Polkadot (DOTUSD) appears to be following since its 2021 High (All Time High), ETC's previous Cycle of 2018 - 2021. As you can see on this 1W chart, the RSI sequences in particular between the two fractals are almost identical.
Lower Highs Double Tops leading to the Bear Cycle, then an RSI bottom leading to a price break-out above the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) and on the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level (on overbought RSI), finally followed by a new decline (RSI at 40.00), which in ETC's case when broken, led to the Bull Cycle's Parabolic Rally.
Right now it appears that DOT is on the 40.00 RSI Low, so naturally if it is indeed replicating Ethereum Classic's previous Cycle, we should see the price starting to rise aggressively towards the 1.5 Fibonacci extension. If that's the case, we can expect a High around $200 by the end of 2025.
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Shiba Inu (SHIBUSD) is making a strong bullish case this week as not only did it break above its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time since mid-August but is also testing the Top of its 7-month Channel Down, all while being supported by the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line).
This Channel Down is, on the larger scale, nothing but a Bull Flag, the kind of pattern that precedes aggressive rallies and bullish extensions. In fact if we compare Shiba's Cycle since its October 2021 Top, we see strong similarities with Doge's (DOGEUSD) true expansion Cycle in 2018 - 2021, where it achieved its strongest recognition/ adoption. An (a) top led to a (b- f) Channel Down that priced the Cycle's bottom and after a 1W Golden Cross, it formed the Bull Flat that SHIB is in right now, which initiated its hyper aggressive parabolic rally to the Cycle Top.
As a result, being still below its 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level, Shiba is massively undervalued in cyclical terms and technically if the Bull Flag breaks to the upside, the rally that will follow can target the 1.5 Fibonacci extension at 0.00035, just like Doge did in January 2021.
Do you think it will replicate this pattern or the market cap would be unrealistic?
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Cardano (ADAUSD) just gave the strongest long-term buy signal possible on the 1W time-frame as the 1W LMACD is forming a Bullish Cross. That is the first such formation in almost 1 year (since October 09 2023), indicating that we have the most powerful buy signal at hand.
The 1W RSI has been ranging since May, practically for the majority of the time that ADA has been trading below its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line).
Basically as you can see all the above conditions are identical to the previous Bull Cycle, where a Bullish Megaphone emerged on a 1W LMACD Bullish Cross and after a 1W MA50/ MA100 Bullish Cross, the bottom was formed, while the 1W RSI was consolidating.
This time we have all these formations emerged again, so any week now, Cardano could start its new Parabolic Rally. With a Higher Highs trend-line setting a clear Resistance, we see a $5.00 price as a strong Target for the Cycle Top.
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