Bitcoin jumps back and forth, and four major drivers influence the market

From a technical point of view, the new Bitcoin proposal OP_CAT may become the main driving factor and core factor of the next round of Bitcoin rise. Once it is officially merged into the Bitcoin Core code, it will undoubtedly greatly promote the development of the Bitcoin ecosystem and drive up the price of BTC. From a macro perspective, with the overall upward movement of the interest rate dot chart, the median interest rate in 2024 will be raised from 4.6% to 5.1%, which means that there may be only one interest rate cut this year, and the probability of a rate cut in September has increased. From a medium-term perspective, Bitcoin may usher in a golden September and silver October. From a short-term perspective, the behavior of Bitcoin miners and the shutdown price of mining machines provide a reference price for buying and selling: the bottom range is between US$58,900 and US$63,300; the short-term top range is between US$69,000 and US$71,000.

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