1-Minute Level Market Commentary: The current trend has developed to the 30-minute level and has shown a departure phase. After the consolidation top divergence, a pullback trend at the 1-minute level has occurred.

The trend following the divergence can be classified in various ways; based on the level of the counter-trend, it can be divided into the current level, secondary level, and higher levels.

Currently, the market may trigger a rebound at the endpoint of the left-side segment trend, thereby forming a three-buy at the 1-minute level; it may also continue to extend, forming a three-buy at the 5-minute level. Both scenarios could evolve into a three-buy at the 30-minute central, and the specific direction needs to be judged based on subsequent actual trends.

Additionally, a strategy of buying on dips can be employed at the bullish starting point of the 1-minute trend.

#BTC重回10万 #市场反弹预测

The recent price movements of Bitcoin have been volatile! On January 13, Bitcoin strongly rebounded from the support level of $90,900, showing that bulls are actively entering the market in the low price range. The current price has entered an upward trend line, which is a key battleground for both bulls and bears, and the subsequent trend is extremely important! Bitcoin is currently testing the upward trend line, which is an important resistance level. If the price falls back here, bears may become active again, driving the price down to the support level of $90,900.

In the short term, there are two possible price movements for Bitcoin: one is a pullback; if Bitcoin cannot break through the downward trend line, bears may seize this opportunity to apply pressure and test the support area of $90,900 again; the other is a breakout; if the price strongly breaks through the downward trend line, it means that bulls regain the advantage, and the subsequent price may rapidly rise to $102,724, or even reach the area of $108,353. If bulls continue to push the price above $108,353, market sentiment may further intensify, and the high point of $127,684 may become the next target.

In terms of operational strategy, if the Bitcoin price falls below the downward trend line, consider lightly shorting, targeting a price of $90,000, but be sure to set a stop-loss to prevent false breakouts. If the downward trend line is successfully broken, then follow the trend and go long, targeting successively at $102,724 and $108,353. Bitcoin is at a critical juncture, and once a directional breakout occurs, it may trigger a significant market movement. Be sure to be flexible in your operations; follow the trend if there is a breakout, and hold back if there is a pullback, do not go against the trend!

#BTC重回10万 #核心CPI回落

The path of Bitcoin (BTC) has always been full of twists and turns. After starting a rebound from around $89,000, the increase has exceeded $8,000. In this case, short-term profit-taking investors will choose to sell, leading to a slight pullback in the market. Currently above $98,000, a large number of sell orders are suppressing the price, and whether it can break through quickly has become a key point today.

Affected by today's CPI data, the market is expected to fluctuate within a smaller range, and even the outlook for the altcoin market is not very optimistic. Before the release of today's CPI data, investors locking in profits are expected to cause a brief pullback in the market tonight. The specific trend may be a pullback in the morning, followed by a rise starting in the afternoon, roughly between 3 PM and 6 PM, with an upward trend, and then entering a pullback after 6 PM until the CPI data is released.

#美国PPI温和上涨 #市场反弹预测

Don't miss the opportunity to buy Dogecoin (DOGE) when the price is rising. From the 4-hour candlestick chart, its price has never fallen below the key point of 0.3, and there has been continuous buying of funds, which clearly shows that there is money to support the bottom. In addition, if Trump takes office, who do you think will be most affected?

#微策略持续增持BTC #市场反弹预测

In the cryptocurrency secondary market, Bitcoin (Big Pie) experienced unusual fluctuations again yesterday. This malicious market trend shook many investors out of their positions and triggered contract liquidations. This kind of trick is too common; I'm tired of seeing it. On the first trading day of this week, Bitcoin's price showed a downward trend. From a weekly perspective, the current lower shadow line is unlikely to form strong support by next week's close, making it difficult to lay the foundation for subsequent upward trends.

From a daily analysis, Bitcoin's K-line did not completely close in the positive yesterday, indicating that the bullish momentum is somewhat lacking. Next, we need to pay close attention to the MACD and KDJ indicators below, to see if the golden cross can continue to develop.

The downward trend line above Bitcoin still constitutes a resistance level, which is a key observation point. If Bitcoin can break through this resistance level, it is likely to initiate a new round of upward momentum; conversely, if the breakout fails, the market is likely to fall into panic selling again. I really don’t know if we can safely celebrate the New Year this year. In the secondary market, I am basically in a cash position, only buying a small amount of pingo and flock on dips, while also investing some funds into the primary chain.

#市场反弹预测 #哪些代币逆势上涨？

DOGE Market Outlook: The Probability of Breaking the Bull Market High Increases, But Breaking $1 Is Challenging

1. Strong Rebound with Limited Selling Pressure: DOGE rebounded significantly last week, and during the pullback phase, the trading volume was relatively low, and the decline was not large. This clearly demonstrates strong buying power, while selling pressure remains at a low level. This situation expands the space for future price increases, indicating that it has strong rebound momentum.

2. Low Probability of Breaking $1: Looking back at October to November last year, DOGE experienced a speculative surge, but subsequent developments showed a lack of momentum. From the current market situation, DOGE's market capitalization is at a high level, and to achieve a significant upward movement, a large amount of incremental funds is required. Considering these factors, its increase may struggle to reach the levels seen during the market from October 10, 2024, to November 12, 2024, so the probability of breaking $1 is relatively low.

#比特币价格走势分析 #还有山寨季？

From the daily level, BTC has three consecutive negative trends, the market is in a downward trend, and the bears are coming aggressively. Although there are occasional weak rebounds, the overall trend continues to fall, and the market is still weak.

Looking at the 4-hour line again, it shows a step-by-step downward shock pattern, which shows that the bears are in control. Under such a weak situation, even if the bulls occasionally rebound, it is difficult to reverse the bottoming trend.

#美国非农数据即将公布 #加密市场回调

BTC Micro Rebound

Analysis as of yesterday, two key points remain.

If going long: 90500 - 91500 is considered an excellent risk-reward level, with profits to be locked in gradually at 95000 and 97800.

If going short: still waiting around the 97800 range, or taking action when breaking below the key support of 90000.

#比特币价格走势分析 #美国非农数据即将公布

Market Quick Analysis: BTC 1F - T0

Focusing on the current downtrend structure of BTC, we can clearly see three central layouts in the chart. The purple one has expanded and upgraded to a 5F center, while the blue one is a 1F center, presenting an aAb trend pattern overall. The initial rebound last night was a response to the departure from the 5F center, but the magnitude and strength of this rebound pale in comparison to the subsequent downtrend, and bearish signs have begun to emerge. At this moment, it is essential to remain calm and continue observing the trend structure to determine the subsequent trading direction.

Trading Tips: It is advisable to wait and see.

The current area may evolve into a medium bearish zone, making the market trend unclear, or it may continue to expand towards the center. However, regardless of which direction it takes, the hope for upward movement in the short term is extremely slim. Therefore, do not act rashly; be sure to wait until the trend is clear and certainty emerges before looking for an entry point.

#加密市场回调 #DeFAI热点

Looking Back at the Cryptocurrency Landscape of 2024

Dear friends, I am Shaohua, and today I will take everyone to review what happened in the cryptocurrency world last year. In 2024, the capital-raising ability of cryptocurrency asset-related products is terrifying, with funds pouring in madly, reaching a total of 44.2 billion USD. What does this number mean?

It's nearly four times the historical peak of 10.5 billion USD in 2021! A large amount of capital rushed into BTC ETFs, resulting in a rocket-like surge in holdings, with many products surpassing one million in holdings within less than a year.

Products like BlackRock's IBIT and Fidelity's FBTC have captured significant attention, with IBIT leading the pack, outperforming nearly 3,000 ETFs, becoming the “top star” in the ETF space over the past decade.

The United States, riding the wave of ETF momentum, absorbed almost all of the global 44.4 billion USD in funds, firmly holding the top position, while Switzerland followed behind with only 630 million USD in inflows.

Looking at the price trends, BTC surged ahead, breaking through the 100,000 USD mark and setting a new historical high, while the short products also weren't idle, with inflows of 11.6 million USD.

As for Ethereum, it made a strong comeback in the second half of the year, especially with the Ethereum spot ETF shining at the end of the year, attracting 4.8 billion USD, accounting for 26% of its asset management target, which is a significant improvement compared to 2021 and 2023.

During the same period, Solana also saw 69 million USD inflows, but it only accounted for 4% of its asset management scale, lagging far behind Ethereum in terms of growth. Follow me, Shaohua, for more exciting updates from the cryptocurrency world, as I continue to bring you the latest news.

#本轮牛市周期预期 #BTC重返10万

Analysis of ETH key nodes

As far as ETH is concerned, $4,000 is a major barrier. Only by successfully breaking through this point can it be expected to start a journey of compensatory growth, just like when Bitcoin broke through the 69,000 or even 100,000 barrier. At present, ETH has not yet formed an independent trend, and mainly follows the Bitcoin market.

The subsequent operability of ETH, on the one hand, focuses on whether new stories at the ecological level will emerge within the currency circle to drive the market; on the other hand, pay close attention to the advancement of ETFs in the United States across the ocean. Once there are signs of a charge, it may inject new vitality into ETH.
#BTC重返10万 #币安MegadropSOLV
The short-term details are shown in the figure:

1.6 Afternoon Analysis of Bitcoin and Altcoin Trends
Good afternoon, a brand new week has begun.

Bitcoin surged again last night, hitting 98000, successfully breaking through the first level of resistance at 98900. This undoubtedly indicates that the market is about to embark on a new wave of upward momentum. Today, pay attention to potential pullbacks in the smaller time frames, focusing on the range of 98660 - 98237. As long as the price holds within this range during the pullback, the market is expected to continue its upward trend, with resistance levels focusing on 102773 - 106057. Currently, the price has crossed 99800. If a small time frame pullback breaks through 98600, the market will likely enter a correction in the short term; only if the four-hour closing drops below 98237 will the upward momentum significantly weaken, at which point support will be looked at in the range of 97300 - 96000.

Now looking at altcoins, they have already broken through the first level of resistance, and the market is likely to continue climbing, with resistance levels in the range of 3726 - 3787. If a pullback today results in a four-hour closing falling below 3637, this wave of upward movement in the four-hour chart will be declared over, and the four-hour cycle will once again fall into a correction pattern, with subsequent pullback support to focus on 3573, 3530, 3470.

#特朗普上台概念币有哪些？ #本周微策略是否继续增持BTC？

Dogecoin deflation, DOGE price is about to soar?

The Dogecoin circle exploded, and one of the founders, Billy Marcus, broke the news on the X platform: Dogecoin is going to deflate! This news has set off a huge wave in the currency circle like a storm. However, the authenticity of the news is still to be determined and needs to be confirmed by the official.

Deflation, in simple terms, is to make money more valuable. For example, before 10 yuan could buy a small cake, after deflation, it can be bought for 5 yuan, and the purchasing power of money has become stronger. If Dogecoin wants to deflate, developers need to submit key content on GitHub and obtain the consent of community members and miners. After all, this is everyone's "baby".

At present, there are 146.78 billion Dogecoins in circulation, and the rule of increasing 5 billion coins each year has been gradually terminated. This is different from the macro-regulated Bitcoin. Dogecoin is theoretically in continuous supply. But Billy Marcus said that Bitcoin can also change, and it also indicates that Dogecoin may be more reliable than the base currency in the future.

I hope that deflation will succeed and Dogecoin will become scarce. But the key to success lies in the community and miners. What will happen if there is deflation? Wait and see, maybe Dogecoin will paralyze the currency circle. In addition, Musk hinted at the value of TITS in the X platform chapter, saying that the time may have come. If it comes true, TITS may bring more application scenarios to Dogecoin and increase its value. At the same time, the eye-catching whales have been buying DOGE crazily recently. On December 27, a whale spent $90 million to buy it; on December 31, another whale bought 300 million coins at a bottom, worth more than $96 million.

Foreign exchange On January 20, Trump took office, and the expectation of the increase in Dogecoin is likely to be Musk. The subsequent heat hype continues. Regardless of deflation or not, Dogecoin's future performance is optimistic. Let us look forward to it together.

#BIO将上线币安 #币安全球用户突破2.5亿

The biggest progress in this round is that the frequency of operations has been reduced during the bull market. Just like going to work, the more you do, the greater the probability of making mistakes and the more blame you have to bear. This is not a problem of level, but a matter of probability.

In terms of Bitcoin technical analysis, the price difference between CB and BN is less than $100, which is a good thing. The decline from 99964 to 91530 has been confirmed to be over, and the rebound to 99000 to 102000 or above, and the decline since 108353 can be confirmed to be over. Drawing too fine a chart is easy to count blanks, so it is easier to look at this chart.

For SOL, it is believed that the SOL/BTC exchange rate breakthrough channel will be a right-side trading signal. From the market, SOL did not show a strong independent market in the round from 50,000 to 100,000. Once it starts, 300 or more is no problem, and 500 is also possible. Above 500, we will see as we go. The cottage market needs the leadership of the cottage leader, SOL or ETH is fine. In the first half, the big cake led the trend, triggering all external interference factors, retaining only pure emotions and human nature, and the second half was completely launched. If emotions are not reached, the bull market will not end.

At present, the strategy has been basically implemented. Change the big cake that should be changed, lie down and wait.

#币安全球用户突破2.5亿 #比特币走势观察

① What is the current situation? The daily level is迎来 a rebound market. What should we do? For now, the best strategy is to buy on dips. If shorting, be sure to set a stop-loss and find the right position. Where is the target? First, aim for 【96200 - 97000】, and once it effectively breaks through 97000, then look higher, as 100000 is a strong resistance.

② Where is the support below? It is at 【94200 - 94400】. What if it breaks down? Look down to 92900, and it shouldn't go lower for now. Is this support strong enough? Yes, it's solid! Even if the market changes, don't panic; at worst, set a stop-loss to control risk. Overthinking can only lead to failure.

③ Why can't the price drop? The reason is insufficient liquidity. Last week, there were multiple amplified fluctuations, and now we are in the Asian session, where the amplitude is limited, making it hard to create big waves. Reflected in the market, it is slowly oscillating up and down. Although the current position is relatively low and both bulls and bears are not strong, there are clear signs of competition in smaller timeframes, like quick rebounds and then rapid drops, making the market quite unstable. Due to the lack of liquidity, funds are only experiencing sharp changes in specific areas.

#比特币走势观察 #XRP重返市值前三

Look at DOGE this week, the market trend is so clear, which is completely different from the confusion last week.

At present, its price has just broken through the triangle consolidation range, and the momentum is strong. If you do short-term operations, you must keep an eye on the 0.349 area, which is a safe stop-profit position.

Once the price successfully crosses this "high ground", it is likely to continue to rise in the future, ushering in a new wave of outbreaks.

#AIAgent热潮 #比特币走势观察

After accurately reaching the second resistance level of 199.2 at night, SOL began to pull back. Today, attention should be paid to the key level of 195.9. As long as it can stabilize above this level, the 1 - 2 hour timeframe will still be in the bullish camp, with key target and resistance levels to watch around 201.8, 206.1, and 210.5! (Once it stabilizes above 210.5, it indicates that this pullback on the weekly level has ended, and the market will begin an upward trend.)

If today’s pullback breaks below the 195.9 level, then the 1 - 2 hour timeframe will enter a correction state, and during the decline, support levels to watch below are around 193, 189.1, and 184.2!

#XRP重返市值前三 #比特币走势观察

Ethereum's support at the 3000 point level is known as a "solid wall", having undergone 7-8 tests without being breached. If this key position successfully withstands another impact, the likelihood of Ethereum launching upward with a significant breakout will greatly increase.

Looking at the exchange rate trend between ETH and BTC, as soon as it touches around 0.0365 on the 4-hour chart, pressure emerges, forcing the price to retract, currently showing an overall consolidation pattern. For Ethereum, pay close attention to the support line near 3280, while focusing on the resistance at 3520. The dynamics of these two key areas may influence Ethereum's subsequent direction.

#2025比特币价格预测 #BTC挖矿难度创新高

The large pancake shows a triangular pattern on the 4-hour level, and a change in trend is imminent. Special attention should be paid to the key point of 93000, which must not be lost; once it falls below, it will inevitably face the previous low of December 20. If this previous low is also breached, the price is very likely to approach around 90000.

That said, even if it drops to this level, the subsequent downward space is already quite limited. For spot players, it may be a good time to enter the market in batches to pick the bottom; as for leveraged players, it is still advisable to hold back and observe a bit longer. The weekly and monthly lines will conclude synchronously the day after tomorrow, and considering multiple factors, the market trend in the first quarter is quite worth looking forward to!
#BTC挖矿难度创新高 #SUI、OP大额解锁