Trump's Election Odds Continue to Surge Post-Assassination Attempt: Polymarket Bets Hit 71%
Immediately following the assassination attempt on former President Donald Trump, prediction market odds on Polymarket saw Trump’s chances of winning the election rise to 68%. Days after the event, Trump’s odds have continued to rise with the chances of winning the 2024 general election up to 71%.
Trump’s Polymarket Odds Reach 71% Days After Attempted Assassination
Donald Trump’s chances of winning the election are 71% according to Polymarket bettors on July 15, 2024. The wager on who will win the United States Presidency is now valued at $258 million. Polymarket odds show the incumbent President Joe Biden at 17%. Vice President Kamala Harris currently has a 6% chance of winning the election this year.
Other prediction market contenders on Polymarket include another “Democratic politician,” (2%) Michelle Obama (2%), and Robert Kennedy Jr (1%). Predictit.org stats are fairly similar with Trump’s odds at 67% and Biden’s at 25%.
In that market, Harris has a 12% chance, California Governor Gavin Newsom has a 5% chance, and Robert Kennedy Jr has a 2% chance on predictit.org.On Polymarket, there’s a bet that shows the head of the Secret Service has a 29% chance of getting fired. There’s also a 95% chance that the shooter who tried to assassinate Trump was a rogue actor, at least according to bettors.
The odds on Polymarket and Predictit.org underscore the market’s current prediction. As the election approaches, the markets’ sentiment shifts reflect the high stakes and uncertainty surrounding the race. The rising odds for Trump indicate a significant belief in his potential comeback, especially after the dramatic events that have unfolded.
What do you think about the Polymarket odds concerning the 2024 election? Share your thoughts and opinions about this subject in the comments section below. #Write2Earn