Notes before reading:
- a. Central Bank = Central Bank
- b. CN = Eastern
- c. Federal Reserve = US Central Bank
The US non-farm payrolls exceeded expectations,
which means that interest rate hikes are possible!
【So Market Down!】‼ ️
If interest rates are raised again, web3 will only have the skeleton of BTC/ETH/BNB left!
But is it possible? Will the US raise interest rates?
The reality is:
Europe has just announced a rate cut,
and the premise of the European rate cut is: the US small non-farm payrolls are lower than expected!
Do you think Europe/the US have communicated about the rate cut in advance?
I guess they definitely did!
And they expressed it to the world through performance art!
The US expressed to the market, Europe, and the world through the small non-farm payrolls expectations:
"I may cut interest rates! I'm about to play a card!"
And the impact of the euro on the world is obvious to all!
The US used the European rate cut to test the reaction of the world,
look at the reaction of the East,
see how many outsiders who can't see the situation clearly join in: join the big family of rate cuts!
Obviously, the Oriental central bank has also seen it! (See the recent special treasury bonds)
This is a posture of fighting a protracted war with the US central bank!
The US central bank saw this and thought, how can this be tolerated?
So next week, let's see the expectation management methods of the US central bank's expectation management master!
Commonly known as: let's see whether the US central bank will announce an interest rate hike or keep it unchanged?
The prediction system gives four possibilities:
1. Increase interest rates! Web3 crashes! There are cheap chips all over the floor!
2. Maintain the status quo, web3 skeleton: BTC/ETH/BNB will not have a new low/high in the past three months.
3. Maintain the status quo, look at the sentiment on the web3 chain, there is a more than 65% chance that it will return to the high point in the past two weeks.
4. Cut interest rates! Web3 crashes, and then a new high.
[The prediction system gave a very confusing analysis: Everyone at the gambling table has limited money]
Spot position/holding U:
Be patient! Don't play contracts! Don't play contracts!
I can't help it, build a contract warehouse yourself!
If you want to gamble, win against yourself before you sit at the table!