrinsic value through enhanced mining power and network security. Ki Young Ju, CEO of CryptoQuant, emphasizes that Bitcoin's potential market cap, driven by hashrate, could soar to $5 trillion. With the current market cap at $1.6 trillion, the upside potential remains substantial, indicating a positive outlook for the cryptocurrency market.
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Bitcoin reserves on Binance have surged from 568,768 BTC on March 28 to 590,874 BTC by April 9, marking an increase of 22,106 BTC. This significant uptick indicates robust BTC inflows into Binance, suggesting heightened investor activity. The movement of funds is likely driven by macroeconomic uncertainties and anticipation of the forthcoming Consumer Price Index (CPI) announcement. This trend reflects a positive sentiment in the crypto market, as investors position themselves strategically amidst evolving economic conditions.
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Spot trading volumes for Bitcoin and altcoins have significantly declined as crypto prices entered correction mode over the past two months. Bitcoin's spot trading volume fell from $44 billion on February 3 to $10 billion by the end of Q1, while altcoins saw a drop from $122 billion to $23 billion in the same period. Despite this downturn, Binance has increased its market dominance, capturing nearly 50% of total spot trading volume. Its share of daily Bitcoin spot trading volume rose from 33% to 49%, and altcoin volume from 38% to 44%. Binance's liquidity strength is evident during high volatility, with its altcoin trading volume spiking to 64% amid price corrections.
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Bitcoin's recent 15% drawdown, from ~$88,000 to ~$74,400, highlights significant structural shifts in market behavior. Key on-chain observations reveal that on April 7th, Short-Term Holders (STH) realized $10.1 billion in losses, while Long-Term Holders (LTH) increased their realized cap by $9.7 billion, indicating substantial accumulation. This transfer of coins from weak to strong hands suggests a pivotal market phase. As STH losses slow and LTH accumulation continues, the market appears to be entering a reaccumulation phase, potentially marking the late stages of correction or the early phase of recovery.
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