It has been more than three months since the Bitcoin halving in April, and during this time, the market has experienced some minor fluctuations.

As of today, Bitcoin has hit the $56,000 mark twice in this short timeline. Despite this, many people are still looking forward to a Bitcoin price starting at $40,000.

The market is extremely polarized, and some even predict that there is a 50% chance that Bitcoin will fall to $50,000 and a 50% chance that it will rise to $80,000. Although this statement seems to have no practical significance, it also reflects a point of view: no matter how the market changes, we should have a corresponding investment strategy.

In my opinion, the probability of Bitcoin price rising is still greater than falling.

The biggest uncertainty at present may be that Putin cannot become the US president again. Apart from this, I really can't think of anything else that can make investors experience a market crash like May 19 again.

Of course, it is also possible that we will continue to experience a big drop when we wake up tomorrow. It seems that most people are impatient to wait. Except for Bitcoin and MEME coins, other so-called value coins have not reflected their true value.

And most people seem to accept this state of superficial calm. There is a saying circulating in the currency circle: In the currency circle, 90% of the time is almost worthless, and only 10% of the time is the real golden moment.

In general, it is necessary to persist. If you have not waited until the end, don't get off easily.

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