Cognitive Society’s 24th Bull Market Ceremony. Leveraging the power of the bull market cycle, the compound interest effect of trends has opened the door to class consolidation. We have reached a turning point that determines the wealth of you and your family in the next ten years. Thank you brothers for coming to Cognitive Society as scheduled on the second day of the New Year. On the occasion of the New Year, Cognitive Society would like to extend its sincere New Year blessings to all the brothers in the group: 🐉Good luck in the Year of the Dragon! This year, we have heard countless bad news and encountered more difficulties than expected; this year has been full of doubts and anxiety, there has been no profit-making effect, and there have been countless moments when it seems that there is no hope... But Cognitive Society believes that this is enjoyment The only way to a feast of wealth... There is no need to doubt that you have reached a turning point to change the destiny of yourself and your family. Time is running out. I hope you will grow up in the 24-year bull market and work up your energy to seize wealth opportunities. Follow the trend and use the power of the trend to strengthen yourself and live up to the expectations of your family for many years. One year ago today, Cognitive Society’s 2023 opening event has defined 2023 as a time for a super rebound and confirmed our judgment. What opportunities and challenges will we face together in 2024? For this purpose, Cognitive Society has prepared ten major themes to explore with you: (Click on the navigation link) 72781认知社币圈九阴真经第九章: 什么是比特币仪态主升浪的大浪我命由认知社币圈九阴真经第十章:我不由天的实现路径是什么？

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On September 19, the US dollar finally cut interest rates, even by 50 basis points.
Although there are countless financial anchors on TikTok who swear to the heavens that the U.S. will not cut interest rates on September 19 but will only raise them, no matter how many people swear, it cannot change the facts.
The cryptocurrency market started its first round of surge in anticipation of a rate cut. This was a release of emotions, not a real influx of incremental funds, because it takes time to release more funds after a rate cut.
The US election will be held in November, so if Trump wins, it will be the time for the real surge in the cottage industry. If Trump loses, it is estimated that there will be a sharp drop. After the sharp drop, the third interest rate cut of the US dollar should have another surge.

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On September 17, Bitcoin fell back to the lowest point of 57,500, which coincided with the support level of 57,000 in the article of Cognitive Society yesterday.
On September 16, Bitcoin plummeted to a low of 57,500, which coincided with the support level of 57,000 in yesterday's article.
Yesterday, an article from Cognition News reminded: If Bitcoin holds at 57,000, it will repeatedly hit around 60,000.
It is expected that Bitcoin will rebound to a high of 60,000 on September 17.
Bitcoin is still in a consolidation range, and the real short-term direction has not yet been chosen, because the interest rate cut meeting on September 19 is coming soon, which is the most significant.

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On September 16, Bitcoin indeed plunged to around 58,000 due to a top divergence, with the lowest point of 57,500 matching the support level of 57,000 in yesterday’s article.
If Bitcoin holds 57,000, it will repeatedly hit 60,000. If Bitcoin falls below 57,000, it will reach 55,000.
Cognition Society believes that the most significant impact on the market is definitely the interest rate cut on September 19, so it is important to pay attention to the interest rate cut meeting in a timely manner. The first interest rate cut is extremely important.
The important thing is not to imagine that the market will soar immediately after the interest rate cut, but that this is the first time and the first day of the interest rate cut. The interest rate has been cut slowly for 25 years and many times. After a large number of interest rate cuts, the market will have enough liquidity and money, which is the basis of the bull market.

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On September 15, Bitcoin rebounded to a high of 60,500 as expected.
Bitcoin is consolidating strongly and waiting for short-term direction. Currently, the four top divergences of Bitcoin are the biggest risk. To resolve this risk, one is to step back to around 58,000, and the other is to break through 60,600 to 63,000 with large volume.
Because the top divergence is caused by insufficient volume, a large volume breakthrough is also a way to solve the top divergence.
Bitcoin's daily line is close to the o-axis, so if it can stand firm at 60,600, it will be of great significance to the confidence of the market, because if the copycat wants to go further, it needs Bitcoin to give it confidence and environment. After all, the crypto industry has seen a sharp drop in Bitcoin, and the possibility of copycats making huge profits is not high.

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On September 14, Bitcoin rebounded to a high of 60,500.
After all, the CPI data is a small positive. The market is slowly rebounding after a short-term panic. At present, there is a 50% chance that the interest rate cut in September will be 50 basis points.
If the U.S. economy does not decline, the greater the U.S. interest rate cuts, the more liquidity there will be in the market, the more money there will be, the higher the risk assets will rise, and the more favorable Bitcoin and the cryptocurrency world will be.
Bitcoin 60,000 and 63,000 are strong pressure points. The reason for this round of surge is the incremental funds of Bitcoin ETF. The strong pressure point in the future market depends on the net inflow of Bitcoin spot ETF.

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On September 12, the highest point of Bitcoin rebound was 58,600, which coincided with the pressure point of 58,500 in the cognitive article.
After all, the CPI data is a small positive. Although it may cause the Fed to reduce the interest rate from 50 basis points to 25 basis points in September, it also shows that the US economy does not have too many problems. As long as the US economy does not decline, continued interest rate cuts will lead to huge liquidity, that is, more money in the market.
It is expected that Bitcoin rebounds to 58,500. Whether it continues to rebound or falls back to around 55,500 is the key to the future market. Now is mid-September. If Bitcoin can continue to rebound and close with a big positive line in September, it will be of great significance to the market. Of course, the liquidity of the market in the first month of the interest rate cut is still very insufficient. It is more of a desire, not a sufficient logical judgment.

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The US CPI data on September 11 was slightly positive, and the market fell.
It's tough for everyone
Even more confused, the desired benefits never came out
Because the market liquidity is insufficient, money is the driving force of the market's rise and the basis for cashing out, so we need to wait for liquidity and incremental funds after the interest rate cut.
The highest point of Bitcoin's rebound on September 11 was 58,000, which coincided with the pressure point of 58,500 mentioned in yesterday's article. Unfortunately, Bitcoin and Ethereum not only did not surge, but also fell.

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The US CPI data on September 11 will have a decisive significance for the interest rate cut. If the CPI drops quickly, it will also be a positive. There is also a debate between the two US presidential candidates. Whether Bitcoin can be discussed is of great significance.
Bitcoin's support level is 56400-54800. As long as 56400 is maintained and 58000 is repeatedly rushed, 58000-60000 is a strong pressure level. Unless there is good news tomorrow night, it will be difficult to stand firm.
If the CPI data is positive and Bitcoin sprints to 60,000, there should be a rebound in the altcoin market.

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There is a big difference between the highest point of Bitcoin rebound on September 9, 55,700, and the pressure point of 56,600 mentioned in yesterday's article.
In fact, many altcoins are consolidating near the pressure level, waiting for the strength of Bitcoin, such as BLUR0.17 UNI6.6, but the weakness of Bitcoin has led to the altcoins never having a strong market.
It is not the selling around 55,700 Bitcoin that is suppressing the market, but the weakness of the market. Bitcoin ETF has not had such a long period of net outflow for a long time, which shows that institutions are changing positions on the eve of the US dollar rate cut.

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There is a big difference between the highest point of Bitcoin rebound on September 8, 54,800, and the pressure point of 55,500 mentioned in yesterday's article.
The rebound after the sharp drop was very weak, indicating that there is a high possibility of another bottom.
There are still 10 days until the Fed's rate cut meeting. At present, a 25-point rate cut is more likely. Reducing the interest rate from 5.5% to 5.2% has little significance in the short term, and it is estimated that it will be difficult to solve the market liquidity problem.
When the crypto industry enjoys the feast of the US ETF, it is actively controlled by the US. The US economic data, US policies, and US liquidity determine the rise and fall of Bitcoin and the crypto industry.

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On September 7, Bitcoin rebounded to a high of 58,500, which is close to the pressure point of 58,000 mentioned in yesterday’s article.
Bitcoin was trapped at 58,000 as expected and then fell back to 56,400.
In the weak consolidation market, the decline of the altcoins is very small this time. It needs Bitcoin and Ethereum to lead the sprint. Unfortunately, Bitcoin has not been very strong recently.
One is the disastrous employment data, which once again made many people cry out for the U.S. economic recession.
In fact, this matter is not very meaningful. It does not mean that whether the US economy is in recession or not has no impact on the cryptocurrency market, but the US data is set by others. What can we ordinary people do?

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The lowest point of Bitcoin on September 6th was 55,500, and the support level of 57,000 in yesterday's article was far from the original level.
The highest point of Bitcoin rebound on September 5th was 60,000, which perfectly matches the pressure point of 60,000 in yesterday’s article.
The apparent driving force behind Bitcoin's oversold rebound is that the expected rate cut in September has changed from 25 basis points to 50 basis points. The most important thing is that the selling pressure near 56,000 is not very strong, so the price will rise on a small positive sign.
Bitcoin's short-term pressure is 58,000 and 60,000. If it can stand firm at the 58,000 daily line and have a long lower shadow to bottom out, it would be a good thing. After all, the market needs confidence after falling for too long.

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The highest point of Bitcoin rebound on September 5th was 60,000, which perfectly matches the pressure point of 60,000 in yesterday’s article.
Bitcoin rebounding to 60,000 is expected and is also the standard way of playing in the volatile market. The repeated long and short fluctuations have made more and more people play the market and finally start to choose the direction.
On the surface, the sharp drop was caused by Grayscale's selling of 2,000 bitcoins, but in fact it has nothing to do with it, because Mentougou's 60,000 bitcoins did not prevent the then bitcoin price of 56,460 from rising to 70,000. The fundamental reason is the lack of confidence and buying in the market. Everyone saw Grayscale's selling and collectively withdrew their buying orders.

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From September 3rd to 4th, Bitcoin was hovering at 57,700, with almost no fluctuations.
Therefore, the game between long and short sides began to reach a balance, waiting for a new direction. One is waiting for the occurrence of bad news and good news, and the other is looking for a breakthrough point. The most ideal state is a sharp drop of 54,000 and then a sharp rise, breaking through the long orders near 57,000 and sweeping the stop loss.
The biggest disadvantage of a direct rise is that 57700 is the recent important support level, and there are a lot of bottom-fishing orders. If the stop loss is not swept, the rise will be a risky profit.

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On August 31, Bitcoin fell back to the lowest point of 57,700, which is close to the support level of 57,700 mentioned in yesterday's article.
On August 30, Bitcoin fell back to the lowest point of 58,000 and was close to the support level of 57,700 mentioned in yesterday's article.
On August 29, Bitcoin fell back to the lowest point of 57,800, which is close to the support level of 57,000 mentioned in yesterday's article.
Bitcoin barely rebounded to 57700 this time, which is very worrying, because if it rebounds strongly, then a sharp drop will be an opportunity, and a rebound of 2 points is bullish, which is a bit misleading.

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On August 30, Bitcoin fell back to the lowest point of 58,000 and was close to the support level of 57,700 mentioned in yesterday's article.
On August 29, Bitcoin fell back to the lowest point of 57,800, which is close to the support level of 57,000 mentioned in yesterday's article.
Bitcoin is trapped at 61,000 and plummets to the bottom again.
After five long months of bloodbath, 99% of the people in the cryptocurrency circle have suffered heavy losses. Maybe this cold winter is really hard to bear, but there is no other choice but to persevere.
Bitcoin closed tragically in August, so the trend in September is very critical. Whether it will rebound with a big positive line or continue to fall in September depends on the intensity of the interest rate cut in September.

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On August 29, Bitcoin fell back to the lowest point of 57,800, which is close to the support level of 57,000 mentioned in yesterday's article.
Bitcoin has started to fluctuate without pressure or support. This kind of fluctuation is fatal to trend players, because chasing high or stopping loss is fatal. The way to play the fluctuating market is to pay attention to the lows and reduce positions when the highs. If you chase highs, you will definitely lose money, and the loss will be terrible.
The short-term pressure point of Bitcoin is 62,200, and the mid-term significance is 66,000, because such a sharp drop requires a positive line to reverse in order to form market confidence. I hope there will be a miracle in the last two days.

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On August 28, Bitcoin fell back to the lowest point of 57,900, and there was a big difference between the support level of yesterday's Cognitive Society article
I thought 60,000 was another rebound, but the market control was awesome, and it fell back to 57,900.
The price that had rebounded to 57,700 fell back to where it was, which only means that the market is re-oscillating and the market's bullish confidence has been extinguished again.
There is a high probability of a rate cut in September. The biggest short-term impact on Bitcoin is Nvidia's financial report. This is Bitcoin in the United States, Bitcoin in the U.S. stock market. Various data in the United States have a direct impact on Bitcoin, and there are huge price fluctuations. This is called pricing power.