Analyze a wave of data:

1. Bitcoin holdings increase, and the long-short ratio drops below 1: If you are doing shocks, you can go short, if you are doing trends, give up shorting;

2. CME main players begin to intervene, and market liquidity begins to recover: support bullish;

3. The current interest rate in the spot lending market is at a very low level, and retail investors have not yet FOMO: support bullish;

4. At present, the funding rate of the contract market is at a very low level, and some exchanges are negative. Retail investors tend to be bearish: support bullish; follow the main public account: Niu Hulu Yao, free entry

Summary:

The current shock data has reached the stage where it is possible to shock short, but I suggest giving up this shock short for the following reasons:

1: This shock has lasted for more than a month. The later the shock, the greater the risk. If you eat both long and short, it is easy to go in the wrong direction;

2: CME's main force has begun to re-enter the market, the interest rate of the spot lending market is sluggish, and the contract market is short, so give up short orders in the later stage of shock;

Because I think the current stage is the stage of accumulating funds and grinding the bottom, this is the main direction, so the main long orders should be made after the fall, so that the safety factor will be higher. In the early stage of shock, you can make short orders after the rebound, but give up short orders in the later stage of shock;

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