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Risk_Manager
--
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我开发了两个 AI 模型来预测
$BTC
的价格。我目前不喜欢它的准确性，但我知道如何提高它。
不依赖它或其他任何东西，但似乎很有趣。
我的模型认为今天的收盘价将是 58400
免责声明：含第三方意见，不构成财务建议，并且可能包含赞助内容。
详见《条款和条件》。
BTC
95,244
-0.91%
440
0
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$BTC update Closure above previous weekly swing high will create a bullish structure (if we close this week above 64800 or so). Higher low and higher high will look pretty good as of the market structure. Overall momentum is bullish with China monetary stimulus and the US loosing monetary policy. Also, FTX repayment is in USD, and will partially circulate back into the market. However, closure below 65 might signify lower high, plus there is some level of the uncertainty partially attributed to the US election and the overall economy strength+ WW3 FUD with things going a bit ugly in the Middle East. I might bid on leverage the retest at 65K if there is strong closure above this level, and some retest afterwards. If not- comfy in spot (read: looking at my bag and crying but hodling).
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$BTC If you see for any bearish post on here a lot of bullish comments (as well as pump with no volume, and price testing the resistance before the major news)- it is probably not a good sign. Nobody can predict the market, but from here I expect a spike above the resistance (bull trap basically) before we are back to mid-50-s.
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#BTC The disadvantage of the rapid increase- is leaving big portion of potential buyers sidelined. If price increases slowly and shows strength- participants are willing to join at higher price mark. 66-68K area feels like a slow turbulence zone, where sellers don’t really sell waiting for ATH, but buyers don’t really buy due to the FUD. As the result, or we need really strong driver (such as some crazy news) to push the price through 68K resistance (50/50 possibility is BTC conference is soon with Trump and Harris speaking). Or we need to go back to 63 or something like this to create new strong trend continuation. I’d ignore ETF flows and $ETH as I refer to a short term price action, while these factors don’t immediately move market. Let’s see how it plays out for $BTC
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$WIF update Narrative is pretty strong. Nice respond to $BTC move. 64K is approximately #BTC mid-range, $2+ is #wif midrange as well (ignoring the $41 candle). Parabolic movement is very unhealthy for the market- the speed of going up at some degree determines the speed of correction, and too much of upward move is just a great way to roundtrip (not enough time to determine the shift). It would be healthy if wif goes back to around $2, and a little bit below, however, the sentiment might change if it dips below $1.9 support. It is important to remember that meme coin is designed to shill on buyers at any random moment, but what is buzzing has good chance to behave in a cyclical manner.
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I totally understand why news are bullish on $BTC Are we heading to the moon? Well, it’s been 7 hours in a row that price closes below previous long-time support (60200) that turned into a strong resistance now. There is pretty significant CME gap is well, which tends to close quite quickly, and it is around 57+K. Despite that I was waiting for this level to sell, I don’t do it, as technical and fundamental overviews clash here. If the bearish outlook continues - it might be there for another couple of months, with targets as low as 42K (plus minus). If price crosses 60K- first trouble area is at 63K. With target of 80-90 that’s still good R:R #BTC
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