Market upheaval after non-farm data release: put option selling wave hits!
QCP Capital pointed out in its latest analysis that yesterday's non-farm data release triggered an initial positive market reaction, driving risk assets up. However, as the market digested the expectation of a 50 basis point rate cut in September, market sentiment took a sharp turn for the worse. Data showed that after the release of non-farm data, the market's expectations for a 50 basis point rate cut were as high as 55%, but this morning, this expectation has fallen back to 30%, while the expectation for a 25 basis point rate cut has risen to 70%.
Despite the sluggish performance of the cryptocurrency market, the options market appears relatively calm, with a large number of put options being sold. Currently, as the spot market consolidates over the weekend, the front-end volatility is gradually declining.
The market has changed suddenly, and changes in volatility suggest new investment opportunities.
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