#NovCryptoOutlook
19-11-24

BTC 4-hour chart outlook: Cautiously Positive

Fear and Greed: 90 (Ex, Greed), yesterday 83 (Greed)

BTC Dominance: 60.39% Dominance has increased from yesterday

Price action: Price bounced of it ema ribbon and currently up about 3.5%. Traders must be weary of bearish divergence on 24 and 4 hour RSI.

Premium Index: PI has increased since yesterday and currently at 0.0657 %.

Funding Rates: FR has decreased since yesterday and currently at 0.0248 %.

Open Interest: OI is at $56.625 B which has increased from yesterday

Volume: Vol. is at $45.127 B which has increased from yesterday

To conclude: Recent market trends indicate a subtle shift in sentiment. Prices have edged higher, and funding rates have decreased slightly, suggesting increased bearishness among traders. The premium index has ticked up, pointing to heightened speculative influence on BTC price. However, liquidity as increased as both open interest and trading volume have risen, suggesting potential increased pressure on price. While the overall outlook remains cautiously positive, a sustained uptrend will depend on continual increase in market liquidity

19-11-24

BTC 4-hour chart update (93847)

Fear and Greed: 90 (Ex, Greed), yesterday 83 (Greed)

BTC Dominance: 60.39% Dominance has increased from yesterday

Price action: Price bounced of it ema ribbon and currently up about 3.5%. Traders must be weary of bearish divergence on 24 and 4 hour RSI.

Premium Index: PI has increased since yesterday and currently at 0.0657 %.

Funding Rates: FR has decreased since yesterday and currently at 0.0248 %.

Open Interest: OI is at $56.625 B which has increased from yesterday

Volume: Vol. is at $45.127 B which has increased from yesterday

To conclude: Recent market trends indicate a subtle shift in sentiment. Prices have edged higher, and funding rates have decreased slightly, suggesting increased bearishness among traders. The premium index has ticked up, pointing to heightened speculative influence on BTC price. However, liquidity as increased as both open interest and trading volume have risen, suggesting potential increased pressure on price. While the overall outlook remains cautiously positive, a sustained uptrend will depend on continual increase in market liquidity.

#NovCryptoOutlook
18-11-24

BTC 4-hour chart outlook: Neutral Leaning Bearish

Fear and Greed: 83 (Ex, Greed), yesterday 90 (Greed)

BTC Dominance: 59.66% Dominance has decreased from yesterday

Price action: Price went up about 2.5% but is back down about 2.5. No clear direction can be ascertained from the chart.

Premium Index: PI has decreased since yesterday and currently at 0.0121 %.

Funding Rates: FR has decreased since yesterday and currently at 0.0252 %.

Open Interest: OI is at $55.207 B which has increased from yesterday

Volume: Vol. is at $39.96 B which has increased from yesterday

To conclude: Bitcoin's market is showing mixed signals. While a recent price decrease and decreasing premium index suggests decreased speculative interest and bearish sentiment highlighted by decreasing funding rates. However, this is coupled with increasing trading volume indicates potential improved interest and momentum. Additionally, the rising open interest suggests that the market could be more volatile in the short term, as larger positions may amplify reactions to news and events.

#NovCryptoOutlook
17-11-24

BTC 4-hour chart outlook: Cautious optimism

Fear and Greed: 90 (Ex, Greed), yesterday 86 (Ex. Greed)

BTC Dominance: 60.22% Dominance has increased slightly from yesterday

Price action: BTC price reminiscent of a stable coin today.  

Premium Index: PI has increased since yesterday and currently at 0.0586 %.

Funding Rates: FR has increased since yesterday and currently at 0.0262 %.

Open Interest: OI is at $53.692 B which has increased from yesterday

Volume: Vol. is at $26.978 B which has decreased from yesterday

To conclude: The market is exhibiting signs of cautious optimism, signaled by an uptick in funding rates and premium index. However, trading volume indicate reduced liquidity, which could amplify price swings. As long positions increase, investors should remain vigilant for a potential long squeeze.

17-11-24

BTC 4-hour chart update (89990)

Fear and Greed: 90 (Ex, Greed), yesterday 86 (Ex. Greed)

BTC Dominance: 60.22% Dominance has increased slightly from yesterday

Price action: BTC price reminiscent of a stable coin today.  

Premium Index: PI has increased since yesterday and currently at 0.0586 %.

Funding Rates: FR has increased since yesterday and currently at 0.0262 %.

Open Interest: OI is at $53.692 B which has increased from yesterday

Volume: Vol. is at $26.978 B which has decreased from yesterday

To conclude: The market is exhibiting signs of cautious optimism, signaled by an uptick in funding rates and premium index. However, trading volume indicate reduced liquidity, which could amplify price swings. As long positions increase, investors should remain vigilant for a potential long squeeze.

16-11-24

BTC 4-hour chart update (91333)

Fear and Greed: 86 (Ex, Greed), yesterday 80 (Ex. Greed)

BTC Dominance: 60.14% Dominance has decreased from yesterday

Price action: Price traded in a tight range of $500 today.

Premium Index: PI has increased since yesterday and currently at 0.0329 %.

Funding Rates: FR has increased since yesterday and currently at 0.0187 %.

Open Interest: OI is at $53.364 B which has increased from yesterday

Volume: Vol. is at $34.696 B which has decreased from yesterday

To conclude: The trader sentiment is quite bullish as witnessed by rising funding rates. The premium index has increased which signifies rising influence of speculative forces on BTC’s price. While open interest has increased the trading volume has decreased. This mean we might see a consolidation period. For these reason traders must remain cautious for the short term while the uptrend is still intact.

#NovCryptoOutlook
16-11-24

BTC 4-hour chart outlook: Cautious

Fear and Greed: 86 (Ex, Greed), yesterday 80 (Ex. Greed)

BTC Dominance: 60.14% Dominance has decreased from yesterday

Price action: Price traded in a tight range of $500 today.

Premium Index: PI has increased since yesterday and currently at 0.0329 %.

Funding Rates: FR has increased since yesterday and currently at 0.0187 %.

Open Interest: OI is at $53.364 B which has increased from yesterday

Volume: Vol. is at $34.696 B which has decreased from yesterday

To conclude: The trader sentiment is quite bullish as witnessed by rising funding rates. The premium index has increased which signifies rising influence of speculative forces on BTC’s price. While open interest has increased the trading volume has decreased. This mean we might see a consolidation period. For these reason traders must remain cautious for the short term while the uptrend is still intact.

15-11-24

BTC 4-hour chart update (CP 89796)

Fear and Greed: 80 (Ex, Greed), yesterday 88 (Ex. Greed)

BTC Dominance: 61.18% Dominance has increased from yesterday

Price action: Price took support from the 30 ema and currently trading above the 8 ema.  

Premium Index: PI has decreased since yesterday and currently at 0.0086 %.

Funding Rates: FR has increased since yesterday and currently at 0.0195 %.

Open Interest: OI is at $51.843 B which has decreased from yesterday

Volume: Vol. is at $49.954 B which has decreased from yesterday

To conclude: Premium index has decreased which is one bullish sign since the spot market gained influence over speculative instruments. The funding rates have increased which highlight the bullish trader sentiment, as they are opening longs. Market liquidity has decreased, both the open interest and trading volume are down from yesterday. It is only natural that price is cooling off after such a bullish couple of weeks. However, the outlook for weekend is neutral leaning bearish. This does not mean capitulation but rather a short-term consolidation.

#NovCryptoOutlook
15-11-24

BTC 4-hour chart outlook: Neutral

Fear and Greed: 80 (Ex, Greed), yesterday 88 (Ex. Greed)

BTC Dominance: 61.18% Dominance has increased from yesterday

Price action: Price took support from the 30 ema and currently trading above the 8 ema.  

Premium Index: PI has decreased since yesterday and currently at 0.0086 %.

Funding Rates: FR has increased since yesterday and currently at 0.0195 %.

Open Interest: OI is at $51.843 B which has decreased from yesterday

Volume: Vol. is at $49.954 B which has decreased from yesterday

To conclude: Premium index has decreased which is one bullish sign since the spot market gained influence over speculative instruments. The funding rates have increased which highlight the bullish trader sentiment, as they are opening longs. Market liquidity has decreased, both the open interest and trading volume are down from yesterday. It is only natural that price is cooling off after such a bullish couple of weeks. However, the outlook for weekend is neutral leaning bearish. This does not mean capitulation but rather a short-term consolidation.

14-11-24

BTC 4-hour chart update (CP 76672)

Fear and Greed: 88 (Ex, Greed), yesterday 84 (Ex. Greed)

BTC Dominance: 60.72% Dominance has decreased from yesterday

Price action: Price went down almost 3% and took support from the ema ribbon but was bought up immediately. Currently price is trading below the 8 ema.

Premium Index: PI has increased since yesterday and currently at 0.0634 %.

Funding Rates: FR has decreased since yesterday and currently at 0.0164 %.

Open Interest: OI is at $53.907 B which has decreased from yesterday

Volume: Vol. is at $66.714 B which has decreased from yesterday

To conclude: The funding rates have reduced further signaling a growing bearish sentiment. As more traders are open short positions, the potential for a long squeeze cannot be ruled out. A notable increase in the premium index suggests that speculative activity in the derivatives market might be outpacing genuine spot demand, raising concerns about potential price corrections. Both open interest and trading volume have seen a slight decrease, hinting at decreased market pressure and reduced interest which might mean the uptrend is cooling off. The interplay of these factors paints a complex picture. The elevated premium index introduces a note of caution. In essence: The market is exhibiting a bullish undercurrent, but it's essential to remain vigilant. The combination of speculation and increased market activity could lead to price swings, making it crucial to monitor market developments closely.

#NovCryptoOutlook
14-11-24

BTC 4-hour chart outlook: Cautious Optimism

Fear and Greed: 88 (Ex, Greed), yesterday 84 (Ex. Greed)

BTC Dominance: 60.72% Dominance has decreased from yesterday

Price action: Price went down almost 3% and took support from the ema ribbon but was bought up immediately. Currently price is trading below the 8 ema.

Premium Index: PI has increased since yesterday and currently at 0.0634 %.

Funding Rates: FR has decreased since yesterday and currently at 0.0164 %.

Open Interest: OI is at $53.907 B which has decreased from yesterday

Volume: Vol. is at $66.714 B which has decreased from yesterday

To conclude: The funding rates have reduced further signaling a growing bearish sentiment. As more traders are open short positions, the potential for a long squeeze cannot be ruled out. A notable increase in the premium index suggests that speculative activity in the derivatives market might be outpacing genuine spot demand, raising concerns about potential price corrections. Both open interest and trading volume have seen a slight decrease, hinting at decreased market pressure and reduced interest which might mean the uptrend is cooling off. The interplay of these factors paints a complex picture. The elevated premium index introduces a note of caution. In essence: The market is exhibiting a bullish undercurrent, but it's essential to remain vigilant. The combination of speculation and increased market activity could lead to price swings, making it crucial to monitor market developments closely.

#NovCryptoOutlook
13-11-24

BTC 4-hour chart outlook: Extremely Bullish

Fear and Greed: 84 (Ex, Greed), yesterday 80 (Ex. Greed)

BTC Dominance: 61.23% Dominance has increased from yesterday

Price action: Price is up another 5+ % today. There is a bearish divergence forming on the RSI.

Premium Index: PI has increased since yesterday and currently at 0.0547 %.

Funding Rates: FR has decreased since yesterday and currently at 0.0209 %.

Open Interest: OI is at $55.415 B which has increased from yesterday

Volume: Vol. is at $66.628 B which has decreased from yesterday

To conclude: The recent surge in premium index signals heightened derivatives market’s influence on price. The funding rates have decreased signaling traders opening shorts which has the potential of short squeeze if prices were to increase further. Given the high open interest, a sharp price correction could trigger significant market volatility. While the decrease in trading volume does not supports the current upward trend, investors should remain cautious as market conditions are primed to change rapidly.

13-11-24

BTC 4-hour chart update (CP 92851)

Fear and Greed: 84 (Ex, Greed), yesterday 80 (Ex. Greed)

BTC Dominance: 61.23% Dominance has increased from yesterday

Price action: Price is up another 5+ % today. There is a bearish divergence forming on the RSI.

Premium Index: PI has increased since yesterday and currently at 0.0547 %.

Funding Rates: FR has decreased since yesterday and currently at 0.0209 %.

Open Interest: OI is at $55.415 B which has increased from yesterday

Volume: Vol. is at $66.628 B which has decreased from yesterday

To conclude: The recent surge in premium index signals heightened derivatives market’s influence on price. The funding rates have decreased signaling traders opening shorts which has the potential of short squeeze if prices were to increase further. Given the high open interest, a sharp price correction could trigger significant market volatility. While the decrease in trading volume does not supports the current upward trend, investors should remain cautious as market conditions are primed to change rapidly.

12-11-24

BTC 4-hour chart update (CP 88680)

Fear and Greed: 80 (Ex, Greed), yesterday 76 (Ex, Greed)

BTC Dominance: 60.35% Dominance has increased from yesterday

Price action: Price came down today and took support from the 8 ema.  

Premium Index: PI has decreased since yesterday and currently at 0.0476 %.

Funding Rates: FR has increased since yesterday and currently at 0.0367 %.

Open Interest: OI is at $51.294 B which has increased from yesterday

Volume: Vol. is at $92.154 B which has increased from yesterday

To conclude: The recent surge in both funding rates indicates a bullish trader sentiment. However, market makers like to hunt liquidity which today was longs and 1 billion of longs were liquidated from the market. Rising market liquidity, as evidenced by increased open interest and trading volume, further supports the uptrend in price. However, sustained elevated funding rates and premium index may signal speculative activity, which could potentially lead to market instability.

#NovCryptoOutlook
12-11-24

BTC 4-hour chart outlook: Bullish

Fear and Greed: 80 (Ex, Greed), yesterday 76 (Ex, Greed)

BTC Dominance: 60.35% Dominance has increased from yesterday

Price action: Price came down today and took support from the 8 ema.  

Premium Index: PI has decreased since yesterday and currently at 0.0476 %.

Funding Rates: FR has increased since yesterday and currently at 0.0367 %.

Open Interest: OI is at $51.294 B which has increased from yesterday

Volume: Vol. is at $92.154 B which has increased from yesterday

To conclude: The recent surge in both funding rates indicates a bullish trader sentiment. However, market makers like to hunt liquidity which today was longs and 1 billion of longs were liquidated from the market. Rising market liquidity, as evidenced by increased open interest and trading volume, further supports the uptrend in price. However, sustained elevated funding rates and premium index may signal speculative activity, which could potentially lead to market instability.

11-11-24

BTC 4-hour chart update (CP 85149)

Fear and Greed: 76 (Ex, Greed), yesterday 78 (Greed)

BTC Dominance: 59.56% Dominance has increased from yesterday

Price action: Price is up another 6.5% from yesterday.

Premium Index: PI has increased since yesterday and currently at 0.0629 %.

Funding Rates: FR has increased since yesterday and currently at 0.0172 %.

Open Interest: OI is at $48.438 B which has increased from yesterday

Volume: Vol. is at $56.792 B which has increased from yesterday

Market Update:

The funding rate has climbed over the past 24 hours, signaling increased long positions and bullish sentiment. However, an increase in the premium index suggests a shift towards speculative activity rather than spot-driven demand. Trading volume and Open interest has surged, indicating heightened market participation and potential volatility. The combination of elevated funding rates, increased open interest and premium index points to a cautiously optimistic short-term outlook.

#NovCryptoOutlook
11-11-24

BTC 4-hour chart outlook: Cautiously Optimistic

Fear and Greed: 76 (Ex, Greed), yesterday 78 (Greed)

BTC Dominance: 59.56% Dominance has increased from yesterday

Price action: Price is up another 6.5% from yesterday.

Premium Index: PI has increased since yesterday and currently at 0.0629 %.

Funding Rates: FR has increased since yesterday and currently at 0.0172 %.

Open Interest: OI is at $48.438 B which has increased from yesterday

Volume: Vol. is at $56.792 B which has increased from yesterday

Market Update:

The funding rate has climbed over the past 24 hours, signaling increased long positions and bullish sentiment. However, an increase in the premium index suggests a shift towards speculative activity rather than spot-driven demand. Trading volume and Open interest has surged, indicating heightened market participation and potential volatility. The combination of elevated funding rates, increased open interest and premium index points to a cautiously optimistic short-term outlook.

#NovCryptoOutlook
10-11-24

BTC 4-hour chart outlook: Caution Advised due to high speculative activity

Fear and Greed: 78 (Ex, Greed), yesterday 75 (Greed)

BTC Dominance: 58.62% Dominance has decreased from yesterday

Price action: price is currently above 80k which is above 4% from yesterday. The bearish divergence on the RSI has been clearly invalidated.

Premium Index: PI has increased since yesterday and currently at 0.0625 %.

Funding Rates: FR has increased since yesterday and currently at 0.0237 %.

Open Interest: OI is at $44.97 B which has increased from yesterday

Volume: Vol. is at $40.642 B which has increased from yesterday

To conclude: Caution because speculative activity has increased. The current uptick in price is accompanied by increase in funding rates, premium index, open interest and trading volume. A rise in the premium index suggests speculative activity has increased. Open interest has increased which means liquidity is locked in open contracts which leads to higher risk of liquidation led volatility. Trading volume has increased which brings a renewed interest in BTC.

10-11-24

BTC 4-hour chart update (CP 80874)

Fear and Greed: 78 (Ex, Greed), yesterday 75 (Greed)

BTC Dominance: 58.62% Dominance has decreased from yesterday

Price action: price is currently above 80k which is above 4% from yesterday. The bearish divergence on the RSI has been clearly invalidated.

Premium Index: PI has increased since yesterday and currently at 0.0625 %.

Funding Rates: FR has increased since yesterday and currently at 0.0237 %.

Open Interest: OI is at $44.97 B which has increased from yesterday

Volume: Vol. is at $40.642 B which has increased from yesterday

To conclude: Caution because speculative activity has increased. The current uptick in price is accompanied by increase in funding rates, premium index, open interest and trading volume. A rise in the premium index suggests speculative activity has increased. Open interest has increased which means liquidity is locked in open contracts which leads to higher risk of liquidation led volatility. Trading volume has increased which brings a renewed interest in BTC.

09-11-24

BTC 4-hour chart update (CP 76589)

Fear and Greed: 75. (Greed), yesterday 75 (Greed)

BTC Dominance: 59.19% Dominance has decreased from yesterday

Price action: Price has hardly moved today. Support is at 74k and 69k.

Premium Index: PI has decreased since yesterday and currently at -0.0268 %.

Funding Rates: FR has decreased since yesterday and currently at 0.0149 %.

Open Interest: OI is at $43.061 B which has increased from yesterday

Volume: Vol. is at $32.658 B which has decreased from yesterday

To conclude: The market presents a complex picture. While falling funding rates suggest a bullish undercurrent and potential for further upward pressure, decreased trading volume indicates lower market activity and trader interest. The increase in open interest and the lower premium index point to a potential shift towards spot-driven price action, reducing the impact of speculative activity. Given these mixed signals, a cautious approach is prudent. However, sustained buying interest and increased trading volume could potentially drive upward momentum.