1. Bitcoin experiences a significant downturn, plunging below the $40,000 mark in 2024, sparking widespread panic selling and heightened market anxiety.
2. Despite the prevailing bearish trend, industry analysts observe a fierce struggle between bullish and bearish forces in the market.
3. Bitcoin spot ETFs, notably Grayscale's GBTC, witness substantial outflows, with FTX selling off more than half of its shares during the downturn.
4. Technical indicators point to the possibility of further declines in Bitcoin's value, with some projections suggesting a retest of the $31,800 level.
5. Current market dynamics provide compelling reasons for anticipating a short- and medium-term decline in Bitcoin's price, raising concerns among investors and stakeholders.
An intense wave of selling swept through the cryptocurrency market last Friday as Bitcoin faltered around the $41,000 mark. The situation worsened on Monday when Bitcoin breached the crucial $40,000 support level for the first time in the year, sparking widespread panic among traders eager to secure whatever profits they had accrued.
The severity of the market downturn drew attention from analysts, notably highlighted by the crypto data aggregation service, Greeks.live. On Monday, Greeks.live observed a significant decline in Bitcoin's Volatility Risk Premium (VRP), signaling a shift toward bearish sentiment as traders engaged in panic selling. Despite the tumultuous selling spree, Greeks.live noted that long and short positions remained relatively balanced, indicating an ongoing battle for dominance between the bulls and bears.
While the bears may not have claimed full victory yet, Greeks.live suggests a fierce struggle between the two camps. This assessment aligns with a previous tweet, indicating that market dynamics were heavily influenced by the launch and subsequent performance of various spot ETFs in the US.
The ETF market has also witnessed considerable outflows, as highlighted by Bloomberg ETF analyst James Seyffart. He reported a substantial $76 million in outflows on the seventh day of trading, with Grayscale's ETF (GBTC) experiencing the most significant drop of $3.45 billion in assets under management (AUM) since the ETFs' general launch. Seyffart attributes most of these outflows to FTX, which reportedly sold over half of its 22.8 million GBTC shares as of January 22.
Bitcoin itself has suffered a setback, currently experiencing a 4.5% decline over the past day and trading at approximately $38,835. The weekly chart indicates a 20-day EMA at around $37,400, hinting at a potential further decline. Additionally, a longer-term ascending trendline suggests a possible Bitcoin retest of $31,800.
While bullish outlooks for Bitcoin remain intact in the long term, the short and medium-term perspectives present compelling cases for potential declines. It's essential to note that the information provided by Voice of Crypto aims to be accurate and up-to-date, but readers are advised to conduct their own research and make informed financial decisions due to the highly volatile nature of cryptocurrencies.
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