News:

1. According to CME's "Fed Watch", the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in September is 72%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 28%;

2. Poll: Harris leads Trump with 47% support. Trump said, "We will embrace the future with cryptocurrency and leave the slow and outdated big banks behind."

3. BlackRock: Bitcoin is an alternative currency to global legal currencies;

Technical:

Big Pie: The pressure at the important upper pass of 58,500 that has been mentioned recently has been very strong. There have been multiple impacts near this position in the early morning, and there have been declines. In the short term, there will still be continued highs and false breaks before falling back. The upper 58,500-59,500 range box selling pressure is relatively serious, and it needs to be released through multiple small highs to lay the foundation for returning to above 60,000 in the later period. This week, the market has given enough confidence, and it is also an early response to the rhythm of interest rate cuts! In terms of intraday operations, we can focus on Kong around the upper 58500 mark, and at the same time be careful of inserting pins near 59000. The support below focuses on the bottom of the recent retracement near 56700 points for rebound.

Second Cake: Under the premise that Bitcoin continues to hit new highs recently, Ethereum's rebound strength is weak, the upper highs are getting lower and lower, the daily oscillation downward channel has not been broken, and the K line is still maintained below the downward channel, against the daily 14-day moving average. In the short term, the pressure of the upper important mark 2400 points is more obvious, and the upper box selling pressure is in the 2400-2440 range. In terms of intraday operations, focus on the upper 2380-2410 range pressure to be bearish, and focus on the support of the 2340-2310 range to rebound.

Shanzhai: Shanzhai has performed relatively strongly recently, and the daily level has turned upward. This rising market may last for about a week, and it will be maintained until the big cake goes out of the high-level oscillation to make a new round of locked-in disk. At that time, Shanzhai will go out of the decline in advance! ZRO continues to strengthen, with the upper target around 4.3. FLOKI is temporarily in the process of bottoming out and is waiting for a strong rebound!

The currency market fluctuates greatly, so be cautious when entering the market. This is my personal opinion, no suggestions, and only for sharing.

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