There are 4 scenarios in the future, all of which will be determined by#IsraelPeaceTalksand next Wednesday #CPI数据 :
(1) If the peace talks are successful, the CPI will be lower than expected (10% probability): BTC will soar back to 70,000, and the bull market will return quickly, which is great news;
(2) If the peace talks fail, the CPI will be lower than expected (35% probability): If the peace talks fail, there will be a sharp drop, and if the CPI is lower than expected, there will be a rebound. The positive and negative factors offset each other, and BTC will fluctuate around 60,000, but the copycats will bleed and be injured;
(3) If the peace talks are successful, the CPI will be higher than expected (35% probability): In this case, the success of the peace talks is not a good thing, and it can only be said that it will not fall. If the CPI is higher than expected, there will definitely be a sharp drop, and BTC must defend 55,000;
(4) If the peace talks fail, the CPI will be higher than expected (20% probability): Both are negative factors, and it will fall! BTC will fall below 55,000, and defend 50,000.
After reading these 4 situations, we can draw the conclusion: it is more dangerous than good. Therefore, everyone should lower their expectations, so that if it falls, you can still buy the bottom. Even if it falls by 1%, you can buy more coins when you buy them back.
Whether it is#contractor #spot, the principle is the same.
OpenAI will hold a press conference next Monday. If #WLD rises sharply, remember to withdraw the principal first to protect the profit. When all the good news comes out, it will be bad news. Buy it back if it falls later.
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Now the technical side must cooperate with the news side. The technical side is a bullish bottom pattern, but under the influence of the news side, the market does not buy
The decline only requires emotions. Even if the technical side is bullish, the market does not buy it, and there is no real hot money coming in, it is useless!
The long and short game is fierce
