【The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in November is 96.2%】According to Golden Finance, citing CME 'FedWatch': The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting rates by 25 basis points by November is 96.2%, with the probability of maintaining the current interest rate unchanged at 3.8% (before data release, these were 99% and 1% respectively). The probability of maintaining the current interest rate unchanged by December is 1.1%, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point cut is 29.4%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point cut is 69.6% (before data release, these were 0.5%, 22.9%, and 76.6% respectively).