Finally, respond:

First, let’s talk about my personal trading situation in the past week:

Mark the daily rise and fall, and the current accuracy is 100%.

As for the accuracy of the strategy, yesterday I stepped back to 60300, and finally stepped back to the position of 60060, which is considered a mistake. It was correct in the past few days, and the points were basically accurate, and the strategy accuracy rate was 80%.

For three consecutive times, the news data was analyzed in advance, and the prediction success rate was 100%.

This is the situation in the past week.

But what I want to express is that this does not mean anything, nor is it something I want to use to create a personal image for myself.

It can only show that my recent grasp of market trends is pretty good and I have adapted to the rhythm of the market.

But I always believe that there is no permanent profit master in the market, and my accuracy rate was very high in June.

But when the market rhythm suddenly changed in July, I even had doubts about myself.

So why are there no traders who make money forever? The market conditions have certain rules, but the rhythm is not static.

Sometimes there is a sudden change from shock to unilateral rhythm, and it is easy to change from stable profit to stable loss without reacting for a while.

Therefore, my current habit is to make as much profit as possible when I can grasp the market.

When the market changes its rhythm, adapt in time. If you really can't adapt, give up the unfamiliar rhythm. Trading is not just a matter of time. It doesn't hurt to take a break for a while.

The most important point, I said before:

My points are for reference only. Comments from traders who have their own market views and trading logic are welcome. We can communicate together.

But there is no logic, I haven't read the article in detail, I just come up with it for my own bad taste, and I just post it without thinking.

I do not recognize his character, nor do I think he has the qualities a trader should have.

So from now on, I will be directly blocked from this kind of meeting, and I will not respond to such comments anymore, which is also a waste of my time.

$BTC

Big cake breaks through 65,000, panic?

At present, big cake breaks through the consolidation range of 62,700-64,700, and the highest reaches 65,800.

The market has begun to look for new highs.

But I personally think that a wave of callbacks of more than 3,000 points is brewing.

At least before breaking through 68,000, this callback will happen.

It is very common to lure more people to break through the consolidation zone.

In recent days, the consolidation in the range of 627-647 has made longs accustomed to the band and made shorts develop a habit.

The breakthrough of the consolidation zone has strengthened the confidence of the long army, and hesitation has become chasing more, or fomo.

Let the air force start to panic, and the band has become a loss or fear.

Observing the trading volume, the volume has risen sharply. At present, the positive line is still relatively solid.

The end of a rising market is often accompanied by an accelerated rise after high consolidation.

Lure more, scare shorts.

But it is only on the left side at present. I am holding short orders at 65700. So I want to verify my strategy.

Last night's article mentioned that if it does not break 63000, look at 65700 first. Look at unemployment benefits after the callback.

It is not recommended to follow, the risk is high. You can see how the closing line will be at 8 o'clock tomorrow.

The view is a personal subjective view and is for reference only.

#HMSTR开盘 #你有多少HMSTR？ #美国二季度核心PCE符合预期

$BTC Has the Bitcoin bull market arrived? Will there be a crazy bull market this year?

In the mid-term market, Bitcoin will pull back to around 60,000, and the high point is still around 68,000. A market vote is attached at the end of the article.

Bitcoin has been in a scorching trend recently, and continues to consolidate at a high level of around 2,000 points.

Many friends may also be hesitating whether to chase high or leave the market.

Then relative to Bitcoin, I would like to talk about cottages first. I don’t know if you have paid attention to the cottage market in recent times.

Take some relatively strong cottages to see that the trend can be roughly divided into several stages:

The first stage: daily line pin breakout-suppression and retracement of support levels.

The second stage: daily line entity breakout-suppression and support conversion.

The third stage: accelerated rise-pressured July support level fall.

So far, this round of rebound market has basically ended, and the next high consolidation will wait for Bitcoin to catch up.

The commonality of the above-mentioned altcoins is that they actively pulled up, took on the selling pressure, and broke through the highs in July and August.

Let's observe the high point in July again. The strong altcoins also reached the top before the big cake.

After that, the big cake reached 70,000 at the end of July, and the weak altcoins simultaneously made up for the rise and reached the high point, and the rebound ended.

Now let's look at the big cake. Taking the strong altcoins as a reference, the big cake is in the second stage, and the next step is very likely to suppress the support and resistance conversion.

For the callback position, I personally prefer to hit back to around 60,000-60,500, the Fibonacci retracement 0.618 position.

Rather than 61,300, because this support level is too obvious.

When the big cake callback, you can also find some weak altcoins and hold positions to wait for the rebound.

After the callback, for the big cake, the high point is still around 68,000, the top of the daily downward trend, and the strong pressure position.

In the long run, I still don't see the factors of the big bull in the current liquidity.

I prefer 25 years to see the progress of the bull market. This process may be accompanied by the accelerated depreciation of the US dollar or the collapse of US banks.

A large amount of incremental funds and liquidity are injected into the crypto market to promote it.

Finally, put a vote at the bottom of the article to see what everyone thinks of the market at the moment, and the data will be announced tomorrow.

#AI概念币普涨 #本周美国将公布PCE、GDP数据 #谷歌云与Solana合作

$BTC

After the interest rate cut mentioned last night, the first upward position.

63200-63800

The rise is a bit too fast

#token2049 #美联储宣布降息50个基点

$NEIRO

Let's talk about the coin Neiro. Why did I miss the 3x increase?

I'm posting an entertainment post. Actually, I recently found that it's fun to use the altcoin to do T. The key is to save worry.

Then why did Neiro rise 3 times after it was launched on the secondary market, and I didn't catch it?

At that time, my personal altcoin position was holding FTM, out of the inertial view that the new coin will peak when it is launched.

At that time, I didn't pay much attention to Neiro.

But Neiro is different. What's the reason? Let's analyze it next.

This requires some knowledge of trading psychology.

Regarding uppercase and lowercase Neiro, each had a group of believers before it was launched on the secondary market.

But when uppercase Neiro was launched on Binance, it seemed to have made a conclusion about Neiro-lowercase was abandoned.

Due to the conclusion that has already occurred and the panic factor, most of the firm believers who originally held a large number of lowercase Neiro could not see the hope of continuing to hold.

And chose to throw it away or cut losses.

But what's interesting is that a few days later, Binance launched lowercase neiro again.

At this time, most of the original retail investors or heavy holders had already sold their lowercase neiro chips, and the car became very light.

So when Binance released the launch announcement of lowercase neiro, traders who are sensitive to the market took a little time to analyze it.

It can be basically determined that lowercase neiro has been highly controlled.

On the first day of the launch, it took on the selling pressure of a very small amount of bottom chips, as well as the profit-makers who chased high after the news came out.

After the selling pressure was eliminated, it began to pull up to create an effect.

But it was only after the fact that I recalled the whole process and realized the reason for the original miss.

I was still not sensitive enough to the cottage market and did not spend time to analyze it.

So on the first day of the launch of lowercase neiro, I was able to realize it and hold a heavy position, which is indeed admirable.

The market always rewards the prophets and pioneers the most. This is quite correct.

#币安上线NEIRO #美联储利率决议公布在即

$BTC

The most important thing this year is the Fed's interest rate decision at 2 a.m. How will it affect the trend of Bitcoin? Will there be a bull market for Bitcoin this year?

In the article published on September 9, quoted below, it was mentioned in the article at that time that there was not much surprise before the interest rate cut.

The high point is probably in the range of 60,200-61,300.

Last night, it was stuck at the last time point, and it just reached 61,300.

Regarding Bitcoin short-term trading, I have rarely done it recently. I haven't updated it in the past few days. I have studied the copycat targets.

On CKB, FIDA, Turbo, Polydoge, FTM and some spot, each profit is about 15-20 points. It's a pity that I didn't pay much attention to the new neiro coin.

In summary, it is much less troublesome than Bitcoin short-term contracts. The strategy is similar to the A-share hitting the board, and the daily line breakthrough-suppression and retracement.

Back to the point, Bitcoin broke through the downward trend line of 70000-49000 and 65000-52500 yesterday.

Whether it is the market expectation or the real breakthrough, it is not known for the time being.

In tonight's market, it is not recommended to participate in the short-term, and I will wait and see.

But from a structural point of view, with a 25 or 50 basis point interest rate cut, Bitcoin's long-term rise from 49000 has not ended, and it is likely to move upward after the interest rate cut.

At that time, there will be several key positions above, 63200-63800, and around 68000.

If the news falls, pay attention to the 55000-54500 range below. I will follow up with spot.

In addition, many people currently believe that Bitcoin will usher in a crazy bull market from October to the end of the year.

But the crazy bull market requires a large amount of incremental funds to be injected. At present, within a few months of the interest rate cut, the factors of the crazy bull market are not seen for the time being.

At present, it is more inclined to hit around 68,000 at the end of September. After that, it will accelerate downward and consolidate at the bottom for 3-4 months.

Waiting for an opportunity for a crisis to really emerge, the big cake is defined as a safe-haven asset to take over.

The above will probably be adjusted in place in December or the end of January 25. In March-June, the bull market will rise.

The views are personal subjective views and are for reference only.

#token2049 #币安上线NEIRO #加密市场反弹

$BTC

Today's market, pay attention to 57000 on the top and 55300 on the bottom.

Yesterday, the first strategy that I personally favored was still used for the big cake.

After the opening of the US stock market, the bottom hit 56500, and then continued to rise, but the highest point did not hit the target of 58800.

It fell back in the morning. In fact, during this period, for short-term trading, I personally do not recommend retail investors with little experience to do it.

Try to wait and see as much as possible. The internal structure of the short-term is still relatively complicated.

And entering the market from the left and right sides may not reach the target, or often hit losses.

For today's market, I am bearish after the data is released, and there is a certain probability that it will fall sharply.

Pay attention to the 57000-57400 area on the top.

Pay attention to the bottom near 55300, the bottom of the four-hour rising channel.

If the entity falls below the 55300-55000 range, from a structural perspective, the rising channel is broken, and there is a high probability of a deep fall.

At that time, pay attention to the 53100-53500 area below.

In addition, let me mention it again, the news will only be used by the market to affect the short-term trend and achieve its purpose, and will not change the original trend.

For example, the non-agricultural data a few days ago, the upward trend induced long-term clearing, and then continued the downward trend.

The views are personal views and are for reference only.

#美国大选如何影响加密产业？ #美国经济软着陆？ #CPI数据

$BTC

Today's market, pay attention to the 58800 area above the big cake, and pay attention to the 54800 area below.

Yesterday's article said that the big cake is bullish, which is 574-576 from early morning to morning.

The highest pin is around 581. Slightly above the trend line, and then fell.

For today's market, the big cake is currently running in the four-hour rising channel.

But the short-term is temporarily unclear. I personally provide two strategies.

From the market, after the pin hits the top, the four-hour K did not show continuous negative K or deep decline, and there is a certain trend of continuing to attack.

1. After the opening of the US stock market, pay attention to the 56600-56200 range below. If the pin hits it, it will look at the 58800 area from early morning to morning.

2. After the opening of the US stock market, pay attention to the 573-577 area above. It is mainly based on the unreal breaking of the previous high. If the pin is touched, pay attention to 56800 below.

If 568 does not provide support, the bottom of the rising channel is 54800.

Based on the current market, I prefer the first strategy in the short term.

The second strategy is more concerned with clearing the accumulated long orders below.

It will be determined based on the real-time market conditions.

The views are personal subjective views and are for reference only.

#美国大选如何影响加密产业？ #美国经济软着陆？ #以太坊基金会

$BTC

With only 10 days left before the rate cut, will Bitcoin continue to hype the final rate cut expectations?

In the previous article, when Bitcoin was around 56,000, it was mentioned that Bitcoin would hit around 53,700 before and after the non-agricultural data.

And I personally believe that Bitcoin will continue to hype the rate cut expectations, the last support level.

At present, Bitcoin's lowest pin is around 52,500. Then the bottom consolidation is probably around 53,500.

In fact, it also conforms to the second exploration from 49,000. And it is likely to belong to the bottom range before the rate cut.

But there is no surprise in the current rate cut expectations, and there is no time. And there are too many uncertainties.

At present, my personal strategy is about 60,200-61,300 for the highs seen before the rate cut.

The low will be defensive and covered at around 51,000.

For today's market, Bitcoin has broken through the downward trend line of 598-525. And it runs along the upper edge of the trend after the breakthrough.

I am optimistic that after the opening of the US stock market, the entity will break through the 555-560 range and touch around 57400 in the early morning to the morning.

Alternative strategy: After the opening of the US stock market, the 1-hour K entity fell below 54700. That is, a false breakthrough and loss, and fell back into the channel again, looking at around 53000.

In extreme cases, 50700-51600 is used for defense.

A few days ago, an article analyzed that interest rate cuts are basically certain events.

But to prevent profitable investment or speculative funds from flowing out in large quantities, there is a high probability that disputes and unstable factors will be frequently created after the interest rate cut.

Then according to the interest rate cut, will the big cake first pull up and then fall, or fall directly after the interest rate cut. They all have to fall again, and the extreme high point is difficult to touch 69000.

But the extreme low will depend on the situation. I think it is likely to break 5w, and will consolidate at the bottom for about 3-4 months.

I mentioned it once before. This round of market is likely to be different from the historical cycle. It can only be used as a reference, not as a guarantee.

#美国经济软着陆？ #以太坊基金会 #美国8月非农就业人数不及预期

$BTC

Today's market, pay attention to the 58800 area above the big cake, and pay attention to the 53700 area below.

Let's talk about yesterday's situation first. Yesterday's article said that the big cake was under pressure around 579, and then hit the 53700 position before and after the non-agricultural data came out.

But yesterday the big cake hit the highest position around 58500. It broke through the falling channel from 59800 to 55000. But it fell again in the morning.

It has once again gone out of the V reverse V trend, so the short-term confusion is still quite strong recently.

At present, the big cake is consolidating around 56600. This position is relatively important. If it falls below 56100 again.

In terms of personal strategy, the big cake may usher in a continuous deep decline in the short-term hourly K, and finally provide support around 53700 in the evening.

And this position is also the last support level for individuals who will speculate on the expectation before the interest rate cut.

Once the real price falls below 53,000 again, the speculation on interest rate cuts is highly likely to disappear, and there is no time.

And the possibility of breaking the previous low and going to 45,000 is also increasing.

If the current consolidation range can be successfully supported, the four-hour K does not fall below 56,100.

Then after the opening of the US stock market, it is expected to rise, and the position is temporarily around 58,800.

If 58,800 still fails to withstand pressure, it may touch above 60,000 in the early morning or tomorrow.

#非农就业数据即将公布 #BTC走势分析 #BNBChainMemeCoin

$BTC

Today's market, the upper side of Bitcoin is around 57,900. The lower side is around 54,900 and 53,700.

The previous article said that my recent long-term strategy for Bitcoin is either not to break below 55,000 or to break the previous low.

So when Bitcoin hit 55,500 in the morning, I also traded my own strategy plan from the left side.

Added 60% of the spot position.

But the current situation is that Bitcoin's rebound is very weak, even worse than Ethereum.

From the four-hour K-line, Bitcoin also conforms to the falling relay pattern.

So I will formulate a new strategy based on the current market trend.

Specifically, when Bitcoin falls below 56,000 again, the added chips will be sold, and when it reaches around 53,700, 50% of the position will be added again.

In the subsequent four-hour K-line, if the real price does not fall below 53,000, it is highly likely that the position will be held until September 18, and the price will be around 68,000.

For today's upper pressure point, it is still optimistic about the pressure around 57,900.

Before and after the release of non-agricultural data on September 6, it hit around 53,700.

In addition, if the black swan situation appears again before the interest rate cut, the extreme drop position, I will be around 45,000, full of spot.

As for breaking 4w, I don't see it below 4w before this round of big market does not break the new high.

Although there will be a big drop after the interest rate cut, the big cake may not return to this position.

In addition, I would like to mention why I am more optimistic about the future market of the big cake compared to the US stock market after the interest rate cut.

I personally think that the US economic recession is a certain event.

After the interest rate cut, if the US dollar continues to weaken, there is a certain probability that the liquidity withdrawn from the US stock market will be injected into the big cake pool.

Try to replace the dominant position of the US dollar with the big cake.

Moreover, in the current direction, with the passing of the ETF of the big cake and the layout of the Hong Kong stable currency, the big cake gradually began to enter the public eye.

In the first round of market conditions of new things, it has left the wild growth period and moved towards standardization.

Although it is not as good as the previous benefit effect. But there are often greater opportunities.

And it will be the last important opportunity that retail investors can grasp after the big cake moves towards standardization.

#加密市场急跌 #非农就业数据即将公布 #BTC走势分析

I have already entered 60% of my spot positions, and there may be a brief second test in the evening. The main goal is not to break the previous low.

The specific market conditions will be updated in the evening.

$BTC

Let me tell you my overall opinion on Bitcoin. Either it doesn't test below 55,000, or it tests a big one - temporarily looking at 45,000.

I haven't updated in the past few days. After a rough reflection, I feel that short-term trading is meaningless.

In the garbage market, I get one or two points a day, and I am tired of watching the market.

It's better to take a good rest, relax and learn.

At present, I personally think that the crypto market has basically reached a critical point, and I will gradually turn to long-term spot layout.

A few days ago, I updated a long article on the fundamentals of interest rate cuts, but I found that most retail investors on the square don't seem to pay much attention to this kind of thing.

As the article said, the Federal Reserve is likely to cut interest rates in September, and it is in line with expectations, with a high probability of 25 basis points.

But it will create disputes to cover up the passive situation of having to cut interest rates.

Recently, frequent disputes have begun to emerge.

In addition, why do I say in the title that if you don't test below 55,000, you may test a big one and break the previous low.

Because everyone has been looking forward to the second test from 49,000.

It's because when it was 49,000, most people didn't buy the bottom due to panic, and then the speed of the pull-up was too fast, which led to missing out.

If most people have bought the bottom, they don't care about your second test, they just want you to go one-way quickly and not pull back.

Including voting data, retail investors with empty or light positions account for the vast majority. If the second test is in place for you, it just happens to take most retail investors on board, and then directly pull up.

It's unlikely. The trading rhythm in recent months, the main force is not so stupid that it will reverse and take retail investors on.

So if you are easily given a chip position, and most people dare to buy the bottom at this position, it is generally a trap, and there is a high probability that it will fall sharply below.

So this is why I personally hold 30% of the spot and don't move.

Because since July, I personally have always believed that Bitcoin's control rate is actually very strong.

In this case, no one can say whether it will test the lower point or not. If it really doesn't test it, it won't miss the opportunity. If it really falls to the previous low, there are bullets to cover the position.

Including after the interest rate cut, compared with the US stock market, I personally am more optimistic about the potential of the crypto market.

#非农就业数据即将公布

Continue from the previous article.

Therefore, the first rate cut is likely to be consistent with market expectations, 25 basis points, and at most 50 basis points.

Under this high probability event, the longest-lasting interest rate cut in the financial market has finally landed.

There is no doubt that the financial market will see a sharp drop when the news comes out. But it does not mean that there will be no turn back.

Because the rate cut is in line with market expectations, the market will not panic about the authenticity of the US economic recession.

Therefore, the financial market is a soft landing. In this case, the US stock market will fall sharply and consolidate for a period of time.

There is a probability that it will continue to rise in October, or even break a new high.

But there is no doubt that the rise is to cover up the chips that the US financial capital has thrown away and has not been sold out, and it is also to lure more retail investors who speculate or invest in US stocks.

Judging from the historical interest rate cuts of the Federal Reserve, after the interest rate hike cycle, the first two interest rate cuts are usually small adjustments, and finally a large interest rate cut begins.

The cycle corresponds to the end of the year or the beginning of 2025.

When retail investors realize that the risk has passed. It is not ruled out that the Federal Reserve will suddenly cut interest rates sharply.

The financial crisis has officially swept in. The financial market has ushered in a plunge.

So at present, we use the interest rate cut node to look at the big cake. If the bull market goes crazy before the interest rate cut and breaks the new high, the time may not be too urgent.

Before the final bull market arrives, it is likely that the interest rate cut will be implemented and the market will fall sharply and consolidate for a period of time.

The last wave of crazy bull and copycat market will start before September to the end of the year.

As a retail investor, you need to grasp this period of time.

The views are personal subjective views and are for reference only.

#Telegram创始人获保释 #英伟达财报 #以太坊基金会

The September interest rate cut window is approaching. Will the interest rate be cut as scheduled? Will there be a bull market in the futures market this year?

The market trend of the futures market since July can be called garbage time.

It requires traders to adjust their rhythm quickly and have high adaptability during the trading session.

It is also a market trend that is not suitable for most retail investors to gamble. There is no need to play it as a krypton gold game and fantasize about the tiny possibility of getting rich in the short term.

For retail investors, all they need to do is wait for the opportunity and improve their trading awareness. Keep sufficient cash flow and seize certain opportunities.

This article will specifically describe my personal views on the September interest rate cut and the market analysis before and after the interest rate cut of the futures market.

The September interest rate cut window is very close, and there are only about 20 days left.

First of all, consider whether the United States will cut interest rates as scheduled in September.

1. Raise or lower interest rates?

This round of interest rate hikes in the United States did not achieve the purpose of harvesting, so the market also has a certain response to the possibility of interest rate hikes.

But the main point is that it is not a question of whether the Federal Reserve wants to cut interest rates, but that it has reached the time point when it has to cut interest rates.

The United States is now burdened with huge debts. If interest rates are raised again, how will the debts be dealt with? Will it default on its debts or start a hot war, with both sides dying?

Personally, raising interest rates again is tantamount to a suicidal act of risking everything. The probability is extremely low. The high probability is to cut interest rates and create disputes.

So we should consider the specific cuts and the extent of the cuts.

The authenticity of the news data released by the United States before is unknown until the non-agricultural data is revised down.

It has been revealed that most of the news is false data. The market is controlled to rise and fall only through the words of Powell of the Federal Reserve.

Release expectation management for the financial market. That is, as mentioned in the previous article, squeezing water into the sponge, but the sponge will always break.

Therefore, judging from the news released before, modifying the data means that the United States does not want to and will not admit that its economy is facing difficulties.

Then, if the interest rate cut is larger than market expectations in September, it is tantamount to announcing to the international community that its economy is indeed in recession and can no longer hold on.

But judging from the modification of the news and the concealment of the recession, the US is unlikely to cut interest rates significantly.

Word limit... more in the next article

#Telegram创始人获保释 #英伟达财报

$BTC

Unemployment benefit data affects the market again? The 1-hour downward trend of the big cake has broken through, and the short-term high point focuses on the 61,300 area. The market vote is attached at the end of the article.

For the unemployment benefit data at 8:30 tonight, the pre-market rise is generally not optimistic about the market after the news is released.

The current trend has broken through the 65,000 downward trend line, and there is a high probability of a strong rebound in the short term.

I am still more optimistic about hitting the 61,300 area as a pressure point.

But the current market, the rhythm changes relatively quickly. More needs to be responded to at any time according to the intraday market.

If the entity breaks through 61,300, then wait and see around 62,100. That is, the trend has formed a V-reversal again.

The retracement position looks at 60,100. If the retracement does not break, look up to around 63,700.

Including Ethereum, there are also signs of a breakthrough and warming. It is recommended to remember to bring a stop loss when shorting.

If the market improves, Ethereum may pull a big positive line of more than ten points at any time.

In the current market, 30% of my spot will not move, because I personally think that Bitcoin is still expected to hit a new high before the interest rate cut.

So time is already quite tight, so the period before the interest rate cut, as well as September and October are very critical time nodes.

It determines whether Bitcoin will reach a new high or a new low, around 45,000.

Finally, I will put down my views on the market and my personal position vote. The data will be announced tomorrow.

#Telegram创始人获保释 #英伟达财报 #以太坊基金会

$BTC

Big cake draws a door again? Strong breakthrough returns to the starting point, how to analyze the market next?

I had something to do yesterday, and I looked at the market in detail today. I can only say that the trading method is still clever.

Everyone is waiting for the second test, but there is no second test. A strong breakthrough turns the short market into a long market and lures more.

When everyone thinks there is no second test, start to enter the market to do more, and look at 65500-68000 and above, and then smash back to the second test.

In June, I tend to trade on the left side.

In June, I would think that if it does not reach 54500, it will be pulled up. It is recommended to sell at a high point and arrange short orders.

But after July, everyone knows that the one-sided left side is very disadvantageous and frequently loses money, so I am used to looking at the market from the right side.

When Big Cake strongly breaks through 63500-64000, it is a long market from the right side, and it is very strong, so it cannot be shorted easily.

Unless the entity falls below the 62000-61500 range, the right side can be used to arrange a large empty order.

Since the door has been drawn, the market is still inclined to be mainly high and empty. Temporarily look at around 61300. The landing point is around 57000.

In the long run, it is still optimistic to hit a belated second exploration structure around 54500-55000.

But it is likely to be combined with the news in recent days, tomorrow, the day after tomorrow's unemployment benefits, PCE data.

At present, no matter long or short, stop loss must be brought. Thirty percent of the spot held by individuals is still not moving.

Because of this rhythm, technical indicators are difficult to play a role.

It is not an exaggeration to say that the market is a monster. In essence, the market still reflects the factor of high control.

The main traders hold most of the chips, and most of the old leeks are deeply trapped. New leeks dare not buy the bottom in large quantities.

There is no incremental funds in the market, and liquidity is scarce, so throw and receive chips back and forth, and the existing funds on the market change the rhythm to kill repeatedly.

At present, the main force controls the market, and it is only a matter of time to break the new high. The most important thing is that there is not enough incremental funds in the market.

It just lacks a trigger point, whether it is before or after the interest rate cut. Or after the US stock market reaches the top again, funds will be injected into the big cake pool.

Look at the main force, the main force can see the cards, but we can't.

#加密市场急跌 #Telegram创始人被捕 #以太坊基金会

$BTC will be temporarily suspended for one day.

First of all, my subjective judgment on the market of the big cake yesterday was definitely wrong, there is no doubt about that.

The market went in the second direction, which I think has a lower probability.

I also apologize to the friends who said yesterday that it would fall.

Today, a friend had a dispute with someone else, which disturbed Uncle Hat. As an eyewitness on the scene, I am currently helping to deal with it.

So I will temporarily suspend the market analysis for one day.

I will update normally tomorrow.

$BTC Today's market, the price of Bitcoin is expected to rise to 65500-66700.

There was no big fluctuation in the two days of the weekend, and it basically fell sideways.

At present, the market is still bullish, and I don't see any opportunities for shorting at the market price for the time being.

From the perspective of the market, after theoretically breaking through the strong pressure level, the resistance and support are converted, and Bitcoin should fall back to 62800 or the strong pressure level of 61800.

As a strong support, it will further attack.

But just now, it took only 1 minute to insert the pin to the bottom of the wedge rising trend line of 588-607 at 632, which showed a strong rebound.

And as the bottom rises, the upward trend will become more obvious.

From the perspective of trading game, before breaking through 64000, there is a strong pressure position of 63500.

Most traders who are familiar with the market will try to short at this position.

But the market directly broke through, which led to the positions of 624-628 and 63500.

A large number of short-selling traders who are not used to stop losses were trapped.

From the perspective of the main traders, I personally think that the main traders will not be so kind and give these trapped traders a chance to get out of the trap before further attacking.

Therefore, on the whole, further attacking is more in line with the market intention.

The four-hour line is physically above the 642-646 range, looking at the target position. 65500 is also a strong pressure position.

However, the characteristic of unilateral market is that the pressure position often does not work, such as the direct breakthrough of 63500.

So at that time, we will wait and see the strength of the market's callback to make a judgment. If it breaks through directly, we will look at around 66700.

Of course, we should be prepared for both hands. Under the above premise, the four-hour line cannot physically fall below 63000. If it falls below, we can look at the position of 62400 (with a small probability).

The views are personal subjective views and are for reference only.

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$BTC

The big cake has broken through the strong pressure level, and the market has reversed to be dominated by bulls. Be cautious about shorting afterwards.

The volatility is not large over the weekend, so let's talk about it briefly.

Yesterday's bullish level was 62800 and 63500. I am optimistic about the situation of pulling up first and then smashing.

However, if it breaks through 64000, the strategy will fail. In other words, you can no longer short, or you should stop loss at this position.

When it broke through 61800 yesterday, I chased a long order and sold it near 63500, and then made a short order.

The stop loss was set at 64000 and the take profit was set at 61800. Then I took a break.

I saw in the morning that the highest hit was around 65000, so this short order was lost.

The current market trend is actually equivalent to no second exploration after all, and my long-term strategy has broken through one wave in advance.

So I quote this article from last week. I currently hold about 30% of my spot positions and have not moved.

I did not reach the ideal heavy position of 54,500, so I did not increase my position.

From the current market situation, there is a high probability that it will go unilaterally.

But I personally feel that unilateral trading is not easy for contract players, and it is easy to lose money.

Because unilateral trading is different from oscillation, support and pressure levels, including technical indicators, often do not work.

So the entry point is difficult to control, and the stop loss point is difficult to set.

So next, I may arrange a low-multiple long-term trend order, or focus on spot operations.

Recently, the liquidity is low on weekends, and I generally do not trade, mainly resting. I will roughly talk about the several positions that I am optimistic about at present.

There is a pressure level of 65,500-66,000 above, and it will fall back to 62,800 or 61,800. Support and resistance conversion.

For the long term, we still look at 68,000 mentioned in the previous article. The top of the daily downward trend.

Strong breakthrough of 69,000, looking at around 71,500 and breaking new highs.

Specific daily market analysis will be updated normally on Sunday night or Monday.

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