On July 9, the CME Fed Watch area was simply a hot mess! Everyone was like a gambler, all rushing towards the interest rate cut direction, saying that the Fed would definitely give us a sweet treat in September - a 25 basis point interest rate cut, and the probability was rising rapidly, approaching 71.8%! The market was like the New Year, so lively, and the wind of interest rate cuts was about to blow the roof off!

But then again, there is still a group of "diehards", 24.8% of people, who just don't believe in it, thinking that the Fed just likes to play with heartbeats, and interest rates have to sit on the Diaoyutai, not move at all. Now, the market is lively, one side is carnival, the other side is calm, like singing a double act.

The funniest thing is that there are a few "daring" guys who not only want to cut interest rates, but also want to do it all at once, and directly do it hard - cut interest rates by 50 basis points! Although this idea is like winning the lottery, with a probability as low as 3.4%, people dare to think about it. The market will be stunned when they hear it, thinking: These people really have high aspirations but are weaker than paper!

Now, let's open our eyes and see how the Fed bosses will play their cards. Will they be gentle or steady? Anyway, the market's nerves are tense, just waiting to see how this drama will end!