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交易员学良
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Bullish
Those who want to strategize together and reap the benefits can come find me! Here, we have daily market strategy analysis, quality coin recommendations, and we will also recommend coins with positive news, so you can get in early. We also provide periodic live market analysis for students! If you have any questions, feel free to consult me directly for the best answers! Welcome to privately message me on WeChat to join us →→ BQBX2024 BQPX2024 or the latest WeChat public account: Trader Xue Liang
Sol current price welfare list given in the last round The idea of the day continued and was verified twice during the day The target point has been successfully reached The current price can be chased more, the target is 240-243 #APT、ADA、ENA大额解锁 #山寨季将持续多久? #SUSHI价格飙升 #PEPE市值新高 #Meme齐涨 $SOL
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学良常胜日记
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Current Price Welfare Order Sol current price short target 233-230 One hour turning down #比特币重返10W大关 #以太坊领涨 #币安将上市ACX、ORCA #ENA突破1美元 #SUI市场新焦点 $SOL
December 9th Midday Thoughts The Bitcoin daily chart is oscillating at a high position above the short-term moving averages. The Bollinger Bands are opening, the moving averages are trending upwards, the MACD fast and slow lines are also upwards but showing signs of turning, the volume bars are decreasing, the KDJ is crossing above 80, and attention needs to be paid to the resistance near 100. The VR indicator is consolidating around 150. Looking at the 4-hour chart, the candlestick lines alternate between bullish and bearish and are constrained by the upper band, the Bollinger Bands are narrowing, and short-term moving averages are showing signs of a trend change around the middle band. The MACD fast and slow lines are trending downwards and showing signs of turning, the volume bars are slightly decreasing, and the KDJ is supported near 50 and moving upwards. Watch for resistance below 100, and the VR indicator is consolidating around 90. Overall, this wave of increase lacks a proper pullback, the candlestick pattern is strong, and if it breaks the previous high in the short term, caution is needed. The Bitcoin trend often leaves people expecting a pullback for long positions but to no avail, so one must be more careful now. If it continues to rise strongly without a pullback, there may be a large-scale washout later. In the short term, one can enter when it breaks the previous high, paying attention to support around 98000. As for Ethereum, its technical correlation with Bitcoin shows a weaker trend but is influenced by Bitcoin's fluctuations.
Frequent spikes in Bitcoin—are you feeling scared? Is it too late to clear positions now?
Has the Bitcoin spike made you anxious again? After Bitcoin broke 100,000, the market has become turbulent. An occasional major spike can lead to a drop in altcoins, and I believe many people sense a crisis from this.
Many people ask: Is it possible to clear positions? I want to be clear: if you want to clear your position and exit, you can. However, if you plan to come back, I do not recommend clearing your position. First of all, whether viewed from a long-term or short-term perspective, clearing Bitcoin is the wrong choice. Second, looking at the medium to short term over a few months, regardless of whether you clear any altcoins, Finally, clearing your position in a bull market is inherently a trap. If you clear your position in early April, you might get back in during August, September, October, or November, but you will definitely clear your position. This is a matter of investment habits. Once you clear your position and make an incorrect judgment, you will find yourself in a position of constantly chasing the market, buying high, or watching others profit while you can only sit on the sidelines due to being in cash, falling into the mindset of a retail investor, trying to short the market. If you take this step, then losing it all is just a matter of time.
Current price of large pancake 99000, short directly Target 98000, defense 100000 Current price of Ethereum 3940, short directly Target 3850, defense 4050 Xue Liang still insists on being bullish It's just a pullback to catch a wave in the range #APT、ADA、ENA大额解锁 #山寨季将持续多久? #SUSHI价格飙升 #PEPE市值新高 #Meme齐涨 $BTC
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学良常胜日记
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Bullish
12.2-12.6 Last Week Summary Led a total of one million students through trading Achieved 21,820 points in Bitcoin and 871 points in Ethereum The market is like a vast ocean, with tides rising and falling, following its own rhythm, cycling endlessly without end. In the midst of it, one must cultivate inner strength and refine the ability to act outwardly, like a traveler pursuing dreams on a long journey. Doubts can filter out risks, but they may also cause opportunities to slip away. To seize good opportunities, one must have a fearless and trial-and-error mindset. #SushiBullRun #SUSHI价格飙升 #PEPE市值新高 #Meme齐涨 #Cardano基金会推特被盗 $BTC
A smooth weekend of multiple orders Exited the market from 99559-101343 to gain 1784 points on Bitcoin Exited the market from 3961-4014 to gain 53 points on Ethereum One order made 87,000 oil Relaxed and calm, however you send it is however it works Always maintaining an explosive state of market sense Trading is like hunting; the most important thing is to patiently wait. The best timing for trading requires long periods of waiting. If the timing is not right, no matter how you buy or sell, you will only incur more losses than gains! #山寨季将持续多久? #APT、ADA、ENA大额解锁 #SUSHI价格飙升 #PEPE市值新高 #Cardano基金会推特被盗 $BTC
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学良常胜日记
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Bullish
12.2-12.6 Last Week Summary Led a total of one million students through trading Achieved 21,820 points in Bitcoin and 871 points in Ethereum The market is like a vast ocean, with tides rising and falling, following its own rhythm, cycling endlessly without end. In the midst of it, one must cultivate inner strength and refine the ability to act outwardly, like a traveler pursuing dreams on a long journey. Doubts can filter out risks, but they may also cause opportunities to slip away. To seize good opportunities, one must have a fearless and trial-and-error mindset. #SushiBullRun #SUSHI价格飙升 #PEPE市值新高 #Meme齐涨 #Cardano基金会推特被盗 $BTC
Yesterday's long positions were successfully closed Harvested 1784 points of Bitcoin and 53 points of Ethereum One trade netted 87,000 oil Over the weekend, I still led students to seize market fluctuations With a clear strategy and impeccable execution Profit is just within reach! #APT、ADA、ENA大额解锁 #山寨季将持续多久? #SUSHI价格飙升 #PEPE市值新高 #Cardano基金会推特被盗 $BTC
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学良常胜日记
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Bullish
12.2-12.6 Last Week Summary Led a total of one million students through trading Achieved 21,820 points in Bitcoin and 871 points in Ethereum The market is like a vast ocean, with tides rising and falling, following its own rhythm, cycling endlessly without end. In the midst of it, one must cultivate inner strength and refine the ability to act outwardly, like a traveler pursuing dreams on a long journey. Doubts can filter out risks, but they may also cause opportunities to slip away. To seize good opportunities, one must have a fearless and trial-and-error mindset. #SushiBullRun #SUSHI价格飙升 #PEPE市值新高 #Meme齐涨 #Cardano基金会推特被盗 $BTC
Frequent spikes in Bitcoin—are you feeling scared? Is it too late to clear positions now?
Has the Bitcoin spike made you anxious again? After Bitcoin broke 100,000, the market has become turbulent. An occasional major spike can lead to a drop in altcoins, and I believe many people sense a crisis from this.
Many people ask: Is it possible to clear positions? I want to be clear: if you want to clear your position and exit, you can. However, if you plan to come back, I do not recommend clearing your position. First of all, whether viewed from a long-term or short-term perspective, clearing Bitcoin is the wrong choice. Second, looking at the medium to short term over a few months, regardless of whether you clear any altcoins, Finally, clearing your position in a bull market is inherently a trap. If you clear your position in early April, you might get back in during August, September, October, or November, but you will definitely clear your position. This is a matter of investment habits. Once you clear your position and make an incorrect judgment, you will find yourself in a position of constantly chasing the market, buying high, or watching others profit while you can only sit on the sidelines due to being in cash, falling into the mindset of a retail investor, trying to short the market. If you take this step, then losing it all is just a matter of time.
12.2-12.6 Last Week Summary Led a total of one million students through trading Achieved 21,820 points in Bitcoin and 871 points in Ethereum The market is like a vast ocean, with tides rising and falling, following its own rhythm, cycling endlessly without end. In the midst of it, one must cultivate inner strength and refine the ability to act outwardly, like a traveler pursuing dreams on a long journey. Doubts can filter out risks, but they may also cause opportunities to slip away. To seize good opportunities, one must have a fearless and trial-and-error mindset. #SushiBullRun #SUSHI价格飙升 #PEPE市值新高 #Meme齐涨 #Cardano基金会推特被盗 $BTC
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学良常胜日记
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TC Crazy 'Drop Tower', Retail Investors Cut Losses, Sell Off? Can Bitcoin still be bought at 100k?
The price of Bitcoin has been extremely volatile recently, like a roller coaster, soaring at times and crashing at others. From the fantasy of reaching '100,000 dollars' to the overnight liquidation of hundreds of thousands of retail investors, the market changes are astonishing.
At 6 AM yesterday, a spike in Bitcoin suddenly dropped down to 89.7k and quickly rebounded, precisely puncturing the long leverage that had been smugly hidden below 90,000 dollars the previous day. In the evening, the U.S. non-farm payroll data was below expectations, indicating a poor economy that urgently needs interest rate cuts to stimulate recovery. Bitcoin responded with a rise, returning above 100k overnight; this is clearly a healthy deleveraging. The washout did not cause panic. Various sectors did not collectively abandon ship; instead, there were mixed rises and falls.
Morning Thoughts on December 9 Good morning, students. The Bitcoin daily chart shows two consecutive bearish candles, the Bollinger Bands are gradually narrowing upwards, the MACD moving average continues to extend downwards, and the bearish volume is consistently being released. The KDJ line is gently moving upwards. On the 4-hour chart, the Bollinger Bands have turned to a narrowing downward trend, but the price has rebounded above the middle track of the Bollinger Bands. At this point, the MACD moving average starts to turn upwards, bullish volume is gradually increasing, and the KDJ line is also showing an upward trend. For Ethereum, the daily chart shows an alternating pattern of bullish and bearish candles, with a strong rebound from the bottom, breaking through new highs and approaching around 4090. The Bollinger Bands have opened upwards, with the MACD moving average and KDJ line moving upwards simultaneously, and bullish volume continues to expand. The 4-hour chart also shows that the Bollinger Bands are expanding, the MACD moving average is climbing upwards, bullish volume is in a state of expansion, and the KDJ line is also advancing upwards.
Core Points for Averaging Down and Breaking Even Using EMA Moving Averages After Being Stuck in Long Strategies
1. Overview of Averaging Down Timing and Key Points
In long trading scenarios, when using EMA moving averages as a reference for averaging down, one should closely monitor the relative position of the price and different period moving averages. The core idea is to effectively reduce costs and accurately capture opportunities to break even and ultimately achieve profits.
2. In-Depth Analysis Under Different Circumstances
(1) Price is above the EMA 5-day line and the 5-day line is above the 10-day line
- When the drawdown is not more than 3%, one may choose not to average down for the time being. The reason is that if the price retraces to the 5-day line and does not break below it, it often has the potential to rise again, thus creating possibilities for breaking even or even making a profit. - If the drawdown exceeds 3%, then averaging down at the price corresponding to the 5-day line should be carried out. This approach can bring the cost closer to the 5-day line, significantly increasing the probability of breaking even and making a profit.
(2) Price is between the 5-day line and the 10-day line, and the 5-day line is above the 10-day line
- If the price drops below the 5-day line and initially fails to stop the loss but still holds an optimistic expectation for the future market, averaging down should be implemented when the price retraces to the 10-day line. This can lower the cost below the 5-day line, and once a rebound occurs and successfully breaks through the 5-day line, one can hold cash and wait for an upward trend. - If the price breaks below the 10-day line and the investor plans to hold cash for the medium to long term, then after the price moves away from the 10-day line by more than 5 to 10 points, a strategy of averaging down in batches should be adopted. This keeps the cost controlled in the area just below the 10-day line, waiting to sell the positions corresponding to the averaged down shares when the price rebounds to the 10-day line.
(3) Price is below the 5-day line and the 10-day line, and the 5-day line has formed a dead cross or is close to forming a dead cross with the 10-day line
When encountering a situation where one is stuck and the 5-day line has already formed a dead cross with the 10-day line, averaging down should be executed when the price drops near the 30-day line (also known as the lifeline) to lower the cost below the 10-day line. If the subsequent price rebounds and successfully breaks through the 10-day line, while the 5-day line forms a golden cross, then one can consider continuing to hold the position.
TC Crazy 'Drop Tower', Retail Investors Cut Losses, Sell Off? Can Bitcoin still be bought at 100k?
The price of Bitcoin has been extremely volatile recently, like a roller coaster, soaring at times and crashing at others. From the fantasy of reaching '100,000 dollars' to the overnight liquidation of hundreds of thousands of retail investors, the market changes are astonishing.
At 6 AM yesterday, a spike in Bitcoin suddenly dropped down to 89.7k and quickly rebounded, precisely puncturing the long leverage that had been smugly hidden below 90,000 dollars the previous day. In the evening, the U.S. non-farm payroll data was below expectations, indicating a poor economy that urgently needs interest rate cuts to stimulate recovery. Bitcoin responded with a rise, returning above 100k overnight; this is clearly a healthy deleveraging. The washout did not cause panic. Various sectors did not collectively abandon ship; instead, there were mixed rises and falls.
Short-term short orders within the day were cashed in. Since leaving the market at 100310-99612, 698 points of ether were gained. Since leaving the market at 4000-3985, 15 points of ether were gained. Led students to win 37,000 oil in one order. This week is also coming to an end. I wonder if students have obtained satisfactory results. #山寨季怎么布局? #山寨季怎么布局? #AI板块走高 #以太坊领涨 #币安将上市ACX、ORCA $BTC
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学良常胜日记
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Immediately following the previous long position First, a gain of 2662 points in Bitcoin Then a gain of 134 points in Ethereum A single wave of long positions directly earned 170,000 oil With a clear strategy and impeccable execution, profit is just a matter of course! #山寨季怎么布局? #AI板块走高 #比特币重返10W大关 #以太坊领涨 #币安将上市ACX、ORCA $BTC
Morning short position gains Leading millions of leveraged trading students Harvested 698 points on Bitcoin and 15 points on Ethereum One trade captured 34k oil Income still coming in over the weekend With impeccable action, making money is just at your fingertips! #BTC能站稳10W吗? #山寨季怎么布局? #AI板块走高 #以太坊领涨 #币安将上市ACX、ORCA $BTC
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学良常胜日记
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Immediately following the previous long position First, a gain of 2662 points in Bitcoin Then a gain of 134 points in Ethereum A single wave of long positions directly earned 170,000 oil With a clear strategy and impeccable execution, profit is just a matter of course! #山寨季怎么布局? #AI板块走高 #比特币重返10W大关 #以太坊领涨 #币安将上市ACX、ORCA $BTC
Evening Thoughts on December 7 Bitcoin daily chart shows that after weekend fluctuations, it fell on Monday. The opening was met with resistance from short-term moving averages. The mid-band is currently the short-term support that needs to be focused on. The Bollinger Bands are narrowing and leveling off, with the MACD fast and slow lines crossing downward, and the volume bars continuing to increase. The KDJ is crossing downward again, while the VR index is consolidating around the 200 value. Overall, the mid-band support on the daily chart is the key focus in the short term. The 4-hour candlestick may form an arc. When combining the daily and 4-hour charts, if the mid-band on the daily breaks, then the arc pattern will continue. The key resistance to look for in the short term is around 98000; if it cannot break and stabilize, then the short-term strategy should focus primarily on shorting during rebounds. For short-term suggestions. Ethereum's daily chart shows that the key support below is around 3900, which is also the previous support rebound area, so it can still serve as a reference for short-term support. The high point of the previous candlestick serves as a reference for short-term resistance. The short-term strategy should similarly follow Bitcoin's approach, with an emphasis on rebounds and paying attention to support levels. Bitcoin: 98500-99000 Long Target 99800-101000 Ethereum: 3900-3950 Long Target 4050-4100 #BTC能站稳10W吗? #山寨季怎么布局? #AI板块走高 #以太坊领涨 #SUI市场新焦点 $BTC
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学良常胜日记
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Bullish
Core Points for Averaging Down and Breaking Even Using EMA Moving Averages After Being Stuck in Long Strategies
1. Overview of Averaging Down Timing and Key Points
In long trading scenarios, when using EMA moving averages as a reference for averaging down, one should closely monitor the relative position of the price and different period moving averages. The core idea is to effectively reduce costs and accurately capture opportunities to break even and ultimately achieve profits.
2. In-Depth Analysis Under Different Circumstances
(1) Price is above the EMA 5-day line and the 5-day line is above the 10-day line
- When the drawdown is not more than 3%, one may choose not to average down for the time being. The reason is that if the price retraces to the 5-day line and does not break below it, it often has the potential to rise again, thus creating possibilities for breaking even or even making a profit. - If the drawdown exceeds 3%, then averaging down at the price corresponding to the 5-day line should be carried out. This approach can bring the cost closer to the 5-day line, significantly increasing the probability of breaking even and making a profit.
(2) Price is between the 5-day line and the 10-day line, and the 5-day line is above the 10-day line
- If the price drops below the 5-day line and initially fails to stop the loss but still holds an optimistic expectation for the future market, averaging down should be implemented when the price retraces to the 10-day line. This can lower the cost below the 5-day line, and once a rebound occurs and successfully breaks through the 5-day line, one can hold cash and wait for an upward trend. - If the price breaks below the 10-day line and the investor plans to hold cash for the medium to long term, then after the price moves away from the 10-day line by more than 5 to 10 points, a strategy of averaging down in batches should be adopted. This keeps the cost controlled in the area just below the 10-day line, waiting to sell the positions corresponding to the averaged down shares when the price rebounds to the 10-day line.
(3) Price is below the 5-day line and the 10-day line, and the 5-day line has formed a dead cross or is close to forming a dead cross with the 10-day line
When encountering a situation where one is stuck and the 5-day line has already formed a dead cross with the 10-day line, averaging down should be executed when the price drops near the 30-day line (also known as the lifeline) to lower the cost below the 10-day line. If the subsequent price rebounds and successfully breaks through the 10-day line, while the 5-day line forms a golden cross, then one can consider continuing to hold the position.
Current price of pancake is 99500, directly short Target 98000, stop loss 101000 Current price of Ethereum is 3980, directly short Target 3900, stop loss 4080 Xue Liang still insists on being bullish Just a pullback to take a wave in the range #BTC能站稳10W吗? #山寨季怎么布局? #AI板块走高 #以太坊领涨 #ENA突破1美元 $BTC
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学良常胜日记
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Tips for Breaking Even that Old Cryptocurrency Investors Want to Know
Regarding break-even strategies:
- In terms of holding strategies, if slightly trapped, one can use rebound opportunities or appropriately reduce positions when the price rises to achieve a break even; if in a high-level trap, one can choose to reduce positions at high points, thereby gaining a psychological and financial advantage in subsequent market movements. - Key points for cutting losses: when trapped at a high price, one must cut losses immediately; if trapped at a mid-level, one can temporarily wait based on the specific situation at that time or reduce positions when the price rises to minimize losses; if trapped at a low level, there is no need to rush to cut losses. One should wait for the cryptocurrency price to stabilize after falling and boldly add positions at key support levels to average down costs, thereby rescuing the high position during subsequent rebound markets.
Bitcoin returns to 100k, have you been liquidated? Musk calls for Doge, breaking above 1 dollar.
After Bitcoin's flash crash yesterday, it rebounded and went sideways. Last night, the U.S. non-farm payroll data came in below expectations, indicating a poor economy that urgently needs interest rate cuts to stimulate recovery. Bitcoin rose, and within a night, it returned above 100k, just as expected in yesterday's article (Over 210,000 liquidations! Bitcoin staged a dramatic flash crash, what to do after the turmoil?).
Yesterday’s sharp drop specifically targeted heavy long positions, rather than indicating a trend reversal. After the flash crash, new investors were definitely anxious; upon waking up, they immediately shouted that the earlier you enter the market, the greater the profits, yet many remained hesitant. New investors tend to go bearish after a sharp drop, resulting in their short positions getting trapped. Since the indicators are currently being repaired, rushing to short will definitely lead to shorting at low levels. So simply buying on dips is the way to go.
Follow-up of the verification of ideas in the early morning of the day Leading millions of students to turn over positions to win 2662 points of Bitcoin and 134 points of Ethereum One order directly won 170,000 oil The market is like the sea, with ups and downs, following its own rhythm, repeating in a cycle, without an end. #山寨季怎么布局? #AI板块走高 #比特币重返10W大关 #以太坊领涨 #币安将上市ACX、ORCA $BTC
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学良常胜日记
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Bullish
Advanced prediction accurately cashes in The big pie is still so powerful Not disappointing expectations, returning to the 100,000 mark Layout for long positions, the big pie first cashes in the 2662 point range Looking forward to the subsequent performance of Ethereum Only by giving our all can we have no regrets. Only through continuous struggle can we have a better future #比特币重返10W大关 #以太坊领涨 #币安将上市ACX、ORCA #ENA突破1美元 #SUI市场新焦点 $BTC
Immediately following the previous long position First, a gain of 2662 points in Bitcoin Then a gain of 134 points in Ethereum A single wave of long positions directly earned 170,000 oil With a clear strategy and impeccable execution, profit is just a matter of course! #山寨季怎么布局? #AI板块走高 #比特币重返10W大关 #以太坊领涨 #币安将上市ACX、ORCA $BTC
LIVE
学良常胜日记
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Bullish
Advanced prediction accurately cashes in The big pie is still so powerful Not disappointing expectations, returning to the 100,000 mark Layout for long positions, the big pie first cashes in the 2662 point range Looking forward to the subsequent performance of Ethereum Only by giving our all can we have no regrets. Only through continuous struggle can we have a better future #比特币重返10W大关 #以太坊领涨 #币安将上市ACX、ORCA #ENA突破1美元 #SUI市场新焦点 $BTC
December 7 Midday Thoughts The morning thoughts provided are still being validated. For Bitcoin, it is showing a small bearish K-line pattern on the daily chart. The Bollinger Bands are narrowing upwards and showing signs of reopening, indicating that the market is in a consolidation and accumulation phase, and both bulls and bears are about to face a new contest. The MACD moving average continues to run downwards, with bearish volume being continuously released, indicating that the bearish force still holds a dominant advantage. However, the KDJ line is diverging and moving upwards, suggesting that there is a demand for a rebound in the oversold area. For Ethereum, the daily chart recorded a bullish K-line and successfully broke past the previous high, nearing the 4090 area. The Bollinger Bands maintain a strong upward opening, providing space support for further price increases. The MACD moving average continues to move upwards, with bullish volume expanding, showcasing the strong force and firm determination of the bulls, and the KDJ line is also moving upwards simultaneously, further confirming the continuation of the bullish trend.
Core Points for Averaging Down and Breaking Even Using EMA Moving Averages After Being Stuck in Long Strategies
1. Overview of Averaging Down Timing and Key Points
In long trading scenarios, when using EMA moving averages as a reference for averaging down, one should closely monitor the relative position of the price and different period moving averages. The core idea is to effectively reduce costs and accurately capture opportunities to break even and ultimately achieve profits.
2. In-Depth Analysis Under Different Circumstances
(1) Price is above the EMA 5-day line and the 5-day line is above the 10-day line
- When the drawdown is not more than 3%, one may choose not to average down for the time being. The reason is that if the price retraces to the 5-day line and does not break below it, it often has the potential to rise again, thus creating possibilities for breaking even or even making a profit. - If the drawdown exceeds 3%, then averaging down at the price corresponding to the 5-day line should be carried out. This approach can bring the cost closer to the 5-day line, significantly increasing the probability of breaking even and making a profit.
(2) Price is between the 5-day line and the 10-day line, and the 5-day line is above the 10-day line
- If the price drops below the 5-day line and initially fails to stop the loss but still holds an optimistic expectation for the future market, averaging down should be implemented when the price retraces to the 10-day line. This can lower the cost below the 5-day line, and once a rebound occurs and successfully breaks through the 5-day line, one can hold cash and wait for an upward trend. - If the price breaks below the 10-day line and the investor plans to hold cash for the medium to long term, then after the price moves away from the 10-day line by more than 5 to 10 points, a strategy of averaging down in batches should be adopted. This keeps the cost controlled in the area just below the 10-day line, waiting to sell the positions corresponding to the averaged down shares when the price rebounds to the 10-day line.
(3) Price is below the 5-day line and the 10-day line, and the 5-day line has formed a dead cross or is close to forming a dead cross with the 10-day line
When encountering a situation where one is stuck and the 5-day line has already formed a dead cross with the 10-day line, averaging down should be executed when the price drops near the 30-day line (also known as the lifeline) to lower the cost below the 10-day line. If the subsequent price rebounds and successfully breaks through the 10-day line, while the 5-day line forms a golden cross, then one can consider continuing to hold the position.
Core Points for Averaging Down and Breaking Even Using EMA Moving Averages After Being Stuck in Long Strategies
1. Overview of Averaging Down Timing and Key Points
In long trading scenarios, when using EMA moving averages as a reference for averaging down, one should closely monitor the relative position of the price and different period moving averages. The core idea is to effectively reduce costs and accurately capture opportunities to break even and ultimately achieve profits.
2. In-Depth Analysis Under Different Circumstances
(1) Price is above the EMA 5-day line and the 5-day line is above the 10-day line
- When the drawdown is not more than 3%, one may choose not to average down for the time being. The reason is that if the price retraces to the 5-day line and does not break below it, it often has the potential to rise again, thus creating possibilities for breaking even or even making a profit. - If the drawdown exceeds 3%, then averaging down at the price corresponding to the 5-day line should be carried out. This approach can bring the cost closer to the 5-day line, significantly increasing the probability of breaking even and making a profit.
(2) Price is between the 5-day line and the 10-day line, and the 5-day line is above the 10-day line
- If the price drops below the 5-day line and initially fails to stop the loss but still holds an optimistic expectation for the future market, averaging down should be implemented when the price retraces to the 10-day line. This can lower the cost below the 5-day line, and once a rebound occurs and successfully breaks through the 5-day line, one can hold cash and wait for an upward trend. - If the price breaks below the 10-day line and the investor plans to hold cash for the medium to long term, then after the price moves away from the 10-day line by more than 5 to 10 points, a strategy of averaging down in batches should be adopted. This keeps the cost controlled in the area just below the 10-day line, waiting to sell the positions corresponding to the averaged down shares when the price rebounds to the 10-day line.
(3) Price is below the 5-day line and the 10-day line, and the 5-day line has formed a dead cross or is close to forming a dead cross with the 10-day line
When encountering a situation where one is stuck and the 5-day line has already formed a dead cross with the 10-day line, averaging down should be executed when the price drops near the 30-day line (also known as the lifeline) to lower the cost below the 10-day line. If the subsequent price rebounds and successfully breaks through the 10-day line, while the 5-day line forms a golden cross, then one can consider continuing to hold the position.
Tips for Breaking Even that Old Cryptocurrency Investors Want to Know
Regarding break-even strategies:
- In terms of holding strategies, if slightly trapped, one can use rebound opportunities or appropriately reduce positions when the price rises to achieve a break even; if in a high-level trap, one can choose to reduce positions at high points, thereby gaining a psychological and financial advantage in subsequent market movements. - Key points for cutting losses: when trapped at a high price, one must cut losses immediately; if trapped at a mid-level, one can temporarily wait based on the specific situation at that time or reduce positions when the price rises to minimize losses; if trapped at a low level, there is no need to rush to cut losses. One should wait for the cryptocurrency price to stabilize after falling and boldly add positions at key support levels to average down costs, thereby rescuing the high position during subsequent rebound markets.