As of the time of posting, BTC price has remained around 29,400, with less volatility compared to last weekend. The market has returned to its original position after a week of shocks. The rebound from 29,000 in the early morning is regarded as a successful bottoming out, and the market may turn around in the short term.

At present, the overall trend of BTC is still in the range of 29600-29000, and the downward channel has not been broken. To confirm the breakthrough of the downward channel, the market needs to be maintained around 29600-29800. The rebound height of the market may gradually decrease over time. From a technical point of view, the market is still in the downward channel.

Some people are optimistic about whether the market has successfully bottomed out, but objectively speaking, from the 4-hour chart, the market continued to fluctuate around 30,000-31,500, and maintained a range of 30,400-29,800 for nearly 9 days. The so-called bottoming out may not be effective, and the market fell into a downward trend at a key point.

In terms of news, the market lacks obvious hot spots or positive sentiment. Although the launch of Worldcoin is a breakthrough, it will not directly affect the short-term reversal of the market. The US court's rejection of the SEC's certification is seen as a decline in the SEC's credibility, which may be good for Grayscale and spot ETFs, but the news itself does not have much substantive value and should not be over-interpreted.

CRV was attacked by a vulnerability again, and the price of the coin fell sharply in the short term. In this case, it is recommended to wait and see, and avoid blindly chasing shorts or rebounds. In the short term, the token may still have the possibility of reversal.

From the perspective of trading volume, the price above 29400 and below 29000 did not trigger particularly large trading volume, indicating that market participants, including retail investors, small and medium-sized institutions and whales, were more cautious when the price was around 30000. They prefer to turn their attention to other investment areas with better returns, or even the altcoin sector in the crypto market.

After the market rebounded, other altcoins did not effectively follow the rise, so it is unlikely that the market will turn around in the short term.

Trend direction: The downward channel still exists and it is expected to successfully move out of the shock range in the next 2-3 days.

Trading strategy: Since the shock below 30000, the prudent choice is to avoid rebound orders. Continue to hold last week's short orders, the goal is to see below 29000. As the shock time gets longer and longer, the risk of rebound orders increases, so it is necessary to carefully consider high-altitude operations.

Spot: Currently, the market is still on the sidelines. The timing for the market to stabilize and bottom out and start rebounding is not clear yet, so we need to wait patiently. There is still time to build a spot position, so let the bullet fly for a while!