Is the Bitcoin Price in Danger of Dropping to $42K? Here’s a Worrying Scenario

Fear and panic have gripped crypto markets again, with analysts predicting doom and gloom price crashes for Bitcoin. 

What a difference a couple of days makes, from bullish ‘Uptober’ momentum to bearish price predictions.

Bitcoin slumped around $4,000 in the wake of the Iranian missile attack on Israel, and negative sentiment has seeped back onto crypto social media.

However, zooming out shows that BTC is still within its range-bound channel, which has continued for the past half a year.

A Fall to $40K Possible?

On Oct. 2, ITC Crypto founder Benjamin Cowen painted a very gloomy picture based on historical price action following Federal Reserve interest rate cuts.

Bitcoin rallied for two weeks following the first rate cut in 2019. However, it then tanked to the 100-week moving average in the months that followed.

If history rhymes, a similar fall to the same technical indicator would put BTC prices back at around $42,000 by mid-November, he said.

However, the suggestion does not take into account that 2019 was the middle of a bear market, and it was not a halving year, which makes a difference.

Nevertheless, other analysts also suggested something similar but provided no rationality, later describing it as a ‘shitpost.’

As market analyst Miles Deutscher pointed out in a post on X on Oct. 1, there are plenty of reasons to remain bullish.

Increasing global liquidity through M2 money supplies, rate cuts, which are usually good news for riskier assets, China’s economic stimulus measures, an approaching US election where crypto is a focus, and a traditionally bullish period for crypto in Q4 are some of them.

On Oct. 2, ‘Ash Crypto’ told his 1.1 million X followers that this was “a big shakeout.” He added that October will start with a dump, and we will see a sideways chop for most of the month before things lift off.

$BTC

#BinanceLaunchpoolHMSTR #EIGENonBinance #BTCReboundsAfterFOMC #Write2Earn! #BTC☀