Don't panic, brothers! Data shows that many people have cut their losses

The market structure is about to change. Indicators show that many short-term investors are selling at a loss, and similar emotions are often a signal that the market has bottomed out.

The current market has entered the bottom range, and the bear market has weakened significantly. According to past experience, the market usually finds balance after bottoming out and prepares for the next round of gains. Although volatility still exists in the short term, this may be a stage for the market to accumulate strength

#新币挖矿HMSTR #灰度将推出首个美国XRP信托 #美国经济软着陆？

There is only one way to make 1 million yuan from a few thousand U in the cryptocurrency circle - rolling positions.

Rolling positions are suitable for the following three situations:

Direction selection after long-term sideways trading,

Bottom-hunting after a sharp rise in a bull market,

And breaking through important support or resistance levels at the weekly level. Other opportunities should be abandoned.
Rolling positions include floating profit increase and bottom position + T. Floating profit increase requires ensuring that the holding cost is reduced before increasing the position, while bottom position + T is divided into multiple positions, reducing costs and increasing profits by selling high and buying low.

The key to success lies in identifying big opportunities and grasping them reasonably#

#新币挖矿HMSTR #灰度将推出首个美国XRP信托 #美国8月核心CPI超预期

There is a simple but effective cryptocurrency trading technique. If you can hold back and achieve unity of knowledge and action, the probability of stable profit is quite high.

The cryptocurrency market is an extremely risky market. Countless originally happy families have been broken up due to blind pursuit of huge profits. If investors want to go a long way on this road, they must solidly learn basic knowledge, news analysis and technical indicators.

Without in-depth research and reasonable planning, it will only lead to the exhaustion of funds and eventually leave the market. Although classic technical indicators such as MACD divergence, KDJ overbought and oversold, support and pressure do not guarantee profits, they can help you find the direction in investment.

There is only one way to make 1 million yuan from a few thousand U in the cryptocurrency circle - rolling positions.

Rolling positions are suitable for the following three situations:
Direction selection after long-term sideways trading,
Bottom-hunting after a sharp rise in the bull market,
And breaking through important support or resistance levels at the weekly level. Other opportunities should be abandoned.

Rolling positions include floating profit addition and bottom position + T. When adding to a position with floating profit, you need to ensure that the cost of holding the position is reduced before adding to the position, while the bottom position + T is divided into multiple positions, which can reduce costs and increase profits by selling high and buying low.

The key to success is to identify big opportunities and grasp them reasonably

#新币挖矿HMSTR #灰度将推出首个美国XRP信托 #美国8月核心CPI超预期 #特朗普哈里斯辩论未提及加密货币

In the cryptocurrency world, is short-term or long-term more profitable?

Many cryptocurrency investors often hesitate between short-term and long-term strategies.

In the cryptocurrency world, excessive speculation often leads to failure, while those who pursue steady returns are more likely to succeed.

Generally, there are two main ways for leeks to speculate in cryptocurrencies:

Short-term operations: This strategy usually involves trading active currencies with larger funds, using stop-loss orders to protect capital, and predicting short-term fluctuations in currency prices.

If the prediction is accurate, investors will wait and see, waiting for the right time to sell.

If the prediction is wrong, sell at the stop-loss point.

However, this strategy may miss the stop-loss point when encountering a sudden market waterfall or pullback, causing investors to emotionally sell after being trapped, and may repeat operations after the market rebounds, resulting in further losses.

#美降息25个基点预期升温 #美国8月核心CPI超预期 #美国经济软着陆？

In the past two days, many people have asked whether the trend has turned too much. If 65000-52550 is the last falling band, then I would have called for bottom-fishing when I entered the market at 52600, instead of saying "low-to-large point".

The weekly and monthly lines are still empty. This week is an hourly rebound within the daily line. After this rebound, when the top diverges again, it may fall further. For the time being, just treat it as a short-term single transaction, so there is no big concern.

#美降息25个基点预期升温 #比特币挖矿难度创历史新高 #Telegram创始人获保释

BTC's daily line finally hits MA20! The next two days will usher in a decision window. If you choose to break through MA20, you will have the opportunity to rebound to 61,000 in a short period of time. If you choose not to break through and start to retreat, you will be suppressed as MA20 goes down;

Although my strategy is to go long, from an objective analysis, MA20 does not seem to be so easy to break through, because the red area in the figure has shown obvious support or resistance in the past 3 months;

Of course, since BTC is currently highly correlated with US stocks, excessive analysis based on the on-site market may not be of much help. In this case, just lie down and count the ball!

The only thing you can do is to go long if this range is broken, and go short if it cannot be broken.

#特朗普哈里斯辩论未提及加密货币 #美国8月核心CPI超预期 #以太坊基金会

The essence of the "VC coin collapse" is the overinvestment and irrational valuation in the primary market during this cycle, which allows VCs and projects that should have been eliminated to survive, raise funds, and appear in the secondary market at unreasonable valuations.

· In the absence of external cash inflows, the degree of involution in the crypto market is extremely high and has formed a pyramid-like class structure. The profits of each level come from the exploitation of the level below it and the withdrawal of liquidity from the market. This process will lead to the intensification of distrust in the next level, making the involution more and more serious. In addition to VC, there are a large number of higher levels in the pyramid.

· In the era of great involution, the mortality rate of projects and tokens will increase significantly. The top-down "technical theory", "background determinism", and "narrativeism" will be transformed from sufficient conditions to necessary conditions to a greater extent. The only thing the market believes in is real growth, real user growth, real income growth, and real adoption rate growth.

#美国8月核心CPI超预期 #特朗普与哈里斯辩论，特朗普概念币普跌 #以太坊基金会

"Market Sentiment Guide: Unlock the Best Time to Enter the Market"

1⃣ Good opportunity for layout: When market sentiment gradually rises, you can consider entering the market. Although sentiment is increasing at this time, it has not yet reached its peak, just like venture capital focuses on the profit expectations of start-ups.

2⃣ Decisive entry at the support point: When market sentiment suddenly or gradually increases until it breaks out, hold on to the support point of the small cycle and enter the market boldly.

3⃣ Stay away from high points: After market sentiment reaches a climax, it is not advisable to enter the market again.

4⃣ Be alert to weakening sentiment: When market sentiment begins to weaken, be prepared to leave the market. If sentiment has already broken out, then the signal of weakening may be not far away, so be sure to pay close attention.

#美国8月核心CPI超预期 #特朗普与哈里斯辩论，特朗普概念币普跌 #美国大选如何影响加密产业？

Summary of Bitcoin at this stage:

At the end of the first quarter, emotional investors with high contract leverage and early all-in fell,

In the second quarter, short-term speculators and investors with low leverage (including borrowing pressure) fell,

In the third quarter, investors who really couldn't hold on due to special family or life circumstances fell. They also wanted to hold on, but objective conditions did not allow it.

Those who can hold on to the end of the third quarter and the beginning of the fourth quarter this year are already among the best, proving that their mentality is relatively stable, their funds are relatively clean and sufficient, and they can do long-term and resist long-term pressure.

No matter what the situation is, they can adjust themselves at any time, mobilize off-site funds at critical moments, have strong willpower, complete financial level, conform to the survival logic of natural selection, and have the ultimate ability to cross cycles! !

#美降息25个基点预期升温 #美国8月核心CPI超预期 #美国经济软着陆？

The current emotional state of market participants, and the obvious feature now is "depression";

When the price is at the bottom and the volume is shrinking and fluctuating, the depressed mood is a sign of bottoming out;

When the price is at a high level and the volume is shrinking and fluctuating, the depressed mood is a sign of a bear market;

So is it a low or a high now?

I think it is the high since 2020 and the low before 2026.

#美国大选如何影响加密产业？ #BNBChainMemeCoin #Telegram创始人获保释

The United States will release August CPI data on Wednesday. The market generally expects a monthly increase of 0.2%, the same as in July. If the data meets expectations, this will be the fourth consecutive time that CPI has roughly met the Fed's 2% PCE inflation target.

The impact of this CPI data on the market may be limited. Powell has previously made clear his concerns about the cooling of the job market, and the market focus has shifted from secondary inflation to recession. If the data does not deviate significantly from expectations, the market reaction is expected to be relatively calm.

#美国大选如何影响加密产业？ #以太坊基金会 #BTC走势分析

Everyone has different expectations for the cryptocurrency world. It is very important to plan limited funds reasonably, especially when we buy coins! ! ! If you have two identical funds, one buys BTC and makes a profit of 30%, and the other buys ETH and loses 30%. If you want to operate, what will you do? (You will always make the wrong choice between the two)

A. Hold both
B. Sell BTC to make up for ETH
C. Sell ETH to make up for BTC
D. Clear both

According to probability theory, 80% of normal people will choose to sell Bitcoin to make up for Ethereum. They will feel scared when Bitcoin rises too much, and feel comfortable if they can put money in their pockets; the more Ethereum falls, the lower the risk, and they may make money if they sell BTC to save ETH.

In fact, there is a terrible phenomenon in the investment market that the strong will always be strong and the weak will always be weak: most people will find that selling BTC will continue to rise, and the trapped ETH will fall more and more. If they find that it is better to hold it, at least one of them will make a profit. Compared with B. Selling BTC to make up for ETH, C. Selling ETH to make up for BTC seems extremely anti-human, and this operation makes most people feel seriously uncomfortable!

In fact, this outcome is often the best. This "always wrong choice" is a choice paradox that 80% of investors will encounter.

Under the comprehensive score, the return is C>A>D>B.

If you encounter two coins next time and one is rising while the other is falling, be brave and ruthless, and try to go against your first sense of security to operate. The more unreliable it is, the more you should try. Remember, investment is always against human nature, and you must go against most people.

#美国大选如何影响加密产业？ #美国8月非农就业人数不及预期 #美联储何时降息？

Strong milk chart: Does Bitcoin dare to hit a small new high first?

The chart of CryptoCon looks pretty good. The chart shows that the stable supply ratio of Bitcoin has touched the bottom of the Bollinger Band for the first time since June 2022 and has fallen to the green support area.

This situation only occurred in the black swan event in 2020. Other time periods are either major lows or cycle bottoms.

Explain two points:

1) At present, it has fallen to this value and area. Big funds are constantly reserving stable waves and preparing to enter the market.

2) Except for the 312 in 2020, the ratio value rarely falls to the current state, indicating that the bottom of Bitcoin is forming!

I think there will definitely be a wave of market before the November election. Let's get past this period first, and then we'll talk about December and next year.

Trading not only requires a long-term perspective, but also a short-term focus, and it is still necessary to explore the changes in the market based on conditional logic.

#美国大选如何影响加密产业？ #美国8月非农就业人数不及预期 #美联储何时降息？

A must-read for unwinding!!!

Unwinding is an inevitable challenge that investors will encounter in market fluctuations. When the assets held are locked in, how to deal with and reduce losses is the key. The following are three common unwinding strategies, each with different applicable scenarios and risk management ideas:

1. The core of this method is to hold still, that is, as long as you don't sell, you won't actually lose money. The premise of choosing this strategy is that you have long-term bullish confidence in the target and have sufficient funds and psychological preparation to cope with further market fluctuations or declines.

Advantages: No need to make a selling decision immediately, you can wait for the market to pick up, reducing the psychological pressure caused by short-term fluctuations. Disadvantages: This method requires strong financial support to cope with deeper declines. At the same time, this may be a long waiting process with high opportunity costs, and funds cannot be transferred to other assets with opportunities in time.

2. Dial-up operation method
This method sells part or all of the positions by stop loss first, and then buys them back when they rebound to reduce losses or achieve partial unwinding. When operating specifically, investors need to find the right time for the rebound and re-enter the market at a low level.
Advantages: The shift operation can flexibly respond to short-term market fluctuations, and there is an opportunity to reduce costs by re-entering the market, quickly recover or unwind. Disadvantages: Investors are required to have strong technical analysis capabilities and be able to accurately judge the rebound point. If the judgment is wrong, the loss may be aggravated and the best opportunity may be missed.

3. The quick knife cuts the Gordian knot method
This strategy is suitable for short-term investors. When facing a unilateral decline, they will decisively stop losses and sell all the assets held to prevent further losses. This method aims to stop losses quickly and avoid losses from expanding.
Advantages: It effectively avoids continued losses in a unilateral market, and is more suitable for short-term investors to quickly withdraw when the market turns and maintain liquidity. Disadvantages: Once sold, if the market rebounds, you may miss the opportunity to unwind brought by the rebound. Therefore, this method is suitable for short-term speculators, but not for investors who are optimistic about the target in the long term.

#美国大选如何影响加密产业？ #BNBChainMemeCoin #美联储何时降息？