Will the interest rate cut in September come true?
What impact will it have on the market?
There are three reasons why the Fed won’t cut interest rates:
The U.S. national debt is as high as $35 trillion, and the funding gap needs to be addressed;
Cutting interest rates will weaken the international status of the U.S. dollar;
Cutting interest rates may affect the United States' ability to maintain its global leadership.
Possible motivations for cutting interest rates include:
European and Australian banks have taken the lead in cutting interest rates;
The market is worried about increasing global economic turmoil;
The US presidential election and employment issues drive.
Regardless of whether interest rates are cut or not, market reactions are often complicated: the initial positive benefits of interest rate cuts may turn negative, leading to market fluctuations; if interest rates are maintained or raised, the market may react more violently. Be wary of “black swan” and “grey rhino” events.
Looking into the market outlook, it is predicted that it will rise in October, rise significantly in November, and may reach its peak in December; then there may be a shock correction in January to February, and the bull market may end in March. The price range is expected to be a minimum of 48,000 to a maximum of 98,000.
#美国8月非农就业人数不及预期 #小非农增幅创3年多新低 #BTC走势分析 #美联储何时降息? #Telegram创始人获保释
If you want to know more about the currency circle and first-hand cutting-edge information, follow Dasheng, which releases market analysis and high-quality potential currency recommendations every day.