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Government hiring is inflating jobs numbers. 🔶 Private sector jobs growth as a percentage of total payroll growth fell to 38% in July, the lowest since the 2020 pandemic. 🔶 Historically, every time private payroll growth share fell below 40%, the US economy was in a recession. 🔶 This also means that most of the employment growth over the last few months has come from government jobs. 🔶 Over the last 1.5 years alone, the government created nearly 1 million jobs, the most since the 1990s. 🔶 Meanwhile, the private sector hiring rate fell to 3.7%, the lowest level since April 2020. Truly concerning.
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Current Situation: 🔶 Stocks are falling like the big tech bubble has popped. 🔶 Oil prices are falling like we are entering a recession. 🔶 Gold prices are falling like rate cuts got canceled. 🔶 Bond prices are falling like inflation is on the rise. 🔶 Natural gas prices are falling like there's no demand. 🔶 Crypto is falling like risk appetite has disappeared. September has commenced with a widespread rush to the sidelines.
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BREAKING: Nvidia stock ($NVDA) is down over 12% since reporting earnings on August 28th. 🔶 The stock has erased $400 billion in market cap in just 3 trading days. 🔶 Despite a significant earnings beat and a $50 billion stock buyback, Nvidia is struggling to maintain recent gains. Is big tech losing its momentum? 🔶 Volatility is expected to continue accelerating in the coming months. 🔶 With the first rate cut since 2020 anticipated this month, we are trading the volatility.
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🚨 Financial Repression is Coming 🚨 Western governments will soon enforce capital controls ahead of the sovereign debt crisis. They'll regulate the flow in and out of financial instruments. Your options: 🔶 Buy physical gold outside the system. 🔶 Buy Bitcoin and hold in cold storage. Everything else will fall under capital control, allowing governments to deleverage their 120% debt-to-GDP ratio through financial repression. 🔶 Bitcoin ETFs, Gold ETFs, and paper gold won’t protect you. Only self-custody Bitcoin or physical gold held outside the country will. $BTC
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#Bitcoin Rally or Final Capitulation? 🔶 Scenario 1: A rally defying expectations of a "Rektember" 🩸🚀 🔶 Scenario 2: A final capitulation—though it seems too obvious—pulling back to the trendline, sweeping the early August low, before an end-of-year rally. 📉📈 Which scenario do you think is more likely?
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