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The question of "when will the altcoin bull market start" is undoubtedly the focus of the current cryptocurrency community. However, as we know, the future trend is always full of uncertainty and it is difficult to give a definite answer.
Looking back at history, in the first two rounds of cryptocurrency cycles, the peak of altcoins usually occurred around 546 days after the halving event. If the current market cycle also follows this pattern, we may be able to expect altcoins to reach new heights around October 2025. This prediction is not groundless. It is based on market data from 2016 and 2020 and has certain historical reference significance.
However, the trend of the market is often affected by a variety of factors, including but not limited to the macroeconomic environment, policy orientation, market sentiment, etc. These factors may accelerate or delay the development of the market cycle, causing the peak of altcoins to arrive earlier or later.
At present, Bitcoin still dominates the cryptocurrency market, while altcoins are relatively weak. Nevertheless, with the continuous increase in 24-hour trading volume, we can still see the potential vitality of the market. Despite the recent wave of selling in the market, the market value of the entire cryptocurrency market remains stable at around 2.45 trillion US dollars, showing the relative stability and neutral sentiment of the market.
From the total market value of altcoins other than Bitcoin, the current market value has fallen by about 60% from its historical high. Usually, after reaching a historical high, altcoins tend to have a strong rebound. Considering that it has been a while since the Bitcoin halving event, we have reason to believe that altcoins are expected to rise by 60% again in the next 546 days to reach a new peak. Of course, after reaching the peak, the market may also experience a sharp correction.
Especially for those altcoins other than Bitcoin and Ethereum, their market value has fallen by about 75% from their historical highs, showing greater growth potential. At present, the price of Bitcoin is stable at around $66,800, with relatively low volatility. Although the altcoin market has fluctuated recently, we have reason to expect them to usher in a round of strong rise in the future.During a bull run, these altcoins could even see daily gains of 10% to 90%.