More than a year ago (July 24 2023, see chart below), we published our long-term expectations and pattern for Dogecoin's (DOGEUSD) Bull Cycle:

As you can see, it filled our projection quite effectively as it extended the Accumulation Phase (blue). That was a phase which, as you can see, was present during both of its previous Cycles and after a 1W MA50/100 Bullish Cross and a subsequent hold of the 1W MA100 (green trend-line), it came out of a (dotted) Channel Down/ Bull Flag and entered its Parabolic Rally phase (green).
As far as timing of the Cycle Top is concerned, we have a very consistent pattern which suggests that it is priced just after the 3.0 Fibonacci Time extension from the bottom of the Bear Cycle. That was accurate for both of the January 01 2018 and April 26 2021 Cycle Tops. As a result, the Top of the current Cycle should be expected a little after August 04 2025, assuming the true bottom of the last Bear Cycle was on the week of October 03 2022 (just before the FTX crash).
But what about the actual Top in price terms, you might be wondering? Well the first two Cycle Highs (January 20 2014 and January 01 2018) were priced just below the 0.786 Fibonacci Channel level. The next one (April 26 2021) was priced higher on the 1.0 Fib on a technical overextension as it was the Cycle where DOGE experienced its strongest adoption and awareness.
It would be difficult to repeat this feat this time, unless some news/ fundamentals introduce new uses/ adoption and the market reacts with very aggressive capital inflows. In this new overextension case, we may see $6.00.
But our proper Target for this Cycle always was and remains $2.00, which falls marginally below the 0.786 Fib, just like the Tops of the first two Cycles.
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POPCATUSD has been trading within a Rising Wedge pattern and is currently on a new Bullish Leg (green). With the Internal Higher Highs trend-line just above, we expect a short-term pull-back towards the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), which will present a buy opportunity at the bottom of the pattern. Our Target is 1.2500 short-term.
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#popcat #popcatusdt #signals #Cryptosignals #altseason

Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is only 10 days before the month of September closes its 1M candle and not only has it rebounded aggressively on the 1W MA50 (red trend-line) but is also holding the Symmetrical Pivot Zone for the 7th straight month.
This Zone is critical because during the previous Cycle in late 2021 it served as Resistance and since the recent March 2024 break-out, it has been acting as Support.
The Bullish Legs on the 2-year Channel Up indicate that if this month closes above the Symmetrical Pivot Zone and inside the Channel Up, $100000 is well within reach, even by the end of the year. Especially after the market got what it wanted from the Fed yesterday (-0.50% Rate Cut).
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#Bitcoin❗ #BTCUSDT #BTC☀ #signals #Cryptosignals

Yes. Green Day's famous song suits Bitcoin (BTCUSD) just find under these circumstances. What are they?
Well, it is pure seasonality along its Cycles. This chart is simple. After every Halving since July 2016, Bitcoin enters a phase of choppy trade, with high volatility but it manages to keep the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) intact and support.
Then on the first week of October, it starts the Cycle's most aggressive phase, the Parabolic Rally. This has been confirmed on the past two Cycles and so far on this one, we have already got the Post Halving Chop, while the 1W MA50 was tested and held twice. With October only 3 weeks away, it appears that (if this model keeps repeating itself) we are preparing for a very strong rally that will be difficult to catch if you don't position yourself now.
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#Bitcoin❗ #bitcoin☀️ #BTCUSDT #Cryptosignals #signals

XRP saw a jump of around +9% last Thursday after Grayscale announced the launch of a new trust that gives accredited investors direct exposure to the cryptocurrency. Unlike an exchange-traded fund, the trust will primarily trade over the counter. Trusts are also more susceptible to trading at a price that does not line up with the underlying value of the portfolio.
Could this pave way for a potential ETF? Possibly, and that would certainly put XRPUSD in the same league as the market leaders Bitcoin and Ethereum that are already drawing massive capital inflows following their ETF launch, ushering a new era for cryptocurrency.
But what we can do for the time being, is focus on the short-term technical price action alone and as you can on the 1D time-frame XRP's trend has been bearish since July 13 2023, within a Channel Down pattern.
Currently the price is past the new High, having formed a series of Lower Highs, which have emerged every time after a top. This trend-line didn't break in the past and pushed the price Lower to at least the 0.618 Fibonacci Channel level.
As a result, we can't turn bullish short-term as long as the Lower Highs hold. The action remains bearish, targeting 0.4000 (Fib 0.618). The moment however the price breaks above the Lower Highs trend-line, we will take the short's loss and turn bullish, targeting the 2.0 Fibonacci extension at 1.1275.
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#XRP #XRPUSDT #Cryptosignals #signals #XRPsignals

Ethereum (ETHUSD) may have completed three straight red months (1M candles) but despite the recent correction, managed to close August above the 1M MA50 (blue trend-line), in spite of touching it earlier within the month.
This is a key Support level as it also held during the August - October 2023 bottom formation, initiating the multi-month rally up until March 2024. This makes it a long-term Support and as long as it is holding, it is keeping ETH within bullish territory.
At the same time, the price also held the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level from the Cycle bottom. The last time that happened was during the previous Cycle in September - October 2020. After it held, this kick-started the Cycle's Parabolic Rally to just above the 1.5 Fibonacci extension level.
As a result, as long as the 1M MA50 is holding, we can expect the next High to be as high as 11500, even though 8k would seem more reasonable in terms of market cap and thus feasible as a long-term Target.
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#ethereum #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥 #ETHUSDT #Cryptosignals #signals

A month ago (August 13, see chart below) we gave the first bullish break-out signal on Sui (SUIUSD), as the price broke above its Lower Highs trend-line:

As you can see, it re-tested the trend-line to confirm it as a Support and, as expected, it held giving way to a break above the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) on Sunday. That is the second and final bullish break-out signal.
As per our original analysis, our Target remains $2.700, marginally below the 1.236 Fibonacci extension, as it happened with the March 27 2024 High. A Channel Up to guide the price there is the most likely pattern to emerge. Watch also for a potential 1D Golden Cross by the first week of October.
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#Suiusdt #SUI #signals #crypto #Cryptosignals

Bitcoin (BTCUSD) broke today forcefully above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and marginally broke above the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of the Triangle pattern since July.
With buying pressure coming aggressively after the 2nd rebound on the 1W MA50 (red trend-line) in just 1 month, if a 1D candle closes above the Lower Highs, we will have a strong break-out buy signal for the rest of the year at least.
In that case, we see the emergence of a Channel Up similar to the one that preceded March 2024, as a real possibility to test the 6-month Resistance Zone before the U.S. elections, then technical pull-back going into the event and then resuming the uptrend for the rest of the year.
The Target can be at least the 2.0 Fibonacci extension level at $90000.
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#Bitcoin❗ #BTC☀ #btcusd #crypto #signals

Nervos Network (CKBUSD) broke this week above the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) for the first time since June 17. This is a major bullish break-out signal as every time this happened historically after a Lower Highs trend-line break-out, the price in 3 cases made a new High and in 2 reached at least the 0.85 Fibonacci retracement level.
As a result, we expect a strong bounce on the 1D MA200 to target at least 0.02900.
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#NervosNetwork #crypto #CKBUSDT #signals #cryptocurrency

On today's study we plot Bitcoin ( #BTCUSD ) against two unique formulae that encompass the basic essence of the global money supply. The formula in blue has a differentiation towards Chinese bond yields while the orange on the Chinese Yuan. Both are regressed against the U.S. Dollar and the batch of the U.S. Balance Sheet, Chinese Central Bank Balance Sheet and the ECB's Assets.
BTC bottoms exactly when the orange trend-line bottoms and it starts the parabolic rally of its Bull Cycle when the blue trend-line bottoms on a Lower Low. Right now blue has started to rise after just bottoming on a Lower Low.
This is contrary to common belief and traditional Halving theory, but according to the above monetary metrics BTC may just be starting a new parabolic rally much earlier than anticipated.
Do you agree or it's too soon and you'll wait for the Halving? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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#BTCUSDT #cryptocurreny #signals #TradingOpportunities

#Bittensor #TAOUSDT is on a remarkable parabolic rally since the October 19 bottom, supported by a Higher Lows trend-line. Below that, is the natural technical Support, the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). Technically every bullish leg of TAO during this run targets the +0.5 Fibonacci interval, where it consolidates until the next rally to the +0.5 Fib. As you can see, the first consolidation was on the 1.5 Fib, then the 2.5 Fib, where it currently trades sideways.
As long as the Higher Lows trend-line holds, we will target the 3.5 Fib extension at $580. If the Higher Lows trend-line breaks, we will take the loss and target a potential contact with the 1D MA50, with current projection estimates putting a target at $175.00 (but can change as the 1D MA50 rises).
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Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has established itself above the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) making steady Higher Highs since the start of the year and on the week of August 07 2023 is about to complete 60 weeks since the 1W RSI bottom (the Bear Cycle's technical bottom if it wasn't for November's FTX crash).

In the last two Cycles, the 60 week mark from the RSI bottom, triggered the start of a strong rally (green Channel Up) that reached +359% from the Cycle's bottom. Every Cycle can be viewed as an Ascending Triangle with the Top/ Resistance starting from the Bear Cycle's first Lower High. On the 2014/ 2015 Cycle the Resistance was at +300%. In 2019 the +359% mark was reached much earlier due to the Libra euphoria. Also the sudden collapse exactly after the 60 week completion was due to the March 2020 COVID crash, a non-technical irregularity. The Channel Up started shortly after regardless, harmonizing the patterns, right when the 1W MA50 was regained. Notice how even the 1W RSI sequences look similar with each other, with the Lower Highs trend-line standing out.

In any case on the current Cycle, the +359% mark matches exactly the $69800 All Time High (ATH), while a +300% rise sets a Target at $63000. One thing looks certain based on this model, that the 60 week count is almost up and in August we can see the start of a new rally towards this target zone. Scale your buys accordingly!

Buy what do you think? Are you expecting BTC to follow this pattern of the previous Cycles or have a different projection in mind? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!

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Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has been consolidating for nearly a full month (since the June 23rd High) and the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) is only 1000 points away. Since the bullish break-out exactly at the start of the year, BTC has used the 1D MA50 as the short-term Support and more specifically the bounce level before each Higher High.

As you see on this chart, the movement since the start of 2023 has been fairly Cyclical, a Higher Highs rejection starts a correction, which when the 1D MA50 breaks (1D candle closes below it), extends towards the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). This sequence current has the last Higher High to give and we expect to start any time. Our target is $34000.

Do you think the 1D MA50 will hold or break? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!

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Maker (MKRUSD) has had an incredible bullish run since June 12, being currently on the 6th straight green 1W (weekly) candle. This rally has taken a stop on the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) two weeks ago but more importantly it faces an even stronger Resistance from the October 03 2022 High at 1165.

This is taken from the previous Cycle and the early 2019 fractal where after MKR again broke above the Bear Cycle's Lower Highs trend-line and the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), it failed to close above the October 08 2018 Resistance and turned into a wide and long-term Accumulation Phase for 1 year.

As a result, we currently believe that until the price closes a 1W candle above the Resistance, it will most likely pull-back to the 1W MA50.

If however it closes above the Resistance, this fractal will get invalidated and we will buy the bullish break-out towards Resistance 2 at 2300.

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Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is on the first month following the MACD Bullish Cross on the 1M (monthly) time-frame. The previous bottom MACD Bullish Cross formations, where achieved with the price on the 0.786 (June 2019) and the 0.5 (December 2015) Fibonacci retracement levels respectively. On the current sequence, the price has hit the 0.5 Fib. In 2016 it took BTC 6 months to get to the 0.786 Fib, which sets a time estimate on December. The 0.786 Fib is this time at $50000 and that is our target for the end of the year.

Do you agree with the symmetry or have a different end-of-year target? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!

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Kaspa (KASUSD) continues rising after a rebound on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) 10 days ago. Its movement appears to be highly cyclical since it first started trading and we are at the start of the bullish run of the 3rd Cycle.

As long as the 1D MA50 supports, we are long and target 0.10 which is lower than the previous +900% rise but falls within a potential Channel Up that may be established, as each Cycle appears to be getting weaker.

Also the Cycles appear to be highly symmetrical as, based on the 1D RSI, we have completed the first kick-start phase of the run, similar to February 07.

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Algorand (ALGOUSD) has hit today the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time since April 17. That is also the top of the 4-month Channel Down pattern. If broken, it may turn out into the first such major bullish break-out move this year as not only is the price rebounding off a Double Bottom but the RSI is on a huge Higher Lows line (Bullish Divergence).

As a result, we will go long if the 1D candle closes above the top of the Channel Down and target 0.15000, which is not just near Resistance 1 but more importantly the Lower Highs trend-line since the February 21 High.

On the longer-term if a 1D candle closes above that Lower Highs trend-line as well as Resistance 1, we will buy again targeting 0.18000 (within Resistance 2 and the 0.382 Fibonacci).

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Huge success for Ripple (XRPUSD) as following the favorable court ruling, the price smashed the 0.65000 target that we set on our analysis last month (see chart below), and broke aggressively above the (now former) Channel Up:

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/XRPUSD/nuvHSySX-XRPUSD-A-healthy-pull-back-before-reaching-0-65000/

We need to get to the 1W time-frame in order to understand more effectively the magnitude of this move. With the long Support of the 1W MA50 (blue trene-line), the price has formed a new Channel Up that guides it directly to the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of the multi-year Triangle pattern that XRP has been trading in since the 2018 All Time High. This resembles the Channel Up/ Accumulation phase of 2020 that led to the April 2021 High.

The Triangle however, resembles the pattern of 2013 - 2016, which had a parabolic break-out in 2017 that formed the All Time High. We have attached the break-outs of those two former Channels for projection purposes. The reality is that the XRP has been left so far behind the rest of the crypto market since the 2020 lawsuit, that may very well deliver a proportionally stronger rally as new liquidity gets injected into the market during this Bull Cycle.

As a result we are expecting XRP to reach 2.000 (roughly the previous Cycle High) between December 2023 and January 2024.

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#crypto2023 #crypto #XRP #xrpusdt #ripple

Stellar (XLMUSD) hit and broke today above the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) for the first time since the week of May 02 2022. That's more than 1 year of trading below a key long-term Resistance that is now broken. The 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) has supported this price action for the past 2 weeks.

The time XLM hit the 1W MA200 during the previous Cycle, it failed to close the week above it and had a medium-term pull-back to the safety of the 1W MA50 before it started the final part of the parabolic rally from October 2020 to May 2021. Notice that the 1W RSI then was on the exact same (overbought) level it is today.

As a result, if it fails to close above the 1W MA200, we will wait for a pull-back to buy, preferably as close to the 1W MA50 as possible. If it closes above the 1W MA200 though, we will buy on the market price. In either case, we will target the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of the multi-cycle Triangle pattern at 0.7000.

#xlm #xlmusd #stellar #crypto2023 #crypto

Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is establishing a consolidating position above the Gaussian Channel on the 1W time-frame for the 4th straight week. On all of previous Cycles, such break and consolidation above the Gaussian was the start of a parabolic rally.

As far as targets are concerned, on the first 2 Cycles, the rally reached at least the 3.0 Fibonacci extension level measuring from the previous Cycle High and the Gaussian break-out level. The last Cycle (no3) reached (and exceeded) the 2.0 Fibonacci extension. Taking this 2.0 Fib 'worst' case scenario, we should be expecting this new rally to reach at least the $160000 mark.

Would you agree? Is your expected top higher or lower than 160k? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!

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#BTC #bitcoin #btcusdt #crypto2023 #crypto