Is BB worth buying now?
When should I buy BB?
I will analyze BB from the perspective of Texas Hold'em:
Why not buy BB now
The current BB is better than the 22 you get at the beginning
- It's a pity to fold, after all, it's a pair
- After all, Binance and OKX are investing at the same time
- I imagine turning out another 2, and it's not impossible to get two
- Binance invested in the project, what if Binance pulls the market
The probability of winning 22 in Texas Hold'em is about 11%, unless there are more than 10 people betting with you until the last card is turned out. You are barely positive in mathematical expectation. If anyone withdraws, your EV will be negative.
In fact, in the Texas game, if there are really 10 people betting with you, plus evaluating the betting style of these ten people (some people are very stable), the combined factors will cause your EV to be negative long ago.
$BB is up to 1$, with a market value of 2.1 billion. I think it is far from worth the money. The lower limit is 0.1$, the upper limit is 1$, and betting at 0.46$ is the same as "taking a pair of 22 to enter the market and betting".
Finally, don't argue. It's not that BB will not reach 1$, and it's not cost-effective to bet now from the perspective of mathematical expectation.
So BB will be on the train at 0.1-0.3
For example, if you have AA AK QQ or ♠AK
