#BabyMarvin f9c7
До президентських виборів у США залишився лише тиждень. Для того, щоб заручитися підтримкою штатів, що змінюються, Трамп нарешті запропонував свою передвиборчу стратегію в Пенсільванії, яка полягає в тому, щоб пообіцяти виборцям, що якщо він стане головним. знову президент США, Президент не буде розв'язувати війни за кордоном і посилати американців «вмирати» на полі бою.
[Трамп пообіцяв виборцям, що не буде воювати з іншими країнами]
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Звісно, Трамп несе відповідальність лише за хвастощі, але він не буде розкривати свою «мирну програму». Водночас він підкреслює, що він відрізняється від Гарріса, який лише занурить США у «три війни».
At this point, Trump's language is very inflammatory, stating that if Harris were to become president, it would be equivalent to 'betting the lives of millions of Americans,' because she is 'too incompetent' to hold this position, let alone deal with other major countries; whether she can adequately respond to geopolitical hotspots is still debatable.
Not only that, but he has also further reinforced this stance through his social media platform, stating that if Harris were president for four years, the Middle East would 'fall into 40 years of war,' and Americans would consequently head to the battlefield. Trump then emphasized that he would strive to 'prevent world wars' and would not send Americans to die. While Trump promises 'no foreign wars,' his running mate, Vance, emphasizes through media channels that Trump is a 'presidential candidate for peace.'
[During the election sprint phase, Trump rolled out a high-stakes campaign strategy]
Vance also revealed that the reason Trump had a strained relationship with the US military during his previous term was that Pentagon officials, along with some establishment Republicans, wanted the US to become the 'world's police,' but Trump had a different perspective and refused to get involved in 'absurd conflicts.'
The truthfulness of this statement is not important; as long as it resonates with voters, it suffices. For a time, the two sides echoed each other, indicating that this was a premeditated propaganda offensive. After leaving Pennsylvania and arriving in New York, Trump began to promote his foreign policy, once again clarifying that he would not initiate a war during his term. However, there are always exceptions, and US-China relations are that exception. Just after stating 'no foreign wars,' Trump quickly added that if there were a day of military confrontation between the US and China, he would ensure that the US 'gains the upper hand.'
[Vance also promotes Trump's 'peace policy']
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As for how this is to be achieved, Trump has not elaborated further, which aligns with the characteristics of campaign rhetoric—lots of hype but little substance, and whether it materializes depends entirely on the individual's will after being elected. While promoting his peaceful image, Trump also makes special adjustments to US-China relations.
This seems to imply that his peaceful policy, especially the promise of 'no foreign wars,' does not apply in the context of US-China rivalry. Moreover, the concept of strategic competition between the US and China began during the Trump era, and the Biden administration has merely expanded upon it.
Moreover, we can understand it this way: the complexity of the structural contradictions between the US and China has already exceeded the scope of Trump's peaceful policy, making it impossible to guarantee that the US and China will 'not infringe upon each other.' Alternatively, Trump’s promise of 'no foreign wars' serves the strategic goal of the US-China rivalry, which is why US-China relations become this exception.
[Trump claims that Harris will only send Americans 'to the battlefield to die']
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If we consider the greatest geopolitical risk between the US and China, which is most likely to lead to 'war' between the two countries, it is undoubtedly the Taiwan issue. It must be mentioned that recently, Trump has not shied away from discussing the Taiwan issue, and has taken a two-pronged approach, claiming that if mainland China recovers Taiwan, he will impose higher tariffs on China; while also accusing Taiwan of stealing America’s high-tech industries, demanding that the Taiwanese authorities pay more 'protection fees.'
However, from our standpoint, even just within the US, Trump alone does not hold the final say on the US-China contention over Taiwan. As for other geopolitical hotspots, such as the Russia-Ukraine conflict, Trump seems confident that he can help the Biden administration 'clean up the mess.' He has repeatedly stated that if he is elected in November, he won't wait for next year's transition but will take action immediately to end the Russia-Ukraine conflict. Regarding the Israel-Palestine issue, Trump has criticized the Democrats for their 'weakness and incompetence,' emphasizing that if he were still in office, such situations would not occur.
[Trump arrives in New York for campaign activities]
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Trump vigorously promotes his peaceful stance, not only as a campaign strategy to attract voters but also as a signal to the outside world. After his return to the White House, the trends of contraction and isolationism in US foreign policy will further strengthen, perhaps even reverting to four years ago. However, that said, 'no foreign wars' does not mean that Trump will not adopt aggressive tariff policies. His remarks essentially set a premise, presenting voters with a choice: either vote for himself and navigate four relatively peaceful and stable years under the 'America First' policy, or vote for Harris and see how she and the Democrats plunge the US into the irreversible path of geopolitical conflict. To some extent, Trump's confidence in promising 'no foreign wars' stems from his belief that for any complex geopolitical issue, his tariff policy will provide a universal solution. Not only for US-China relations, but also for US-EU economic and trade issues, tariffs can also solve problems, even addressing the complex issue of international supply chain restructuring.
Although many people may hold reservations about this, as long as Trump firmly believes that tariffs are 'beneficial for the US,' no one can change his mind. His advocated 'peace policy' follows a similar logic, and the fact that China becomes the exception somewhat reflects Trump's true thoughts about China.
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