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Sizin işiniz piyasanın bundan sonra nereye gideceğini tahmin etmek değil.
İşiniz olasılıkları düşünmek ve iyi ticaret yapmaktır.

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A piece of crucial advice for the coming years: Since you have entered perhaps the most profitable yet complex financial market, you have likely encountered some losses, as they are part of the game. If you have not left and are trying to understand how this game works from a technical standpoint, continue to do so and keep practicing. Cryptocurrencies move faster than anything else, and given their low market value compared to, for instance, stocks, the complexity increases as manipulations multiply by 10/50 times, and liquidity is much lower. By continuously working on understanding how and why prices move, you create a powerful advantage for your future by utilizing your knowledge. This will become a masterful trick when your focus shifts to sectors with greater liquidity, as their movements will become more "predictable," given that you have already practiced with the "heavyweights."

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If yesterday's market movements scared you, it means you're making some serious investment mistakes. It's okay to make mistakes once, but don't repeat them. Here are the 5 main rules you MUST follow: 1. Coin Drop Whenever you buy a coin, you MUST always consider this factor. This could be a fundamental trigger (e.g., loss of credibility, a hack, the departure of a key team member) or a technical trigger (break of a key HTF level, loss of strength), etc. Never buy altcoins without: 1. Genuine fundamental conviction in the asset you're purchasing. 2. A set of verification parameters for entering a position. 3. A set of invalidation parameters for exiting a position (very important). Additional advice: partial drop. For example, if BTC falls below $60K, sell 30% of your position. This leads to the next point. Controversial opinion: Yes, "panic selling" (also known as "de-risking") is acceptable if it means protecting your wealth. To win the game, you need to stay in it. 2. Reduce Risk Early If you’re going to reduce risk, do it at the beginning of a move, not at the end. Of course, it's impossible to know exactly how long a move will last. But generally, if you smell smoke, there’s likely a fire, and it will probably align with a technical break. If it's a false alarm, you can always buy back during a support recovery, take a 5% loss, and move on. If the move continues, you can re-enter at a lower level or wait for a clear setup. It’s worth losing 5% to protect against a 50% loss. Be ruthless in protecting your capital, and this will make you a much better trader/investor.

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Many altcoins have already returned to their July lows (from the day when $BTC dropped to 54 thousand), despite BTC currently being around 64 thousand. Others barely managed to rebound during the subsequent recovery and completely lost their gains as soon as BTC showed the first signs of weakness. The breakthrough of $BTC historical highs should temporarily mask the cracks, as this is likely to lead to renewed interest from retail traders. However, if you really want to ensure your success in this cycle, I would be very selective in choosing assets. - Hold only quality assets. By quality, I mean coins with strong teams, communities, and, importantly, a strong history. - Focus on coins with low dilution (or at least without significant unlocks in the coming months). - Consider every rotation as an opportunity to profit, and most importantly, take profit. This will likely be a cycle of sporadic sector efficiency gains, not a "pump everything at once" meta, as seen in previous cycles. For this reason, when there is a strong rotation, use it to your advantage to gain short-term profit and increase your holdings in stablecoins. This cycle cannot be called easy (at least compared to 2017 and 2021). Opportunities certainly exist, but due to the experience of many participants and the lack of newcomers, it requires a higher degree of skill. Keep learning, honing your craft, adapting, and most importantly, don't give up. The reward will be huge for those who persist.

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Here is the inconvenient truth about cryptocurrencies. No one knows when the market will hit its peak or bottom. Even your favorite experts are just making educated guesses. The winners are simply those who manage risks better.

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Every cycle, we see a huge number of people leave the cryptocurrency market. This often happens right before a crucial moment, and it's always for the same reason: people finally realize that it's not as simple as they thought. Ironically, these same people often end up calling crypto a scam. In reality, several factors come into play: - There is a significant skill ceiling. - There is a significant time deficit. - Luck is a factor. Most people are not suited for this market and think it's easier than trading stocks or forex. (Most traditional finance traders are also unprofitable; this isn't unique to cryptocurrency.) Let's compare with the stock and Forex markets: In forex, you trade against banks that can literally see your orders on their trading terminals, which retail traders cannot. In stocks, you trade against large tech firms that may engage in insider trading, whether it's allowed or not. You might argue that you can just invest in reliable companies and everything will be fine. In cryptocurrency, you can do the same. Bitcoin has reached its all-time high and continues to break records. Ethereum will also keep growing.

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